Why Detailed Analysis Matters

Gavin uses this smear graph to fool people into thinking he hasn’t changed the data very much over time.


As I showed yesterday, a more detailed analysis indicates that the changes are huge.

Link to NASA files  2016  2012  2000

Since the year 2000, the problems continue. Gavin’s surface data does not even vaguely match satellite temperatures.


Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

Satellites show land temperatures declining from 2000 to 2015.


If we tack the satellite data on to the the 2000 GISS version we see a total of 0.6C global warming, but the 2016 GISS version shows more than double that, 1.3C warming.

The 0.6C warming number doesn’t frighten anyone, but a mythology has been created around the 1.3C number that is supposed to terrify people.

However, the problem is much worse than that. By the year 2000, NASA had already erased half of the 1940 to 1970 cooling indicated by NCAR in 1974. In the 2016 version, Gavin has completely erased it. It is likely that the total warming since 1940 is less than 0.3C. Hardly a hockey stick.

14 Jul 1974, Page 1 – Lincoln Evening Journal

The surface temperature record constantly changes and is garbage. The people handling the data are climate scientists, who are continuously introducing confirmation bias into the data set. Handling of the temperature data needs to be moved to independent agencies which have no vested interest in the outcome.

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21 Responses to Why Detailed Analysis Matters

  1. Latitude says:

    I wonder if they realize they are invalidating their claims about what they claim is the current rate of global warming….(lack of coffee, I know that was convoluted but you get the point)

    The rate the claim today…will be adjusted tomorrow…and that produces a different rate.

    Someone ask Gavin when does he predict we will know what the temperature was today?
    …in five years? 10?

    • Gail Combs says:

      “…Someone ask Gavin when does he predict we will know what the temperature was today?
      …in five years? 10?”

      Right after January 20th 2017 and that has him scared to death.

      I am sure Gavin has his tickets for his flight back to the UK on January 19th already purchased.

      • Latitude says:

        from your lips to God’s ear….

        Problem with that is, he can get away with all his BS in the UK

      • saveenergy says:

        We don’t want him !
        Send him to Antarctica or Greenland to measure the ice melt.

        Strange this post only arrived on Jan 8th ?????

        • Gail Combs says:

          You have been caught in the ‘Fake News’ food fight esp if you have google mail.

          Google and WordUnimpressed are now censoring anything they think is not socialist enough.

          E.M.Smith says:
          31 December 2016 at 10:20 pm

          Both got flagged as SPAM, and it almost certainly the URL was PC tagged by “someone” and now I’m tagging it as “OK” via fishing it out and the Truthyness Wars go on…

          There’s been a spate of this since the “Fake News” meme / fantasy / Social Manipulation push begain…

          So it is hitting a lot of different sites.

          During the Trump campaign, the first time Trump asked for donations Google was diverting his e-mails to his followers directly to TRASH ( not even to spam) At the same time e-mail from the RNC and my republican senators and Congress critters were never messed with.
          (Reported at ConservativeTreeHouse too.)

          Must ‘av been them thar Russikies What done it!!!

  2. CheshireRed says:

    It’s almost as if one of Gavin’s data-screws came loose around the year 2000 and the whole data-set pivoted upwards – and has stayed completely out of sync with observed reality evah since. From that day forth it just happens to be ‘showing’ the hottest years evah while Gavin has refused point-blank to discuss with anyone sceptical, including the very sensible Dr Roy Spencer.

    Screw loose + dodgy data + refusal to debate = amazeballs!

  3. Steve Case says:

                         Same bullshit is going on with sea level.

  4. Kyle_Fouro says:

    I recall seeing claims that satellite warming matches GISS? What’s that all about?

  5. AndyG55 says:

    OT, snow falls in the Sahara.


    Pics are amazing, the way the snow mixes with the orange dust makes it look like a peach sundae with cream :-)

  6. Brian G Valentine says:

    As the years went on, Gavin evidently became increasingly paranoid and made the adjustments worse.

    Gavin never answered my emails years ago, I don’t use twitter. He wouldn’t answer me there anyway.

  7. 7Kiwi says:


    Serious question, why is there such a big difference between Gavin’s smear graph and your analysis?

  8. Pingback: Why Detailed Analysis Matters — The Deplorable Climate Science Blog (Rudy exposes political data tampering-tr) | libertariantranslator

  9. AndyOz says:

    The data should be given to the IRS.
    If anyone can keep data records and get to the bottom of a fraud it should be them.
    The only vested interest they might have is pursuing wind & solar companies for tax fraud as phoenix companies.

  10. Sparks says:

    Spotted this, apparently from the national geographic in the 1970’s

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