New Video : COVID Math

5 Responses to New Video : COVID Math

1. VIRGIL HUGHES says:

   August 2, 2020 at 9:04 pm

   Hi Tony!

   My name is Virgil Hughes – I’m one of your subscribers. I really like the stuff you’ve been ding lately on COVID-19 math – esp. this one. It goes right along with some modeling I did recently:

   I created a simple “Bed Need Projection Model” on the assumption that what we need to know is not the total cases in a state or the US ( which is what we are getting), but rather the expected hospital bed need from the cases in a local area, and the actual bed availability. We are not getting those pieces of data, but if we did, local Heath Service Areas could inform the local populations of the need for less (or more) tightening.

   I use as an example my home of Roanoke – when I did a short video explaining the model to a friend, I believe the area only needed to reserve 35 out of 1400 beds for future possible cases.

   Anyway – I think this is a better way to manage our COVID-19 response, but I need to get the word out, and hve citizens insist on this from their legislators (those who will listen. But – I’m a nobody, and have no platform to promote it from.

   Would you be willing to do a piece on this? I’m sending you my first video, which is OK in terms of explaining the modeling, though I’d like to have a better listener. I can always do another if you are willing to help me with this.

   Please let me know what you think.

   Thank you!

   Virgil Hughes
   vghugh@gmail.com
   724-553-6400

   Oops – tried to attached my video and all it will take is an image. let me know if this is of interest and I’ll send the video by regular email.

   Reply
2. tom0mason says:

   August 3, 2020 at 12:53 am

   Great video!
   Yet again a short data filled video showing what the truth really is.

   Reply
3. John of Cloverdale says:

   August 3, 2020 at 2:26 pm

   Well researched, Tony.

   Reply
4. RegretLeft says:

   August 3, 2020 at 5:30 pm

   Just what I have been waiting for! A look at “data” fraud. Thank you.

   “Cool the past, warm the present” is rather like counting deaths from several weeks ago as occurring last week. Same game, same goal: terrorize people. Climate terror only worked on some school children. Covid terror has been found to be much more successful.

   And just 25 deaths in WY?! – I did not know that. Mostly age 70+ in long term care with comorbidities I would imagine. So, general population Covid risk in WY is essentially zero. The greater risk is probably staph infection from dirty masks worn for multiple hours. Staph is not a trivial concern.

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5. gregole says:

   August 4, 2020 at 12:32 am

   I gave up on the published data back in April, May. Since then, it’s gotten worse.

   https://fee.org/articles/john-ioannidis-warned-covid-19-could-be-a-once-in-a-century-data-fiasco-he-was-right/

   As a country, a society, we can do better. We have educated learned people (rarely listened to…), plenty of computers; the only explanation I can come up with is the media has an agenda and the truth of any matter is certainly not their main focus. Creating and maintaining panic serves them and their agenda.

   Once people get properly panicked, politicians will be demanded to “do something”. So now we got masks, shutdowns, and phony data. It’s shameful.

   And some politicians handle it especially poorly, note NY and others; maybe they’re stupid and just make bad calls, maybe they’re grandstanding and think they can get points out of this. Sad, but few are getting called out.

   Reply