Real Climate Science

In 1995, the New York Times predicted “most of the beaches on the East Coast of the United States would be gone in 25 years”

Scientists Say Earth’s Warming Could Set Off Wide Disruptions – The New York Times

Barack Obama believes in the science, and just bought a $15 million home on an East Coast beach.

Barack and Michelle Obama buying $14.85M Martha’s Vineyard estate

The article also said :

The intergovernmental panel forecasts an increase in droughts like the current one in the Northeastern United States, heat waves like the one in Chicago this summer, and more fires and floods in some regions.

*A “striking” retreat of mountain glaciers around the world, accompanied in the Northern Hemisphere by a shrinking snow cover in winter. “

Since then, winter snow cover has increased to near record highs.

Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab

Droughts have become less common and severe in the US since the 19th century.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

And the likelihood of hot weather has plummeted in the US.

We are about have an historic blizzard and cold spell here in Cheyenne, Wyoming.

Winter Storm Xylia, a Potentially Historic Blizzard in the Rockies and High Plains, Hits This Weekend | The Weather Channel – Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com

Cheyenne, WY 10-Day Weather Forecast | Weather Underground

Ten days ago the Climate Prediction Center at NOAA said we would have a warm, dry March.

Climate Prediction Center – Revised OFFICIAL 30-Day Forecasts

On January 25, NOAA predicted a warm February for the US.

“The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for February indicates that there are no strong climate signals that would point toward an unusually cold or mild month.  The odds are tilted toward above average precipitation.”

February Outlook – Another Warm Month Ahead – WeatherNation

That forecast was exactly backwards.

U.S. had its coldest February in more than 30 years | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

NOAA can’t predict the climate ten days in the future, but say they know what it will be like in 100 years. They lie about the past, and can’t predict the future – but their climate misinformation is central the Democrats’ dismantling of the US energy supply.

Ten years ago, the University of Michigan said that thirty years of declining snow cover was making global warming worse than they predicted.

“If the Earth were just a static rock, we could calculate precisely what the level of warming would be, given a perturbation to the system. But because of these feedback mechanisms we don’t know exactly how the climate will respond to increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide,” Flanner said.

“Our analysis of snow and sea ice changes over the last 30 years indicates that this cryospheric feedback is almost twice as strong as what models have simulated. The implication is that Earth’s climate may be more sensitive to increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide and other perturbations than models predict.”

In 1995, NASA’s James Hansen published this graph showing no troposphere warming from 1978 to 1994.

Wayback Machine

Five years ago, satellite data from Remote Sensing Systems showed no troposphere warming from 1996 to 2015.  I captured the graph below on March 29, 2016.

Combining the two trends, that implies little or no troposphere warming for thirty-eight years from 1978 to 2015. But that didn’t suit the agenda, so Carl Mears altered the data to create a strong warming trend.

Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

This animation shows how the data was changed.

I predicted this would happen on March 27, 2015.

Look for the satellite data to be adjusted to bring it into compliance with the fully fraudulent surface temperatures. The Guardian is now working to discredit UAH, so it seems likely that RSS will soon be making big changes – to match the needs of the climate mafia. Bookmark this post.

I made this prediction because Ted Cruz used an RSS graph in a Senate hearing in March of 2015. Carl Mears at RSS then came under intense pressure to make his data match the surface temperature data.

My particular dataset (RSS tropospheric temperatures from MSU/AMSU satellites) show less warming than would be expected when compared to the surface temperatures. All datasets contain errors. In this case, I would trust the surface data a little more because the difference between the long term trends in the various surface datasets (NOAA, NASA GISS, HADCRUT, Berkeley etc) are closer to each other than the long term trends from the different satellite datasets. This suggests that the satellite datasets contain more “structural uncertainty” than the surface dataset.

Ted Cruz says satellite data show the globe isn’t warming

Roy Spencer at UAH made the same prediction on January 9, 2017

“I expect there will soon be a revised TLT product from RSS which shows enhanced warming, too.

Here’s what I’m predicting:

1) neither John Christy nor I will be asked to review the paper

2) it will quickly sail through peer review (our UAH V6 paper is still not in print nearly 1 year after submission)

3) it will have many authors, including climate model people and the usual model pundits (e.g. Santer), which will supposedly lend legitimacy to the new data adjustments.

Let’s see how many of my 3 predictions come true.

-Roy”

Satellite and radiosonde data showed no warming from 1978 to 1994 and no warming from 1996 to 2015. But now NASA shows 0.7C warming at the surface from 1978 to 2015.

Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

According to global warming theory, the troposphere should warm faster than the surface – but global warming theory doesn’t officially take into account politics and money.

The US was much warmer prior to 60 years ago, but reality wrecks political agendas – so NOAA and NASA tamper with the data to create a non-existent warming trend.

I moved to Cheyenne, Wyoming eleven months ago, and we have had historic weather.

I filmed these snow videos on June 8-10 west of Cheyenne.

Then we had the most persistently warm (and shortest) summer on record in Cheyenne, with 33 days above 90F, breaking the previous record of 32. Average is ten days above 90F.

The maximum temperature of 32F (0C) on September 8, 2020 was the coldest afternoon on record that early in autumn.

I took this picture on September 9, west of Cheyenne.

Cheyenne broke the record for a one day drop in maximum temperature when temperatures dropped from 86F to 32F between September 7 and September 8.

The maximum temperature of 11F on October 25, 2020 was the coldest on record that early in the autumn, and tied the record for October cold set on October 30, 1991.

The maximum temperature of -7F recorded on Valentines Day 2021 was the coldest maximum temperature on record that late in winter.

And now we are facing an historic blizzard, with 30 inches of snow on the ground and high winds.

I was speaking with a neighbor yesterday who lived through the 1949 blizzard.  She told me we don’t get winters like that any more, but she may end up changing her mind.

This week in 1925 was very warm in the Midwestern US. Princeton, Indiana averaged 72F from March 6-14 and peaked at 83 degrees on March 9.

A few days later, the area was hit with the deadliest tornados in US history, which flattened dozens of towns in Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, Kentucky and Tennessee.

19 Mar 1925, Page 1 – Palladium-Item at Newspapers.com

The New York Times and LA Times have been quite open for many years about their policy of censoring anyone who tells the truth about climate.

The dangerous rise of climate censorship – spiked

Democrats and the press are bragging about threatening a Supreme Court justice over his position. This used to be a serious crime known as “blackmail” and  “obstruction of justice.”

Clarence Thomas GOP Election Challenge Dissent Sparks Calls to Investigate His Wife

The definition of obstruction of justice seems to change depending on whether the target of the investigation is Republican or Democrat.

Phoenix airport at center of political intrigue after Lynch, Bill Clinton meeting

Mueller testimony: The 10 times Trump may have obstructed justice, according to the Mueller report – CBS News

“Climate Change is real. California Republicans believe it and are working to address it.”

– John Kasich and Arnold Schwarzenegger

Schwarzenegger, Kasich join forces with new California group that wants to change the state GOP – TheBlaze

Five years ago the New York Times and Governor Jerry Brown announced the California Permanent Drought.

California Braces for Unending Drought – The New York Times

Thanks El Niño, But California’s Drought Is Probably Forever | WIRED

A few months later, California was deal with historic flooding.

NWS: Northern California now on pace for ‘wettest water year on record’ – SFGate

There has been no trend in California precipitation over the last 125 years.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

Long term, droughts have become much less common and severe.

Graphic: California’s droughts in the past 1,200 years – The Mercury News

Ancient Trees Reflect Century-Long Droughts : Environment: Analysis of stumps’ rings shows that dry spells can last far longer than the state has estimated, expert says. – latimes

16 Jun 1994, 3 – The Fresno Bee at Newspapers.com

Thirty years ago, the New York Times knew that the 20th century was unusually wet in California, and that the Medieval Warm Period was global.

“Lisa J. Graumlich, who examines the ring patterns of foxtail pine trees and western junipers in the Sierra Nevada, has compiled a detailed record of the year-to-year variation in temperature and precipitation over the last thousand years.

She has seen in the North American trees the feathery but unmistakable signatures of the Medieval Warm Period, a era from 1100 to 1375 A.D. when, according to European writers of the time and other sources, the climate was so balmy that wine grapes flourished in Britain and the Vikings farmed the now-frozen expanse of Greenland; and the Little Ice Age, a stretch of abnormally frigid weather lasting roughly from 1450 to 1850. A Crucial Question

“We can now see that these were global climate phenomena, not regional temperature variations,” she said. “The question is, how did we get those warmer temperatures during pre-industrial times, and what can we learn from those conditions about what is going on today?”

Western landscapes in presettlement era were very smoky places.

Warming? Tree Rings Say Not Yet – The New York Times

Severe Ancient Droughts: A Warning to California – The New York Times

Sixty years ago, the Squaw Valley Winter Olympics almost had to be cancelled because of a lack of snow.

09 Feb 1960, Page 1 – The Berkshire Eagle at Newspapers.com

And in 1932, the Lake Placid Winter Olympics almost had to be cancelled because of a lack of snow.

16 Jan 1932, Page 1 – The Los Angeles Times 

But no shortage of snow now – we are expecting another couple of feet here in Cheyenne, Wyoming this week.

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