Understanding Climate Attribution

Scientists have known for 115 years that catastrophic global warming theory is junk science.




In 1971, NASA’s top climatologists still understood that CO2 had very limited ability to warm the atmosphere, just as Knut Angstrom pointed out seventy years earlier. NASA was warning in 1971 that burning fossil fuels would cause a new ice age.


Schneider took his ice age theory directly to President Nixon, and was very upset that Nixon didn’t take action against global cooling.


The Genesis Strategy – A chilling prospect – View Article – NYTimes.com

Scientists had some brilliant plans how to stop global cooling, like melting the polar ice caps.


As late as 1977, Schneider was still pushing the global cooling scam.

However, by 1978 Schneider switched from pushing the global cooling scam to pushing the global warming scam. I prepared a chart below to explain his reasoning.

Atmospheric temperatures correspond almost perfectly with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) but they show little if any correlation to CO2. When the AMO shifted in the mid-1970’s Schneider realized there was no longer any money being made pushing global cooling, so he switched his profession from cooling scamster to warming scamster.

Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

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22 Responses to Understanding Climate Attribution

  1. LOL in Oregon says:

    It is all “Bush’s” errr “Trump’s” fault!
    Just ask’em!

  2. Eric Simpson says:

    First off, this shows that until, overnight, the “manufactured consensus” arose on CAGW there was vigorous debate on whether rising CO2 would have much if any effect on climate temperature, with most apparently agreeing that CO2 would have little effect. Then all of a sudden the leftists saw CO2 as their ticket to not only endless grants but to their idea of a restrictionist leftist Utopia. So in a NY minute CO2 went from generally considered by scientists to be an incidental trace gas to… “97%” of all scientists saying CO2 would quickly lead to the end of the world:

    “In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that the threat of global warming would fit the bill… we believe humanity requires a common motivation, namely a common adversary in order to realize world government. It does not matter if this common enemy is a real one or… one invented for the purpose.” -Club of Rome

    Secondly, this shows that Schneider, and all the original inventors of the global warming scare like Maurice Strong, have always been little more than lying fear-mongering Chicken Littles who couldn’t care less whether it was warming or cooling that they were squawking about:

    We have to offer up scary scenarios… each of us has to decide the right balance between being effective and being honest.” -Stephen Schneider, lead IPCC author, 1989

  3. wert says:

    97% of Schneider is certain there could be a climate change. If it is not cooling, it might be warming, or other extreme or non-extreme weather. Robust science, I just wonder how Nixon could have been so idiotic.

    • Eric Simpson says:

      Nixon wasn’t the smartest.

      The trickiest, yes. The smartest, no.

      • wert says:

        He was idiotic, but not idiotic enough to buy Schneider’s robust science. Actually we should mention more often Schneider’s undeniable truths.

        • gator69 says:

          Actually Nixon’s estimated IQ was about average as Presidents go, coming in at 132, 2 points over Washington. My favorite POTUS was Jefferson, who still leads the pack two centuries later, with 150.


          Question with boldness even the existence of a God; because, if there be one, He must more approve of the homage of reason, than that of blind-folded fear.
          -Thomas Jefferson

          • Gail Combs says:

            Actually Donald Trump IQ is 156. B.O.’s is 102…

          • gator69 says:

            Gail, you’ve been trolled.

            Estimates of Trumps IQ top out at about 145, and it likely falls between 130 and 140. The 156 estimate is based upon required Wharton SAT scores, which Trump dodged by transferring to Wharton from Fordham, with the help of a friend of his brother’s who worked in admissions.

            I have heard Trump speak enough times to know that he is no Jefferson, ;)

          • Gail Combs says:

            “Donald Trump graduated from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania in 1968, with a Bachelor of Science degree in economics and anthropology. Mensa doesn’t accept SAT scores from after 1994. However Mr Trump was a student at Wharton when it was possible to derive an accurate IQ core from known SAT scores. Given the usual requirements for admission to a top school like Wharton, I estimate that Mr. Trump has a 156 IQ at the minimum. “ Analysis of Trump by Dr Sam Sewell

            Gator, remember Trump gears his speeches to people with an average IQ of ~100 and given he is a builder he is used to speaking to people on that level. Actually I consider that part of his genius. He has an ability to gauge his audience and grab them and inspire them.

            Do not forget his ‘hobby’ is reading contracts (barf, gag) and he has been successful in negotiating contracts all over the world.

            Actually I do not care what his IQ is. I care about how well he uses the brains he’s got. My brothers IQ is over 200 (mine is a lot lower) and I have worked in a research company where the PhDs out numbered every one else. Give me common sense over IQ any day of the week!

            Thomas Jefferson had a major dose of both high IQ and common sense and that is what made him such a great President.

            I knew about the Bachelor of Science degree in economics — so he has a good math background— But I was not aware of the anthropology. No wonder he said CAGW is B.S.! Like geology, anthro would give you the long view of humans and their environment. Esp. since it was pre-1970 degree.

            And given that everything else about Obummer is manufactured, I would not be at all surprised if his IQ is around 100. He was doing cocaine since he was a teen so I doubt he has many brain cells left.

            Obummer without a teleprompter…


          • gator69 says:

            Given the usual requirements for admission to a top school like Wharton, I estimate that Mr. Trump has a 156 IQ at the minimum.

            Trump transferred from Fordham, and skipped the SAT admissions requirements, so the above analysis is not possible and incorrect.

            Don’t believe everything you read on the interwebs. ;)

  4. RAH says:

    OT but thought you might like to know the solar disc is spotless again.

    INFO FROM SIDC – RWC BELGIUM 2016 Dec 24 12:46UTC

    Solar activity was very quiet in the past 24 hours. No flares, no coronal
    mass ejections were observed. There are no NOAA numbered active regions
    (ARs) observed on the visible side of the Sun. Two NOAA Halpha plages 2619
    and 2620 are rotating across the west solar limb. Solar protons have
    remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is
    expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a small chance of
    B-class flares.
    The solar wind speed has slightly decreased from 720 km/s to 620 km/s over
    the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between
    6.5 nT and 3.5 nT. The Bz component has fluctuated between -4 nT and +4 nT.
    Geomagnetic conditions were ranged between Kp index 2-4 (NOAA) and local K
    index 1-5 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours, with the singular enhance value
    from Dourbes K=5 (during 18-21 UT time slot yesterday, 23-12-2016).
    Enhanced solar wind variations are decreasing from this morning (00UT,
    24-Dec-2016) and they are going to fade over the next couple of days. As a
    consequence geomagnetic conditions are expected to be active to unsettled
    to for the next couple of days (Kp index <= 4).

  5. dennisambler says:

    From the book “Omega –Murder of the Eco-system and the Suicide of Man” , Paul K Anderson, 1971 “Controlling the Planet’s Climate” J. O. Fletcher (Rand corporation)

    Proposals for warming the climate:
    The largest scale enterprise that has been discussed is that of transforming the Arctic into an ice-free ocean.

    ………under certain conditions, only one kilogram of reagent can seed several square
    kilometres of cloud surface.It is estimated that it would take only sixty American C-5
    aircraft to deliver one kilogram per square kilometre per day over the entire Arctic Basin (10 million square kilometres). Thus, it is a large but not an impossible task to seed such enormous areas.
    The Soviet engineer, Borisov, has been the most active proponent of the much-publicized Bering Strait dam. The basic idea is to increase the inflow of warm Atlantic water by stopping or even reversing the present northward flow of colder Pacific water through the Bering Strait. The proposed dam would be 50 miles long and 150 feet high.
    Two kinds of proposals have been discussed, a dam between Florida and Cuba, and weirs extending out from Newfoundland across the Grand Banks to deflect the Labrador current as well as the Gulf Stream.
    The Pacific Ocean counterpart of the Gulf Stream is the warm Kuroshio Current, a small branch of which enters the Sea of Japan and exits to the Pacific between the Japanese islands. It has been proposed that the narrow mouth of Tatarsk Strait, where a flood tide alternates with an ebb tide, be regulated by a giant one-way ‘water valve’ to increase the inflow of the warm Kuroshio Current to the Sea of Okhotsk and reduce the winter ice there.
    Dams on the Ob, Yenisei and Angara rivers could create a lake east of the Urals that would be almost as large as the Caspian Sea. This lake could be drained southward to the Aral and Caspian Seas, irrigating a region about twice the area of the Caspian Sea. In terms of climatic effects, the presence of a large lake transforms the heat exchange between the surface and atmosphere. Of equal or greater importance in terms of climatic effects, is the land region transformed from desert to growing fields, with accompanying changes in both its reflectivity and evaporation.
    This is the largest known proposal for creating man-made lakes. If the Congo, which
    carries some 1,200 cubic kilometres of water per year, were dammed at Stanley Canyon (about 1 mile wide), it would impound an enormous lake (the Congo Sea). The Ubangi, a tributary of the Congo, could then flow to the north-west, joining the; Chari and flowing into Lake Chad, which would grow to enormous size (over 1 million square kilometres). This large lake (the Chad Sea) would approximately equal the combined areas of the Baltic Sea, White Sea, Black Sea, and Caspian Sea. The two lakes would cover 10 per cent of the African continent. They could then be drained north across the Sahara, creating an extensive irrigated region, similar to the Nile Valley.
    The proposed North American Water and Power Alliance is a smaller scale scheme. It
    would bring 100 million acre-feet2 per year of water from Alaska and Canada to be
    evaporated by irrigation in the western United States and Mexico. The possible climatic effects are highly speculative. For example, would the increased moisture in the air fall out again over the central United States, or would it be transported to some other region?”

    Fortunately, none of this ever happened…..

    • wert says:

      Great ideas! Not necessarily good for humans, but undeniably great projects! So good we are ready for cooling that will come during the next millennium.

  6. RAH says:

    “It is estimated that it would take only sixty American C-5
    aircraft to deliver one kilogram per square kilometre per day over the entire Arctic Basin (10 million square kilometres). Thus, it is a large but not an impossible task to seed such enormous areas.”

    Considering there are only 57 of those aircraft in service with a few of the older C-5A versions leaving service every year due to end of service life, that would be quite a trick. Pretty cool to watch them in the landing pattern or shortly after they take off. Their so damn big they look like their almost sitting still.

    A friend of mine that served as flight engineer in a C5A unit was not happy with the aircraft because of it’s unreliability. Too much downtime.

    • cdquarles says:

      When I lived in Huntsville, I got to see a C5A land at Redstone Arsenal. Quite the sight. When I lived in Birmingham, I got to see a C5A land at Birmingham (then Municipal) International Airport, where there was a company that did major aircraft repairs. Quite the sight. One day on I-59/20 headed into downtown Birmingham, I got quite the fright when a 727 came in for a landing and emerged from a fog bank. It looked awfully low, yet it landed safely. That fright was followed later by a jackass crossing 6 lanes of traffic to get off at 31st St. N.

      I don’t ever want to live in a big city ever again. Anything larger than 20,000 is too big.

      • Gail Combs says:

        Yes, big cities lead to the death of brain cells and common sense. I am SOOoooo Happy to have left Boston 22 years ago.

      • gator69 says:

        My county seat has about 8000 residents, and I live in between two historic towns of roughly 450 and 350. My life improved greatly when I left the cities for good, 15 years ago. My county has had one homicide in the last two decades, and that was a mentally ill son who killed his father. And did I mention we have more guns than houses?

  7. TA says:

    Yeah, when I was growing up it was global cooling and the hype that went along with that. And then along comes global warming, and you see the exact same kind of hype with global warming that you saw with global cooling, and it makes you skeptical of what they are saying.

    They were wrong on global cooling, but now they insist they are right on global warming. I’m still skeptical, especially now, when after all these years, they still can’t produce any evidence that humans are causing the climate to change, or that the climate is even changing unusually.

    Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me.

    Merry Christmas to everyone. I have a feeling our New Year is going to be an exciting one.

  8. Arrhenius calculated the contribution of CO2 pretty close to the right value, which is about 13 % (he says 16 %). Arrhenius even says that the increased concentration of CO2 has very small impact on the global temperature. He was actually much closer to the truth than AGW scientists of today. The climate sensitivity is according to my calculations with three different methods and two tools about 0.6 degrees Celcius.

    • tonyheller says:

      In his 1896 paper, he attributed 100% of the greenhouse effect to CO2.

    • Gail Combs says:

      Your problem is you consider water a feed back of CO2 which is Back Asswards.

      CO2 is a FEEDBACK of water. Specifically it is a feed back of the temperature of the oceans that cover 70% of this planet.

      The temperature of the oceans is determined by the sun Plus clouds which again is WATER.

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