Yale University Vies For Top Fake News Spot

Yale University has been a top contender for fake news, with impressively fraudulent articles like this one claiming autumn in the Arctic was 36 degrees above normal.

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An Unusually Warm Arctic Year: Sign of Future Climate Turmoil? by Fen Montaigne: Yale Environment 360

There is no indication that Arctic temperatures have been anywhere close to 36 degrees above normal.

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Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

The Arctic is full of ice, and volume is just below the 2004-2013 average..

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DMI Modelled ice thickness

Greenland has gained a record amount of ice this autumn.

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Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI

Criminals who have been living off lying about the climate are getting desperate ahead of the Trump administration.

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34 Responses to Yale University Vies For Top Fake News Spot

  1. Caleb says:

    I’ve been watching the situation up there all autumn, and there actually has been the import of milder-than-normal air up that way, hand in hand with the export of colder-than-normal air south. If it is thirty-above-normal at the Pole it is balanced by it being thirty-below normal in Eurasia.

    It seems to me that if you want the planet to warm up you would want the milder air to stay further south, changing snow to rain and keeping the snow-cover further north. The further south the snow-line comes the more sunshine it reflects during the day, and the more radiational cooling “creates cold” during the night, which makes the winter worse. Also any “heat” sent north to the Pole is soon too chilled to melt any ice, and the heat is basically squandered to outer space.

    It makes me nervous that the current pattern is losing so much heat to outer space, up at the Pole. Even when the AO is positive there seems to be a low pressure up there, like the whirlpool over a drain in a bathtub, indicating (to me at least) the air is constantly rising to lose heat up at the tropospause. I wonder if this pattern is brought on by the “Quiet Sun”, and is indicative of our planet being drained of heat as it moves to a Little Ice Age.

    The so-called “climate scientists” really seem shallow to me, and to scan the surface of earth for warm places, never thinking any deeper than a sound bite.

    The extreme cold at lower latitudes looks like it is now shifting from Asia to North America. Now it’s my turn to shudder. However that little drain up at the Pole keeps draining, now starting to suck its heat from the Pacific side.

    https://sunriseswansong.wordpress.com/2016/12/05/arctic-sea-ice-the-long-arm-of-the-ralph/

    • Gail Combs says:

      RACookPE1978 2014 comment (quite long with math) takes a long look at open water vs ice covered water in the Arctic and Antarctic.

      The meat for the layman:

      The second assumption about Arctic Amplification, and easily the second most important assumption in the entire CAGW religion, is how the CAGW dogma assumes the albedo change as the polar icecap reduces will affect future climate. Sea Ice vs Open Ocean albedo does matter, and, in truth, really deserves a long conversation in its own entire thread, but let’s look at few important things….

      …So, in September in the high Arctic when the solar elevation angle SEA is NEVER more than 8-10 degrees above the horizon at ANY time of the day when the sun is even visible, what is the measured clear sky open ocean albedo? Between 0.22 and 0.35.

      Not all that much different from the albedo of the “dirty sea ice” that is melting away. Yes, there is an increase in absorbed radiation in the Arctic above 78-82 latitude when sea ice is replaced by open ocean, BUT it is not very much difference in energy over the 12 hours of even potential sunlight!

      And, although the sun’s rays do heat the open water slightly during those daylight hours, the open water about 78-82 north loses MORE HEAT to the sky over the entire period of the 24 hour day through increased long-wave radiation, increased evaporation, increased convection, and increased conduction than does sea ice!

      Rather than an “arctic sea ice amplification” the numbers show that – during the late melting season under today’s conditions, every square meter of open ocean north of 76-82 north LOSES more heat on a daily basis than does sea-ice-covered arctic waters under the same air conditions!

      The exact opposite, unfortunate, is also true down south:
      Under today’s conditions at Antarctic sea ice extents between 60 south and 70 south latitudes, EVERY square kilometer of increased Antarctic sea ice at ANY time of year reflects more energy into space away from the planet, INCREASES total planet cooling!

      This is why the ClimAstrologists focus on the Arctic and then lie their rear ends off.

  2. Brad says:

    The DMI graph does show about 10 kelvin difference from the mean. Which is roughly 36F. But that is just one data point. And that data doesn’t correlate with observed sea ice volume in the arctic or Greenland. So either it is an outlier, or it has no functional relevancy.

    • Gail Combs says:

      In the summer the temperature has very little swing. In the winter the temperature is all over the place so these temperatures mean nothing once they go below freezing.
      You can see the wide swings in winter on these three graphs:

      http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2000.png

      http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2002.png

      http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2006.png

      And a couple nice spikes from ten years ago.

      • Caleb says:

        Most people seem to look at the “above normal” part of the graph as a power that will melt ice, but the temperatures are far below freezing, so at best it may mean the ice thickens a little less. However the “above normal” part of the graph also represents heat that found its way north, and now has no place to go but up into outer space. In fact, if you could add up the area of white between the green-line-of-normalcy and the red-line-of-reality, it might be a decent measure of how much EXTRA heat was lost.

    • AndyG55 says:

      A difference in temperature of 10K is a difference of 19ºF

      • AndyG55 says:

        yawn

        No there isn’t

        During the first 3/4 of the Holocene, Arctic sea ice levels were much lower. Beneficially so.

        Or are you still comparing to a very short time period shortly after the COLDEST period in the last 10,000 years, when Arctic sea ice level are dropping down from an EXTREME in 1979 which was nearly as high as during the LIA.

        That would be a very DUMB and IGNORANT thing to do, wouldn’t it, Griff.

        But that is AGW propaganda to a tee…. DUMB and IGNORANT.

        • Gail Combs says:

          Griff is very very stupid. (Ignorance can be cured but stupid is bone deep.)

          Here you go Griff, Peer-reviewed studies:

          Holocene is the interglacial we are currently in and as Andy keeps telling you the Arctic was ice free during the early Holocene.

          Ice free Arctic Ocean, an Early Holocene analogue

          Abstract
          Extensive systems of wave generated beach ridges along the North Greenland coasts show that these areas once saw seasonally open water. In addition to beach ridges, large amounts of striated boulders in and on the marine sediments from the same period also indicate that the ocean was open enough for ice bergs to drift along the shore and drop their loads. Presently the North Greenland coastline is permanently beleaguered by pack ice, and ice bergs are very rare and locked up in the sea ice. Predictions of the rapidly decreasing sea ice in the Arctic Ocean generally point to this area as the last to become ice free in summer. We therefore suggest that the occurrence of wave generated shores and abundant ice berg dropped boulders indicate that the Arctic Ocean was nearly free of sea ice in the summer at the time when they were formed….

          Temperature and precipitation history of the Arctic

          …. Solar energy reached a summer maximum (9% higher than at present) ~11 ka ago and has been decreasing since then, primarily in response to the precession of the equinoxes. The extra energy elevated early Holocene summer temperatures throughout the Arctic 1-3°C above 20th century averages, enough to completely melt many small glaciers throughout the Arctic, although the Greenland Ice Sheet was only slightly smaller than at present. Early Holocene summer sea ice limits were substantially smaller than their 20th century average, and the flow of Atlantic water into the Arctic Ocean was substantially greater. As summer solar energy decreased in the second half of the Holocene, glaciers re-established or advanced, sea ice expanded

          A new approach for reconstructing glacier variability based on lake sediments recording input from more than one glacier January 2012

          …. A multi-proxy numerical analysis demonstrates that it is possible to distinguish a glacier component in the ~ 8000-yr-long record, based on distinct changes in grain size, geochemistry, and magnetic composition…. This signal is …independently tested through a mineral magnetic provenance analysis of catchment samples. Minimum glacier input is indicated between 6700–5700 cal yr BP, probably reflecting a situation when most glaciers in the catchment had melted away, whereas the highest glacier activity [growth] is observed around 600 and 200 cal yr BP. During the local Neoglacial interval (~ 4200 cal yr BP until present), five individual periods of significantly reduced glacier extent are identified at ~ 3400, 3000–2700, 2100–2000, 1700–1500, and ~ 900 cal yr BP….
          http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0033589411001256

          The highest glacier growth started 600 years ago prior to that most glaciers had melted away.

          So there you go.

          THREE STRIKES YOU ARE OUT!

          • AndyG55 says:

            He has been shown this REALITY many, many times.

            His IGNORANCE is totally in his hands.

            But he CHOOSES to remain IGNORANT.

          • Gail Combs says:

            As I said stupid runs bone deep.

            OR

            ‘It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.’ — Upton Sinclair

  3. Gail Combs says:

    Meanwhile

    Hundreds of Italians Take to Streets Demanding Exit from EU

    and

    Donald Trump Named TIME’s Person Of The Year with many outright or subtle insults throughout the magazine cover and story. They HAD to give him the award and they’re absolutely hating it. If you want to given them clicks, the editorial is HERE.

    — SORE LOSERS! —-
    Just what you would expect from the participation award generation.

    Notice the shabby, stained, shopworn (photoshopped?) chair.

  4. Gail Combs says:

    oops,

    Here is that cover:

  5. Gail Combs says:

    And more butt hurt from Times Magazine as they encourage citizens not to pay taxes in order to hurt Trump presidency:

    A national movement not to pay federal taxes in the future would put Republicans on notice: they do not have the right to impose a hard-right, second-place presidency on a moderate nation every dozen or so years. If the Republicans won’t help amend the Constitution so that America can resume being a democracy, then Democrats, lacking the representation that supporters of a future popular vote-winner ought to have in the executive branch, should not submit to paying taxes to the federal government…

    http://time.com/4590994/popular-vote-tax-pledge/

    § 2383 – Rebellion or insurrection

    …Whoever incites, sets on foot, assists, or engages in any rebellion or insurrection against the authority of the United States or the laws thereof, or gives aid or comfort thereto, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than ten years, or both; and shall be incapable of holding any office under the United States.
    (June 25, 1948, ch. 645, 62 Stat. 808; Pub. L. 103–322, title XXXIII, § 330016(1)(L), Sept. 13, 1994, 108 Stat. 2147.)

    Actual copy of law: http://uscode.house.gov/statviewer.htm?volume=62&page=808

    • Neal S says:

      What an idiotic article. I hope lots of leftists join and do this, and then get prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law. Apparently this guy doesn’t understand that the USA was never a direct democracy but was always a constitutional representative republic. He seems to think that mob rule is fair. If he ever were NOT part of the mob, he might think differently.

      He also seems to think that the government will respond well to threats. I don’t think so. He rallies around “No Taxation Without Representation”. I think it is time for a little bit of “No Representation Without Taxation”.

      I am tired of people on subsidies and welfare who contribute NOTHING of any value to this country of having the same vote as I have.

  6. lance says:

    My old stomping grounds in the high arctic is sitting at -30 C, normal high, -30, normal low -37….must be some new math on that article…
    http://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/nu-11_metric_e.html

  7. Gerald Machnee says:

    There is a conference on the Arctic in Winnipeg this week. Appears they have some better experts: Read:
    http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/climate-change-on-fast-forward-in-arctic-u-of-m-scientist-warns-405091456.html
    Some lead scientist named Ferguson now claims that Hudson Bay will have ice free WINTERS in 5 to 10 years.
    Has Dave Barber beat that one?

  8. BerlinDiarist says:

    My idea is to maroon them on an iceberg, along with Gore, DeCrapio etc and make them listen to Gore’s old speeches. They will kill each other in two weeks!:)

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