Discerning Global Warming – Like A Scientist

Sixteen years ago, the climate experts at NCAR predicted the end of snow and cold in Boulder.  This was basic climate physics.

Warmer Winters

Today was the second coldest February 18 on record in Boulder – about 30 degrees below normal.  I took this picture on the road up to NCAR this afternoon.

About two-thirds of North America is experiencing weather, while Florida CO2 is trapping heat.

I took this picture on New Years Day east of Phoenix.

But last New Years, carbon dioxide was trapping heat in the southwest – while the eastern two-thirds of the country was experiencing weather.

I took these pictures of motionless windmills flying over the Midwest on January 6 last year.

Good thing they had fossil fuels to keep warm! The windmills were producing zero watts.

A few days prior to last year’s record cold in the East, NOAA boldly predicted it would be a warm winter. Because … science.

NOAA Predicts Its Third Warm Winter in a Row | WIRED

This is all very easy to understand – if you are a climate scientist.  Global warming makes winters warmer.

Global Warming Will Lead to Warmer Winters, Study Says · Guardian Liberty Voice

What’s Behind the Freakishly Warm Winter in the Eastern U.S.?

Except when global warming makes winters colder.

Why it’s so cold (spoiler alert: it’s global warming) – Information Without The Bun

If you want to be a professional climate scientist, you have to understand that the theory follows the weather – usually lagging by a few days. And you are a racist if any of this isn’t obvious to you.

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15 Responses to Discerning Global Warming – Like A Scientist

  1. gregole says:

    And snow in Las Vegas. I have relatives there and have sent texts requesting photos. But you can read about it here:
    https://lasvegassun.com/news/2019/feb/18/snow-reported-at-mccarran-downtown-lv-for-first-ti/

  2. rah says:

    And here it comes across the my area and points east again! Tuesday and Wednesday. Sure could use a break. I would like to be able to use the cruise control and do some regular trucking again! The constant hypervigilant state required when driving in such weather really takes it out of you. Over days the effects are cumulative. I did absolutely nothing on Saturday and Sunday last weekend. Just rested. For once I’m hoping for my next load to be to Canada in order to go north of what’s coming.

    But it sure looks like there is no end in sight. The bottom has dropped out of the Southern Oscillation Index, the Modoki El Nino is here, and that means another month of nasty winter weather for us. Somebody kill that damned groundhog!

    • Colorado Wellington says:

      I expect the Green New Deal Democrats to bring a bill to the floor for geoengineering weather projects that include human sacrifice. Republicans should at least add that damned groundhog to it.

  3. Psalmon says:

    The LA Times published this about the ARkStorm…which stands for Atmospheric River 1000 year storm. The story laments the state of flood control infrastructure.

    https://www.latimes.com/local/california/la-me-ln-mega-storm-dam-failure-20190218-story.html

    An ARkStorm in California is a potent combination of heavy snowpack that is virtually washed away by a series of WARM Atmospheric Rivers originating in Hawaii that have snow levels near 8 or even 10,000 feet. Experts tell us that Climate Change will make the ARkStorm more likely.

    The last ARkStorm was in 1862. CO2 in 1862 was 287 ppm.

    Meanwhile CA is building a $7 Billion train from Merced and Bakersfield…money that COULD be used to control flooding, but is spent on a train to stop Climate Change. And the LA Times endorsed Jerry Brown FOUR times. You really can’t make this up.

  4. rah says:

    BTW the company I drive for has had 8 jackknifes so far this year. The most they’ve every had. Not just a result of the weather I’m sure. It has a lot to do with the quality of drivers and the fact we do more miles in Indiana and this state SUCKS at road treatment.

    • Psalmon says:

      Dang, that’s with skilled people at the wheel. Driverless robo trucks are going to create havoc and get people killed to save a few cents.

  5. R Shearer says:

    In my 30+ years in Colorado, 2018/2019 (so far) is the coolest. This winter has had the most consistently cold weather of any that I have experienced. My relatives in the Midwest tell me the same is true there, being as cold or colder than during the coming ice age scare of the 1970’s.

    Weather/climate is characterized by variability and the weather/climate of today is no different than it has been within the last five decades. It might be warmer or cooler but is all within natural variability. It’s probably cooler than it was in the 1930/40’s. It is warmer than during the Little Ice Age but the same as or cooler than during the Medieval warm period and certainly cooler than during the warm periods before that.

    • Gator says:

      Dear Ms Griff, you are an idiot. During the last glaciation much of Alaska was ice free.

      Are you cherry picking this nonsense due to your hatred of poor brown people?

      • mrghinga@gmail.com says:

        And much of ohio was covered under 2 miles of snow. Not am I happy it all melted before the fossil fuel was even discovered.

    • Menicholas says:

      Yes, much of Alaska is roastingly hot, with places that should be -8 reporting balmy 10 degree heat wave temps.

      • Colorado Wellington says:

        10°F! Ice boiling! Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes! The dead rising from the grave! Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together, mass hysteria!

  6. Cam says:

    California is already above the April 1st average for all 3 zones of the Sierras and 127 to 154% of normal for the daily average. More snow is forecast for later in the week.

    https://cdec.water.ca.gov/reportapp/javareports?name=swccond.pdf

  7. Cynthia Maher says:

    Scott Adams is apparently waiting for 5 best climate arguments from you.
    Today, I noticed Scott thinks best persuasive arguments
    1) Are visual
    2) Induce fear
    3) Aren’t very complicated
    4) Don’t seem to require adherence to facts.
    I recommend your arguments should include
    1) Fear of oncoming ice age (repeat the 60s and early 70s),
    2) Imagery of glaciers everywhere north of Michigan M59. Imagine all those houses smashed.
    3) Imagery of failing crops due to cold weather. Perhaps use examples from The 1816 year without a summer, due to Tambora eruption.
    4) And AVOID theories of causes because that’s too complicated; just talk about climate record.
    My personal simplest factual arguments are
    1) Fossil record (600 MY) shows that unknown causes drastically altered climate. The pattern is there, it might repeat, and we aren’t sure when the causes might reappear.
    2) Ocean sediment record (5.5 MY) shows that when humans were beginning, climate was about 2 deg C warmer than now. Human pre-species thrived and obviously did not die-off from the heat.
    3) Ice core record (1 MY) shows earth entering Deepening Glacial Periods, repeating periodically. We think we know why and think the cause is still there, so Expect It To Repeat again. People developed in warm climates, not in glacial climates. Plan to live nearer the equator.
    4) Ice core record (12,000 years) shows earth temperature probably both slightly warmer and slightly colder than now. We are nearly to the end of this inter-glacial cycle, and should expect oncoming COLD soon, unless we Accidentally Saved Humanity with our industrial revolution (CO2 and CH4).
    Unlike you, I do not argue about records of last 100 years. I simply use the revised NOAA/NASA assertions and evaluate from there. It doesn’t seem to matter much because, when compared to the long-term records, the answers come out the same.

  8. Bill says:

    Tony, your picture of the bicycle is a beautiful image. If you’re not careful, you may develop an additional talent. Besides annoying the powerful, I mean.

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