Arctic sea ice is in a life-spiral and is highest extent in a decade, while global sea ice area has been persistently above normal for almost two years. So how does the monthly Serreze propaganda report begin?
Sled dog days of summer
Arctic sea ice extent declined at a fairly rapid rate through the first three weeks of July, but the loss rate then slowed due to a shift in weather patterns.
Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis | Sea ice data updated daily with one-day lag
Translated to scientific terms – melting since July 1 (shown below in red) has been very slow, and ice extent threatens to cross to “above normal”
Deep in der Fuhrerbunker of Sks the alarms are whooping.
I suspect — and sadly, I am not joking — that if the area curve actually threatens to touch the normal line, that the calculation algorithm will be changed in such a way that the curve stays below the line.
Sadly I believe you will be correct.
What would it look like if instead of 1979-2000 for the mean they went 1979-2013? So who is cherry picking already.
I note that from the link that you give, and navigating to the ‘Sled dog days of summer’ piece, the message on the page is “Comments are Closed”.
Obviously they can not take the heat of criticism for lines like “Ice extent is below average in nearly all sectors of the Arctic. ” ( my bold) being in their write-up.
Well… KEEP all current images with current baseline used and use it against them IF they change it. I honestly believe that these scientist must be really scratching their heads and wondering if they better not change their tune soon before its too late when the real S### hits the fan big time LOL You see if the whole thing does come tumbling down, none will be considered very suitable as employable scientists in the future. Im pretty sure even Zeke, Stokes, Revkin ect et al must be wondering if they were totally wrong after all
Al Gore has already left the stage: Al Gore Walks Away From Green Energy
BTW you can bet your A@@ that many of these warmist folks are very carefully scrutinizing this site.
Note that the declination of the slope of the extrapolated July Arctic sea ice extent is less than that of the 1979 – 2000 mean.
This plot needs to be adjusted to include years prior to 1979….
1979 measured highest in Arctic ice… so it skews the mean… but of course that’s what Warmists want.
M.S. and gang simply cannot help but skew results as best they can.
I wonder if deep down, some of the alarmists are not hoping for significant warming and all the related observations.
Notice how, relatively good news (although I think warming may be on balance beneficial) never hits the media.
Within one standard deviation—great!
So now the weather is working against them! Interesting. What are they studying again?
Nothing that a bit of “homogenisation” won’t cure.
“a fairly rapid rate”……well if that word smithing doesn’t scream agenda….nothing does
Yes- Fairly rapid as compared to what? The few years, comparatively speaking, out of 4billion they have the data for?
“Maximum extent is usually reached in September or October, at the end of the austral summer.”
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Buffoons…..
I thought the arctic ice was controlled by climate. Now he’s saying it is weather, not climate? I’m so confused.
To expand this discussion, I’ve posted a summary with graphs and charts on the above-average ice coverage on Hudson Bay and in Foxe Basin – good for the polar bears, don’t you know. http://polarbearscience.com/2014/08/07/foxe-basin-and-hudson-bay-have-more-than-average-polar-bear-hunting-habitat/
Worth a visit to your site. I especially liked the quote from “Mr. Zac Unger. It is darn good advice for all scientists.
Good stuff here and for more in depth daily coverage of the unfolding Arctic ice sage this is the place to go: http://sunriseswansong.wordpress.com/2014/07/27/arctic-sea-ice-melt-the-death-spirals-debunking
For the latest info, as Caleb updates it daily, go to the start of the comments section, then scroll up. My comment at the link:
Now is the time that certain people are really getting interested in this. And sometimes they see the Goddard post, including myself, and am thinking this is good but I want MORE info! So the place to go for that is sunriseswangsong!
1979 was a highpoint for Arctic Ice…
This plot needs to be adjusted to include prior years….. 1979 as a baseline is biased…
When it comes to polar ice, nothing exists before 1979…at least that’s the official “Team” line. That’s the start of ‘modern’ satellite monitoring.
NSIDC seems to be using 1981 as the starting point for Arctic Ice now… anybody know why??
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
Oh, I see now… 1981 is the highest point ever recorded on their chart… while 2010 is the lowest…
The NSIDC Plot calculates the Median between 1981 – 2010 now… really skewing the number as best as they can… WTF?? If I can see this in just a few minutes worth of examination… WHY can’t they? Nobody calling them out apparently…
You have just got to love how such a “settled science” keeps changing the way things are measured.
Just picking cherries at NSIDC.
What will they do when their new cherry-picked median fails them?
Wow, it’s like Serreze wants it to melt down… no encouraging words from that man
Needless to say I beg to differ. Just for starters 2006 was higher. According to the NSIDC at least!
https://twitter.com/jim_hunt/statuses/497512863289057280
Jim, Jim, Jim–Goddard allowing you to comment here makes you a liar when you say “Goddard censors the truth”.
You might want to watch your terminology, in the future, lest everyone starts to think you are a complete—well, we won’t go there….
Ok Jim-so if true, is evidence of what?
Not so very long ago Tony had this to say:
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/who-is-steven-goddard/
“I am more than happy to debate anyone who feels up to the challenge, including the President of The United States. Science works through research and debate – not censorship, propaganda, faith, or intimidation”.
The word “hypocrisy” springs to mind, does it not?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C_Kh7nLplWo
Failed transvestite blogger Jim Hunt is being censored at the only place that lets him spam his moronic nonsense. Totally makes sense, dude.
Stark – Where’s this comment on here by my alter ego back way in March hiding then?
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/04/15/nobel-prize-winner-says-that-the-arctic-will-be-ice-free-in-less-than-20-weeks/#comment-339305
Jim, with your twisted logic and desperate grasping-at-straws it is easy to see why your blog has been such a failure.
You might try things like–facts, common-sense, meaningful logic, making a point, and having a clue.
Just trying to help.
SO?
I have had comments go into moderation and never see light of day here, at WUWT, and at many other sites.
Generally it is non-human glitches at work.
Of course there’s always the exception that proves the rule!
That’s a colossally stupid statement.
Merely jocular nonsense:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exception_that_proves_the_rule