The red line represents the minimum amount of loss likely over the next month. It could melt back further than that, but probably not less.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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I assume that line was only drawn wrt the Alaskan side. Presumably, we can expect some losses in the Greenland Sea, for instance. I think it’d be interesting if the Greenland Sea ice remained, however, and I’d be curious as to the implications of having a stronger ice pack there this winter and how it affects flow out of the Fram Strait.
-Scott
Greenland Sea ice is all doomed ice and not really important.