Hansen’s Dice Crap Out Of The Game

ScreenHunter_1907 Aug. 13 09.41

On a hot day in 1988, Hansen told this to the US Congress

His Bold Statement Transforms the Debate On Greenhouse Effect

He held up one die representing the climate for the period 1950-1980. Two sides were white for an average summer, and two other sides were blue for colder-than-average summers. The other two sides were red for hotter-than-average summers. Thus, on a roll of the die for that period, there were two chances in six of having a hot summer at any given location in the country.

Then Dr. Hansen picked up the die for the 1990’s and explained:

If our climate model calculations are approximately correct, the greenhouse warming in the 1990’s will be sufficient to shift the probabilities such that the chance of a hot summer in most of the country will be in the range of 55 to 80 percent. Four sides of the die are red. I believe it is obvious that the man in the street will notice that by then the dice are loaded. There will be more hot summers than normal, and the hottest ones will be hotter than they used to be.” 

His forecast couldn’t possibly have done any worse. He gave it during the hottest summer on record in DC, and this year has been second coolest

So far this year, less than 2.5% of days in Maryland have been over 90 degrees, which is the second lowest on record. Compare to the peak year of 1988, when over 19% of days through August 11 were over 90 degrees.

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For the entire US, the frequency of 90 degree days has plummeted, and is near record lows

ScreenHunter_1910 Aug. 13 09.51

About Tony Heller

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13 Responses to Hansen’s Dice Crap Out Of The Game

  1. g2-9ed9acc685824c6663c51c5b093476cc says:

    I think the WARMISTS are the “climate deniers.”

  2. Andy DC says:

    It is about time that these charlatans are called out for all of their totally failed earlier forecasts and not allowed to wrigglle out of it like they have been.

  3. Eliza says:

    Predict that this time its gonna cross the line. Basically the last bastion of AGW will be broken. From now on AGW will become a political story “ONLY”. Forget any of the science. LOL

  4. Cheshirered says:

    You’re not going to be popular in the Hansen household.

  5. Glacierman says:

    Doh! Homer did it again.

  6. Bill says:

    Looks like that data needs to be adjusted. You can’t expect to use thermometer data from the 1990’s and compare it to 1988!! 🙂

  7. BallBounces says:

    At this very moment NASA is busy adjusting, er, fine-tuning, the colors on Hansen’s dice. They’ll be re-issuing any day now.

    Plus a typo correction: “Four sides of the die are red” is now “For, sides of the die are read”.

  8. Paul in Sweden says:

    It is a tragedy, you would think that with loaded dice the warmists would at the very least get something right every once in a while.

    • Gail Combs says:

      Mother Nature is laughing, rolling on the floor laughing. I hear Acu-weather is predicting the USA will get slammed with another polar vortex (cold weather) in September. Right now it is 66.7°F (19°C) in mid North Carolina. ( lat 35.5° N) BRRrrrrr. This is the time of year we see temps between 32°C and 38°C.

      I have not turned on my Air conditioner all summer.

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