97% Of Scientists Agree : How Global Warming Affects Winters

The IPCC says that global warming makes winter mild with less snow :

2001 Ice Storms

Milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms


Settled science also tells us global warming makes winter cold and snowy in the US

Charles H. Greene is professor of earth and atmospheric sciences and a fellow at the David R. Atkinson Center for a Sustainable Future at Cornell University. He is the author of “The Winters of Our Discontent: Loss of Arctic sea ice is stacking the deck in favor of harsh winters in the U.S. and Europe” in the upcoming December 2012 issue of Scientific American.

Expert in Doha – Climate Change Is the Driver Behind Extreme Winters and Superstorm Sandy

Last winter was mild with little snow in the US, and that was blamed on global warming.

06 March 2012

So mild weather this winter hasn’t come out of the blue. “It’s consistent with the idea that global warming is going on,” said Kevin Trenberth, a senior scientist at the independent National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, Colo.

Unusually Warm Winter, But Is It Climate Change? | Mild Winter Weather & Jet Stream | LiveScience

The two snowy winters before that were blamed on missing sea ice.


“Recent severe winters like last year’s or the one of 2005-2006 do not conflict with the global warming picture, but rather supplement it,” explained Vladimir Petoukhov, lead author of the study and a physicist at the Potsdam Institute.

“These anomalies could triple the probability of cold winter extremes in Europe and north Asia,” he said.

The researchers created a computer model simulating the impact on weather patterns of a gradual reduction of winter ice cover in the Barents-Kara Sea, north of Scandinavia.


Heads I win. Tails you lose. There is a 97% chance that climate science is completely corrupt and incompetent.

About Tony Heller

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34 Responses to 97% Of Scientists Agree : How Global Warming Affects Winters

  1. gator69 says:

    And with this consistency of prediction and message, comes global average temperatures measured to a tenth of a degree, accounting for all variables and all noise.

  2. Dave N says:

    When alarmists fight to explain contradictory effects with a single theory, all they’re going to do is succeed in being clueless morons.

    They sign themselves up for ridicule, and deserve all that they receive of it

  3. Mike C says:

    I don’t have a horse in this race, but for at least the last 4 winters in a row here in Gardiner, MT (ele. 5280) we haven’t had a hard frost until well into October. As of today the ground still is not frozen. We received rain all day yesterday and this is December.

    • Enjoy it while you can. next week is forecast to be below zero.

    • Eric Barnes says:

      If you mean this gardiner mt…
      USC00243378 45.0317 -110.7036 1607.8 MT GARDINER
      I think your memory is a little faulty.
      2009 had frosts early. Maybe you have a different idea of a hard frost?

      | minimum | day | month | year |
      | -3.9000 | 9 | 10 | 2008 |
      | -2.2000 | 10 | 10 | 2008 |
      | -3.9000 | 11 | 10 | 2008 |
      | -4.4000 | 12 | 10 | 2008 |
      | -7.2000 | 13 | 10 | 2008 |
      | -6.7000 | 22 | 10 | 2008 |
      | -2.2000 | 23 | 10 | 2008 |
      | -2.8000 | 24 | 10 | 2008 |
      | -3.9000 | 26 | 10 | 2008 |
      | -2.8000 | 3 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -5.0000 | 6 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -3.9000 | 8 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -8.9000 | 9 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -11.1000 | 10 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -12.8000 | 11 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -10.0000 | 12 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -6.7000 | 13 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -2.2000 | 16 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -4.4000 | 25 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -3.9000 | 28 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -8.9000 | 29 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -2.8000 | 30 | 10 | 2009 |
      | -2.2000 | 12 | 10 | 2010 |
      | -2.8000 | 18 | 10 | 2011 |
      | -3.9000 | 25 | 10 | 2011 |
      | -8.9000 | 26 | 10 | 2011 |
      | -8.9000 | 27 | 10 | 2011 |
      | -4.4000 | 28 | 10 | 2011 |
      | -2.8000 | 30 | 10 | 2011 |

      • Mike C says:

        Gardiner has no official recording station so some weather sites take the reading from Lake Yellowstone which is at abut 7,800 feet and some just south of Livingston which is about 50 miles away. NOAA takes it from close to Jardine which is about 8,438 feet in elevation. So those numbers I am guessing are from close to Livingston which is about 600 to 800 feet lower in elevation. I have lived here for nearly 30 years and the first hard frost has always been in September except for the last few years.

      • We had a five year run of really warm summers, where I could swim every afternoon after work. The last few years have been too cold to do that. It’s called weather.

      • Eric Barnes says:

        The data is from the GHCN recording station for Gardiner here …

    • glennc says:

      Go here and plug in October temps.
      Since 1970 there has been no trend whatsoever in Oct mean temp for Montana. In fact, the two coldest October’s have occurred in the past 10 years.

    • Hugh K says:

      “I don’t have a horse in this race….”

      Ahh, but indeed you do
      The very fact that you don’t realize that you have a horse in this race is what alarmist shysters around the globe are counting on.
      But always glad to help a middle-of-the-roader move on over to the correct lane.
      Your horse’s name is ‘Carbon Tax’ and just wait until you see the feed bill. lf/when you see that feed bill, you will then, really be wishing you didn’t have a horse…..racing or not.

      This public service announcement was brought to you by Common Sense Thinkers Supporting Fence Sitters Everywhere.

  4. Marian says:

    There’s a 97% chance they’re saying anything the windblows for funding $$. When their claims don’t stack up. There’s a 97% chance they’re just say that was predicted all along.

    BTW: NZ no longer is going to sign up to Kyoto2. Despite NZ being one of the first countries to jump the gun and sign upto a CO2 ETS for UN brownie point scoring. It’s causing some of the watermelon Greenies here to have a meltdown 🙂

    • Terry Farmer says:

      Kiwi`s pragmatic as always.
      Glad there are still some around that know how to use the grey matter.
      Bring those Environmental Sciantologist to heel.
      Fush and Chups never tasted so good Ha Ha

  5. Dave N says:

    PS: There’s been snow today on Mt Hotham in Victotria (Australia), which is extremely unusual for December. No doubt some clueless alarmists will chalk it up to either an ice cube missing in the Arctic, or “dirty weather”

    • miked1947 says:

      You mean you do not get snow during the Northern Hemisphere Winter? How sad! 😉 Next you are going to say that a White Christmas is not heard of in your neck of the woods! 😉

  6. tomwys says:

    There’s a 100% chance that there is panic among the AGW crowd, as missing Arctic Sea Ice sets up land (snow) albedo around the Arctic, making it COLDER!!! Tough to convince people about Global Warming when temperatures enter the 17th year of what is essentially a flatline, soon to have a decidedly Downward trend!!!

  7. leftinbrooklyn says:

    When you’re convinced that opposites are actually clones of each other, then of course all that you’ll see is trends. Especially when it pays to see them.

  8. A scientific field is immature when papers get published within months of each other which have contradictory conclusions. This happens a lot in climate science.

  9. There are idiots everywhere but they tend to be attracted to AGW like flies to…

    I spoke to an individual today who has to move his sewer pipe 1 metre to where it legally should have gone in the first place, as it can’t stay where it is. He told me he couldn’t move it. I asked him why. He told me that it would undermine the structural foundations of his neighbour’s home. I pointed out that the pipe would traverse 1 metre, was located in the bottom corner of the lot, the neighbour’s home was 15 metres away, built on a cement slab, and further supported by large concrete footings. How would the neighbour’s home risk collapse?

    The reply was: “Well my plumber has 35 years of experience, he knows what he is talking about.”

    Argument from authority!

    Terrific. I didn’t ask but I’m sure he is petrified by climate change as well.

  10. RobertvdL says:

    When do we accept that it has nothing to do with climate. That it is all about gaining power. Climate is just one of the many tools they use to achieve their goal. Their aim is that people voluntarily accept slavery.
    Their end goal is the gas chambers and just before you get in you can ask yourself ” How did we get here? ” Do you think that if they had asked the Jews in 1930 if they accepted to be killed in mass, they would have said yes ! Just some few saw it coming like Albert Einstein. Today they would call him a Denier a Skeptic.

  11. We have in Germany an old farmer’s rule:
    Wenn der Hahn kräht auf dem Mist, dann ändert sich das Wetter, oder es bleibt wie es ist.
    In English:
    When the rooster crows on the dungheap, then the weather will change, or stay as it is.

    Should I believe the 97% farmer’s … sorry … scientist’s?

  12. There is a german saying: Kräht der Hahn auf dem Mist, ändert sich das Wetter oder es bleibt wie es ist ( roughly translated “crows the cock on the dungheap, weather will change .. or it remains as it is”)

  13. Andy OZ says:

    One of our Aussie CSIRO “scientists” at Doha has said today that the global temp will rise 6 degrees C by 2100. The aussie news blogs went into meltdown, pun intended, with panic. “The Carbon Tax will save us”!! What a complete bunch of morons.

  14. vognmand says:

    “Climate change” will lead to mild winters. Or cold winters. Probably. Or probably not.
    War is peace, oppression is freedom. Welcome home, George Orwell!

  15. Ray says:

    I can predict right now, that if we have a cold winter in the U.K. some idiot will blame it on “climate change”, or “global weirding”, or “dirty weather”.

  16. Tel says:

    Remember the record-breaking heatwave in Moscow a few years back? Clearly a sign of Global Warming right?

    So now the record breaking snowfall in Moscow is a sign of, well you know…

    Let’s just set the record straight, weather IS climate, because the newspapers told me so!

  17. Just saying says:

    Hey look. I’m going to have to point out that in a few months around July, the temperature is going to warm up dramatically. Also, because of the position of the earth to the sun Weather patterns seem to change as time goes by. Various measurements by scientist have proven this. A relative distance to the sun/global warming tax might need implemented. Also because of the seemingly warming caused by earth rotation, it could cause another cold spell to manifest as time goes on. More money for research is really needed on this subject.

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