Met Office climate forecasts remind me of NASCAR racing
the Met Office’s decadal forecast predicts renewed warming after 2010 with about half of the years to 2015 likely to be warmer globally than the current warmest year on record.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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They crashed and burned in 2009 with the forecast of a ‘barbecue summer’ for the UK.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1202982/Met-Office-left-red-faced-Britains-forecast-barbecue-summer-turns-washout.html
In fact, they’ve continually embarassed themselves ever since they ‘got religion’.
At the time I thought the Met office were going by their best guess on what solar activity will do for temperatures during solar cycle 24, the consensus they had at the time was that solar cycle 24 would be a super-cycle. They got it very wrong.
If only the Met Office had more money for their SuperDuperComputer they’ve been begging for. Then their outrageous predictions would occur quicker. 😆
From the Met Office ‘How are we doing’ page–
Did you know that:
> our four day forecast is as accurate as our one day forecast was 30 years ago;
> 80% of our next day max temperature forecasts are correct to within 2 degrees
> and the Met Office is consistently one of the top two operational weather forecasting services in the world.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/who/accuracy
Met forecasting of climate change? No comment.
Daily and slightly longer forecasts have significantly improved. It’s great when you can quickly test your predictions.