Polls Are Used To Manipulate People – Not Inform Them

Most opinion polls are every bit as credible as NASA temperature graphs.

Election 2019: How the polls got it so wrong in predicting a Labor victory – Australia Votes – Federal Election 2019 – Politics – ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

4 Possible Reasons The Polls Got It So Wrong In The 2016 Presidential Election : NPR

Presidential poll: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 12 – CNNPolitics

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7 Responses to Polls Are Used To Manipulate People – Not Inform Them

  1. Anon says:

    In addition to manipulation there could also be an element of marketing involved. Tell you readers what they want to hear. Of course, they will have to take a hit on election day, and suffer a few bad weeks of ratings, but that is preferable to a year’s worth of lost viewership. And then they can concoct a tale that the Russian’s hacked the polls, etc.

  2. MGJ says:

    When models disagree with reality, which is wrong? Reality.
    When polls disagree with reality, which is wrong? Reality.

    In both cases the response is to get very angry with reality.

    • Joel says:

      Exactly, which is probably why the Nevada statehouse has apparently voted to deny all its citizens any say in the next Presidential election, instead handing over control to the popular vote of the other 49 states. If I lived in Nevada, I’d be pretty torqued off. How’s THAT for reality?

      The left has lost its collective mind.

      The words of Brother Paul were never more appropriate…”Thinking themselves to be wise, they became fools…”

  3. GCSquared says:

    Agree 100%.

    1. Before 2016, there were the uxi vote in Greece and Brexit in England. In those cases as well, the establishment pooh-poohed the possibility that the popular rebellions would succeed, and used the polls to back their opinions. I read a lot of the alternative media, and it was pretty obvious to me at the time that the polls were inconsistent with on-the-street opinion. I came to conclude the polls were being cooked to discourage supporters from going to the voting booths.
    2. One of the sites I visit is a youtube channel run by Bill Still. I first came across him in connection with his Money Masters video on the history of the Fed. In connection with 2016, Still reported polling results based on an organization in LA (can’t remember which), whose contrarian results previously proved accurate in one of the earlier Obama elections. In 2016, Still’s reporting on Trump’s prospects was consistently far more optimistic than everyone else’s. He reported back-and-forth polling results, and a close neck-and-neck election. I felt the same about the polls in this case as in 1 above, and believed that Still was telling the real story. So what happened? As Joe Biden famously exclaimed about getting an inconveniently zealous Ukrainian prosecutor fired, “Well, son-of-a-bitch!” While Bill can be too trusting at times IMHO, I do follow him for his honest antidote to establishment BS, especially for polls.

  4. Ed Powell says:

    Remember, that pollsters are only ever judged on the final poll they take before an election, so any of the polls done before the last one are taken to shape the narrative, rather than accurately measure the leanings of the electorate. “Polls show the race narrowing in the final week” happens over and over again, because the pollsters understand that they have to move subtly from being push polls to being actual polls as the races comes to an end. Even people who understand statistics, like Nate Silver, are blinded by their partisanship to the extent that they can’t see this phenomenon, even when it is staring them in the face.

  5. Louis Hooffstetter says:

    The NPR article: “4 Possible Reasons The Polls Got It So Wrong…” failed to include the most plausible and obvious explanation, which is…
    the pollsters are LIARS!

  6. Toto fan says:

    One horse. (great satire)
    No doggies.

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