Real Climate Science

Scott Adams asked me to put together the five best arguments against climate alarmism. This involves a huge amount of information, and fortunately Scott gave me more than six minutes to do it.

I have been summarizing the arguments in a series of blog posts over the past couple of weeks.  The details are primarily in the links provided below.

1. Climate alarmism is based mainly around fear of extreme weather. This concept is deeply rooted in human nature, and has its roots in ancient stories of giant floods, famines and plagues – caused (of course) by man’s sins. Climate alarmists are tapping into that primal fear, and pushing the same idea of extreme weather and floods caused  by mankind’s carbon sins.

The reality is that there is no legitimate evidence extreme weather is increasing or sea level rise is accelerating. The fears are baseless.

Details in the link below :

Hiding The Decline In Extreme Weather | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog

2. Climate alarmism is much like the story of the Emperor’s New Clothes. People may not see any evidence of catastrophic climate change or sea level rise, but their opinion is irrelevant because 97% of scientists believe we are doomed due to global warming. Only a small handful of people whom the press and politicians quote over and over again are allowed to state an opinion, and they are claimed to represent 97% of the world’s millions of scientists.

Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agrees on something or other, reach for your wallet, because you’re being had.

– Michael Crichton

Obama’s claims are baseless, yet politicians want to prosecute climate heretics.

LetterPresidentAG.pdf

There has never been any survey done of actual scientists which showed anything remotely like Obama’s claims. Obama made his claim in 2013, but a survey of professional members of the American Meteorological Society made that year, showed that only 52% of their members believed global warming is primarily man-made – much less dangerous. (I am not aware of any broad survey of scientists where they were even asked if the one part per ten thousand increase in CO2 over the past century is dangerous.)  No group in the AMS survey came close to 97%, and among professional forecasters – less than half believed global warming is primarily man-made.

http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00091.1

What little consensus there is, is based around intimidation of academics and censorship, as I detail in this video.

3.  Academics have been making apocalyptic predictions for decades.  All have failed miserably, yet they keep repeating the same misinformation over and over again.  Had their forecasts been correct, we wouldn’t be here now to have this discussion.

Fifty Years Of Failed Apocalyptic Forecasts

4. Climate alarmism is completely dependent on graphs and useless climate models generated by a small handful of people.  The graphs are generated through scientifically corrupt processes of data tampering and hiding data.

A large amount of detail is provided in the blog posts below.

61% Fake Data 
Overwhelming Evidence Of Collusion
Extreme Fraud In The National Climate Assessment
Extreme Wildfire Fraud In The National Climate Assessment
Doubling The Hockey Stick Fraud
Fraud In The National Climate Assessment (Part 1)
Fraud In The National Climate Assessment (Part 2) 

And climate models have shown zero skill, when compared against reliable tropospheric temperatures.

Failed Climate Models | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog

5.  The most important argument against climate alarmism is that the proposed solutions are unworkable, dangerous and useless. They were made without consulting engineers, and have zero chance of success.  A robust discussion about our energy future is needed, but that discussion is censored in favor of propaganda.

The Malicious Intent Behind Climate Alarmism

We need to have a serious discussion about our energy future, but news agencies like the New York Times and the LA Times have an openly stated policy of censoring anyone with a dissenting opinion.  This is dangerous, un-American and threatens our survival.  Climate change is not an imminent threat, but the proposed solutions are.

If there was an actual climate crisis, it would be obvious.  Alarmists wouldn’t have to hide and tamper with data.

It is snowing in Malibu, Las Vegas and just outside Phoenix – and climate alarmists are predictably blaming the cold on global warming.  That implies global cooling would be characterized by heat.

“The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.”

– H. L. Mencken

Academics have been forecasting doom for my entire life.  Needless to say, it hasn’t happened, as we are still here.

A few days after we landed on the moon 50 years ago, Stanford professor Paul Ehrlich forecast that we would disappear in a cloud of blue steam within 20 years. Ehrich is John Holdren’s close associate, and Holdren was Obama’s science advisor.

FOE OF POLLUTION SEES LACK OF TIME   The New York Times

A year later, he predicted that we would run out of food and water within a decade.

6 Oct 1970, Page 3 – Redlands Daily Facts at Newspapers.com

He wanted to poison Africans in order to save them from overpopulation.

TimesMachine: November 25, 1969 – NYTimes.com

17 Nov 1967, Page 9 – The Salt Lake Tribune at Newspapers.com

A few years later the “immensely likeable” Ehrlich jumped on the global cooling bandwagon.

31 Jul 1974, Page 7 – Pampa Daily News at Newspapers.com

16 Apr 1970, 18 – The Boston Globe at Newspapers.com

Obama and Holdren were both pushing global cooling, before they started pushing global warming.

Holdren’s Ice Age Tidal Wave – The New York Times

Their real agenda was to cut off the fossil fuel supply, which they were blaming for the global cooling.

The Windsor Star – Google News Archive Search

Twenty years later he wanted to prosecute climate skeptics.

2 Dec 1997, Page 11 – The Age at Newspapers.com

And 50 years after his first failed predictions of doom, he is still at it.

Biologist Paul Ehrlich gives dire prediction for global civilization

The global cooling scare was ubiquitous for academics. The world’s leading climate experts wrote a letter to President Nixon in 1972 warming of a new ice age in about a century.

THE ROLE OF NOAA’S CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CLIMATE SERVICES

09 Mar 1980, 4 – The Dispatch at Newspapers.com

https://www.sciencenews.org/sites/default/files/8983

15 Apr 1973, 59 – The Post-Crescent at Newspapers.com

11 Oct 1975, Page 41 – Daily Independent Journal at Newspapers.com

14 Apr 1973, Page 8 – Iowa City Press-Citizen

12 Jun 1975, Page 10 – The Ogden Standard-Examiner at Newspapers.com

14 Apr 1973, Page 8 – Iowa City Press-Citizen

TIME Magazine Archive Article — Another Ice Age? — Jun. 24, 1974

March 2, 1975 – B-r-r-r-r: New Ice Age on way soon? | Chicago Tribune Archive

29 Jan 1974, 5 – The Guardian at Newspapers.com

The Director at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and his leading scientist were pushing global cooling.

12 Jun 1974, Page 20 – at Newspapers.com

The Genesis Strategy – The New York Times

The National Geographic Archive | November 1976 | page 1

TimesMachine: December 29, 1974 – NYTimes.com

21 Jul 1974, 13 – The Des Moines Register at Newspapers.com

Climate experts wanted to melt the Arctic to stop global cooling.

?www.denisdutton.com/newsweek_coolingworld.pdf

President Carter warned that we would run out of oil at the beginning of the 20th century.

Carter’s Oil Problem – The New York Times

By the end of the 1970’s academics started to move on to new panics – nuclear meltdown.

21 Mar 1979, 4 – The Times Leader at Newspapers.com

In 1979, experts said global warming would produce a new ice age.

Climatologists Are Warned North Pole Might Melt – The New York Times

Youngstown Vindicator – Google News Archive Search

Acid rain was going to kill us if famine, global cooling, nuclear meltdown and peak oil didn’t.

07 Feb 1980, 2 – The Morning Call at Newspapers.com

Global cooling caused droughts and floods.  Now they are caused by global warming.

25 Nov 1981, 13 – Chicago Tribune at Newspapers.com

But times changed during the 1980s, and the UN warned that global warming would kill us by the year 2000.

Mercury News: Search Results

That doesn’t seem to have happened, so they pushed the new doom date out to next year.

2020 is the deadline to avert climate catastrophe | Daily Mail Online

Experts said the Maldives would be underwater by now.

26 Sep 1988 – Threat to islands

But the Maldives seems to be OK.

Live Cam Kuredu Island Resort

The world’s leading climate scientist predicted the Arctic would be ice-free by 2018.

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

Nobel Laureate Al Gore predicted the Arctic would be ice-free by 2014.

Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014

There seems to be lots of ice in the Arctic.

Index of /DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/images/2019/02_Feb/

In 1989, the Guardian said that only global communism can stop twelve feet of sea level rise.

26 Jan 1989 – Call for anti-greenhouse action – Trove

One failed forecast after another.

Ice-free Arctic in two years heralds methane catastrophe – scientist | Environment | The Guardian

US Navy predicts summer ice free Arctic by 2016 | Nafeez Ahmed | Environment | The Guardian

‘Next year or the year after, the Arctic will be free of ice’ | Environment | The Guardian

New Orleans to drown by next year.

Greenland ice sheet faces ‘tipping point in 10 years’ | Environment | The Guardian

Fifty million climate refugees by the year 2020.

50m environmental refugees by end of decade, UN warns | Environment | The Guardian

Global warming will kill us and make Britain a Siberian climate by next year.

Pentagon tells Bush: climate change will destroy us | Environment | The Guardian

Permanent drought in the UK.

Drought may be new norm for UK, says environment secretary | Environment | The Guardian

Permanent drought in Australia.

This drought may never break

Five years since the New York Times announced the end of snow.

The End of Snow? – The New York Times

It has been more than twelve years since they announced the endless summer.

With Warmer Weather, Different Decisions to Make – New York Times

The Washington Post predicted cherry blossoms blooming in winter.

Could cherry blossoms one day be blooming in winter? – The Washington Post

There has been no trend in cherry blossom bloom dates since atmospheric CO2 reached 350 PPM thirty years ago, with recent years tending to be late.

https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2016-08/cherry-blossoms_fig-1.csv

And it has been almost nineteen years since British experts announced that snow is a thing of the past.

Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past – Environment – The Independent

Actual snow cover has been increasing for 30 years, and is about the same as 50 years ago.

Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab

Bill Clinton’s science advisor announced the Southwest permanent drought eight years ago.

Dust Storm Marks Beginning of Southwest’s “Permanent Drought” | The Energy Collective

Those forecasts don’t seem to be doing too well.

Local Weather from AccuWeather.com – Superior Accuracy™

Climate experts now say that global warming causes bitterly cold, snowy winters, and that they predicted it all along.

Brace yourself for a bitterly cold winter, as climate change shifts the polar vortex

The world’s leading climate expert predicted Lower Manhattan would be underwater by 2018.

Stormy weather – Global warming – Salon.com

And experts say we will all have to flee to Antarctica to save ourselves from global warming.

Why Antarctica will soon be the only place to live – literally

Climate change study predicts refugees fleeing into Antarctica – Telegraph

I have hundreds more of these predictions on file, but this is enough to get the point across.  Climate alarmists, and alarmists in general, are incompetent, dishonest hacks – who change their story every time the wind shifts.

I took these pictures on New Years Day, east of Phoenix.  It was bitter cold.  The current forecast is for this area along Hwy 87 to receive well over a foot of snow in the next 48 hours.

I used to live in Sedona, when CO2 was below 350 PPM.  Twenty inches of snow there is incomprehensible.  I never saw more than two or three inches.

NASA’s James Hansen started the global warming scare in earnest, during the very hot summer of 1988.

Until now, scientists have been cautious about attributing rising global temperatures of recent years to the predicted global warming caused by pollutants in the atmosphere, known as the ”greenhouse effect.” But today Dr. James E. Hansen of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration told a Congressional committee that it was 99 percent certain that the warming trend was not a natural variation but was caused by a buildup of carbon dioxide and other artificial gases in the atmosphere.

Dr. Hansen, a leading expert on climate change, said in an interview that there was no ”magic number” that showed when the greenhouse effect was actually starting to cause changes in climate and weather. But he added, ”It is time to stop waffling so much and say that the evidence is pretty strong that the greenhouse effect is here.” An Impact Lasting Centuries If Dr. Hansen and other scientists are correct, then humans, by burning of fossil fuels and other activities, have altered the global climate in a manner that will affect life on earth for centuries to come.

Dr. Hansen, director of NASA’s Institute for Space Studies in Manhattan, testifed before the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee. Continue reading the main story He and other scientists testifying before the Senate panel today said that projections of the climate change that is now apparently occurring mean that the Southeastern and Midwestern sections of the United States will be subject to frequent episodes of very high temperatures and drought in the next decade and beyond

Global Warming Has Begun, Expert Tells Senate – The New York Times

He made temperature forecasts for three emissions scenarios.  Scenario A was increasing emission growth rates. Scenario B was decreasing emission growth rates. Scenario C was no emissions after the year 2000.

“We have considered cases ranging from business as usual, which is scenario A, to draconian emission cuts, scenario C, which would totally eliminate net trace gas growth by year 2000.”

Climate Change and American Policy: Key Documents, 1979-2015 – Google Books

1988_Hansen_ha02700w.pdf

So how did Hansen do? Global warming theory is based on warming the troposphere, which should warm faster than the surface. The graph below shows the five year mean of lower troposphere temperatures measured by UAH satellite.

Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

The next graph overlays the satellite lower troposphere temperatures in red, on Hansen’s 1988 forecasts – at the same scale and normalized to the early 1980’s. As you can see, troposphere temperatures have followed zero emissions Scenario C – meaning there is no evidence humans have influenced the climate.

The other satellite data set is provided by climate alarmist Carl Mears at Remote Sensing Systems, and it also shows temperatures below the (yellow) range of climate models.

Remote Sensing Systems

Mears’ recent graphs have been altered upwards.  Two years ago, the discrepancy between models and measured temperatures was even larger.

Climate Analysis | Remote Sensing Systems

The next image overlays the 2017 graph on the 2019 graph.  You can see that Mears has moved everything up to the upper limit of his error blue bounds – but even so still shows that the climate models are failing.

Four years ago I predicted that Mears, under extreme pressure from the climate mafia,  would alter his data to match the fake surface temperature data sets.

Look for the satellite data to be adjusted to bring it into compliance with the fully fraudulent surface temperatures. The Guardian is now working to discredit UAH, so it seems likely that RSS will soon be making big changes – to match the needs of the climate mafia. Bookmark this post.

March 27, 2015

That is exactly what happened, but even after data tampering – the models are failing.

Hansen’s 1988 testimony came during the last really hot, dry summer in the United States.

He predicted increased heat and drought, and failed on both counts. The frequency of hot afternoons has plummeted in the US over the past century.

Hansen focused on Midwest heat and drought in his 1988 testimony, but no place has cooled faster than the Midwest.

The US is getting wetter, and Hansen’s 1988 testimony came during the last really dry year.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

Climate model forecasts have shown a 100% failure rate, yet mainstream climate science is based almost entirely around them.

The last two afternoons were both the second coldest on record for the date in Boulder.

The cold is forecast to shift east over the next week, with temperatures well below 0F (-18C)

10-Day Temperature Outlook for the Conterminous U.S.

Illinois has never had an afternoon below 0F between February 18 and December 10.

Afternoons below 0F were not unusual in Illinois prior to 1940, but they nearly disappeared during the 1940s and 1950s. They became quite common during the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s, but then disappeared for a few years after the year 2000. Over the past few years very cold afternoons have started becoming common again.

Afternoon temperatures have declined in the Midwest since the 19th century, with 2014 being the coolest on record.

There hasn’t been much of a trend in the frequency of cold nights, but during 2014 one night out of four was below 20F in the Midwest.

The frequency of hot afternoons has plummeted in the Midwest since the 19th century, with recent summers being the coolest on record.

Meanwhile, the New York Times continues their spectacular lies about the climate, claiming that hot days are increasing in the Midwest and across the country.

How Much Hotter Is Your Hometown Than When You Were Born? – The New York Times

It’s Not Your Imagination. Summers Are Getting Hotter. – The New York Times

The exact opposite is true, which is normally the case for New York Times reporting.

The New York Times is quite openly attempting to induce panic with their climate lies, which begs the question – what is their agenda?  Historically the big lie has been the predecessor to genocide. Who is funding and directing this fraud?

NYT Opinion on Twitter: “Panic might seem counterproductive,

Sixteen years ago, the climate experts at NCAR predicted the end of snow and cold in Boulder.  This was basic climate physics.

Warmer Winters

Today was the second coldest February 18 on record in Boulder – about 30 degrees below normal.  I took this picture on the road up to NCAR this afternoon.

About two-thirds of North America is experiencing weather, while Florida CO2 is trapping heat.

I took this picture on New Years Day east of Phoenix.

But last New Years, carbon dioxide was trapping heat in the southwest – while the eastern two-thirds of the country was experiencing weather.

I took these pictures of motionless windmills flying over the Midwest on January 6 last year.

Good thing they had fossil fuels to keep warm! The windmills were producing zero watts.

A few days prior to last year’s record cold in the East, NOAA boldly predicted it would be a warm winter. Because … science.

NOAA Predicts Its Third Warm Winter in a Row | WIRED

This is all very easy to understand – if you are a climate scientist.  Global warming makes winters warmer.

Global Warming Will Lead to Warmer Winters, Study Says · Guardian Liberty Voice

What’s Behind the Freakishly Warm Winter in the Eastern U.S.?

Except when global warming makes winters colder.

Why it’s so cold (spoiler alert: it’s global warming) – Information Without The Bun

If you want to be a professional climate scientist, you have to understand that the theory follows the weather – usually lagging by a few days. And you are a racist if any of this isn’t obvious to you.

Tom Steyer on Twitter: “If the New York Times wants to sponsor climate skeptics”

During February 1932, Rio Grande City, Texas averaged 86 degrees for their afternoon maximums, and had 13 days over 90 degrees.

At the other border, the Winter Olympics at Lake Placid, New York nearly had to be cancelled because of warm weather.

12 Feb 1932, Page 2 – The Brooklyn Daily Eagle at Newspapers.com

Ahead of the 1932 Winter Olympics in January, there was no snow at Lake Placid, and it was 70 degrees in New York City.

16 Jan 1932, Page 1 – The Los Angeles Times 

On January 14, 1932 it was 70 degrees in New York.

If this happened now, climate scientists would be 100% certain it was your fault, and demand immediate world communism.

“Shortly, the public will be unable to reason or think for themselves. They’ll only be able to parrot the information they’ve been given on the previous night’s news.”

— Zbigniew Brzezinski . 1972

I took these pictures in Los Alamos around New Years.

Last year, New Mexico Senator Tom Udall outlined the fake emergency in New Mexico caused by global warming.

VIDEO: Udall: Climate Change Presents the Greatest Threat our Nation and World Now Confront | U.S. Senator Tom Udall of New Mexico