Real Climate Science

Last Sunday they were little puppies.

They are probably 50% bigger today, and their faces look much more mature.

They have moved to their summer den by the creek, but I found this deer leg by their old den. They have been eating well.

Today is the first day of meteorological summer, and temperatures at The Greenland Country Club have warmed up to a balmy -27C (-17F.)  Summer greens fees now apply, but do not include treatment for frostbite and medical evacuation. Ask about our senior discount.

summit:status:webcam

The last seven months was the coolest and wettest October-May on record in the US. The percent of days above 60F and 70F was the lowest, with 1933-1934 being the highest. Compare with 1934, which was the warmest and driest.

Average maximum temperature was second lowest after 1899.

Spreadsheet

Nearly three fourths of the US was below normal temperature.

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It was the wettest October-May on record, with almost the entire country above normal precipitation.

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NOAA predicted a warm winter with drought in the west, and got everything exactly backwards. Three month forecasting with climate models doesn’t work, but experts say they are superb at forecasting 100 years out – when no one will remember.

Winter Outlook favors warmer temperatures for much of U.S. | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Drought levels are at historic lows, compared to record warm 1934 when drought was at historic highs.

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Warm winters tend to be dry, and cold winters tend to be wet. Unless you are a climate expert, and claim the exact opposite.

Climate experts say that the wet weather is caused by heat, but in 1988, NASA’s James Hansen predicted a huge increase in heat and drought. Apparently he believed that heat and drought go together.

If you liked last summer’s record temperatures, you’re going to love the 1990s, says James Hansen, the NASA scientist who, during congressional hearings on the Midwestern drought, linked greenhouse warming to the heat wave. Last summer was a preview of the average summer 10 years from now, and the hottest summers during the ’90s will be even hotter and drier than the one we just struggled through, he says.

If we do nothing to cut down on pumping carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, temperatures in 2050 will be 6 to 7 degrees higher than they are today. Washington, D.C., for instance, would go from its current 35 days a year over 90 degrees to 85 days a year.

– James Hansen  1988

12 Dec 1988, Page 34 – Lansing State Journal

He got all of his forecasts exactly backwards.The number of hot days in the DC area peaked in 1911, and have been declining ever since.

The number of hot days in the Midwest peaked in 1936, and have been declining ever since.

Spreadsheet

The Midwest is getting wetter. The last really dry year in the Midwest was 1988, and recent years have been record wet.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

Some years I go hiking the first weekend in June in the high country. Not a chance of that this year.

There is no longer any need for comedians.  We now have climate experts in Congress.

“Scientists say” all warming over the past 140 years was caused by CO2 emissions from humans and volcanoes. Natural variability no longer has any impact on climate.

New study confirms natural cycles play little role in global temperature trends

Humans and volcanoes caused nearly all of global heating in past 140 years | Environment | The Guardian

This corresponds with the sudden and rapid increase in temperatures in 1880, after a millenium of steady cooling, as reported by Michael Mann 20 years ago.

“When you have seen one tree, you have seen Yamal”

Now we know the climate tipping point occurred in 1880 at 280 PPM CO2, and that the only way stop the world from burning up is to go back to a preindustrial lifestyle, and to put a plug in the volcanoes.

It is quite likely that the excessive use of rickshaws in 1880 caused the climate to heat up and warm out of control.

We have to get atmospheric CO2 back down to 279 PPM, to keep the world from burning up. And we need President Elizabeth Warren to communicate to the volcanoes that they must stop their evil activities. She believes that her people have a special connection to the Earth.

May 31, 1934 was the hottest springtime (March-May) day on record in the US. About 20% of the US was above 100 degrees. It was 109° in Iowa and Wisconsin, 108° in Minnesota, 107° in North Dakota, Nebraska and Illinois, 104° in Kansas, and 103° in Missouri.

31 May 1934, 1 – The Rock Island Argus at Newspapers.com

The four hottest May 31st were 1934, 1895, 1913 and 1953.  More than 30% of the US was above 90F during those years. May 31st tended to be a much hotter day in the first half of the 20th century, that it has been for the past 70 years.

A few weeks later in 1913  California set the world record temperature of 134°.

ftp://ftp.library.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/mwr/050/mwr-050-01-0010.pdf

The summer of 1913 was extremely hot.

03 Jul 1913, Page 2 – The Logan Republican at Newspapers.com

The worst flooding in Ohio history also occurred in 1913.

As did the worst flooding in Texas history. This picture was taken near where I bought my first house in Richmond, Texas. The flood crest was 56 feet on December 11, 1913. My neighborhood flooded during the last time the river went above 50 ft, in 1992.

28 Mar 1913, 6 – The Baltimore Sun at Newspapers.com

On May 31, 1903 record flooding was occuring in Kansas, Missouri, Iowa and Nebraska.

05 Jun 1903, 4 – The Western Call at Newspapers.com

Another extreme May 31 occurred in 1985.  Massive tornado outbreaks in Pennsylvania, Ohio, York, Ontario and many Midwestern states. More than 100 peaople died.

05 Nov 1985, Page 16 – Philadelphia Daily News at Newspapers.com

Cold air collided with very warm, humid air.

31 May 1985, 2 – The Daily Advertiser at Newspapers.com

Meanwhile, the clowns in the press continue spewing their mindless superstitions about climate.

A few weeks ago they were saying the exact opposite.

2018 will be the first year with no violent tornadoes in the United States – The Washington Post

Some people speculate that increasing smog will cause our atmosphere to capture and retain more solar heat, gradually melting the world’s icecaps. But I believe smog and other factors, such as changing carbon dioxide content and volcanic dust, will prove only marginal in their effects on our climatic future.

Dr. Hurd C. Willett, Professor of Meteorology at Massachusetts Institute of Technology, suggests the answer. Dr. Willett, one of our staff affiliates this year, has shown us how cyclic changes in the climate closely parallel the cyclic changes in sunspot activity—the manifestations of powerful electrical energy discharges from the sun.* We now feel confident that our investigations here back up the solar-climate theory of weather cycles. Sunspots have been diligently recorded for well over 200 years. We find that glacier fluctuations over these past two centuries show a tantalizing correlation, taking into account the glaciers’ flow lag, with sun storms and temperature trends.

The National Geographic Archive | February 1967 | page 1