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I think I can see Homer Simpson in that dome.
Nope, according to Kevin, scientists have been predicting an ice free Arctic since 1965, and nothing else.
Scientists have made every prediction imaginable since 1965, so strictly speaking Kevin is not wrong.
NSIDC response – Scientists made those assessments in the early 1960s….“We would not be doing our job very well if we had not learned something in 30 years”.
Where’s Gleick?
He’s telling Halloween stories to the kiddies over at the Puffington Host…
“A global increase in sea level of a meter (more than three feet) by the year 2100 is now “widely accepted as a serious possibility” and even the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers recommends planning for as much as 1.5 meters (nearly five feet).”
EeeeK!
Would that be Kevin O’Neill?
Could there be another?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IU5U-lzNpAY
Michael Mann instructs a first year seminar at PSU entitled:
Climate Change and Potential Societal Impacts
Take a look at the course related readings for class #7: Observations of Modern Climate Change
Before the class you have to read:
RealClimate article – The Global Cooling Myth
and:
Perform a google news search on “global cooling” to determine how many news articles in the past month (among those listed by google), refer to the claim that scientists were predicting global cooling in the 1970s. Be prepared to participate in an in-class discussion.
Presumably, any pretence that there were ‘Chilling Possibilities’ will cause you to fail the course.
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/holocene/public_html/Mann/courses/EMSC100SFALL12/readings.html
From class # 14, on hurricanes (bold emphasis is mine):
“The current evidence strongly suggests that:
(a) hurricanes tend to become more destructive as ocean temperatures rise, and
(b) an unchecked rise in greenhouse gas concentrations will very likely increase ocean temperatures further, ultimately overwhelming any natural oscillations.
Scenarios for future global warming show tropical SST rising by a few degrees, not just tenths of a degree (see e.g. results from the Hadley Centre model and the implications for hurricanes shown in Fig. 1 above). That is the important message from science. What we need to discuss is not what caused Katrina, but the likelyhood that global warming will make hurricanes even worse in future.”
How does Mann, who is not an expert in hurricanes, get away with this? Dr. Christopher Landsea resigned from the IPCC over this very issue. There is no peer-reviewed research to back up Mann’s claims. The research suggests that there will be little to no increase in hurricane strength.
“A great deal of intelligence can be invested in ignorance when the need for illusion is deep.” —Saul Bellow
Arctic ice stellite measurements 1960′
http://nsidc.org/research/projects/Gallaher_Nimbus.html