The Incredible Heatwaves Of January 30, 1931 And 1911

9 Responses to The Incredible Heatwaves Of January 30, 1931 And 1911

1. nick smith says:

   January 30, 2017 at 1:50 am

   Long time reader and love your dedication. I am a “denier” or smart person depending on ones perspective. Long story short, I have a chance (an open minded liberal) who wants to read some of the articles, studies, etc I read that makes me believe that Climate Change is largely bunk. Can you and certainly all your readers and posters point me to some of the few academics, etc that disagree with the 98% BS? Maybe, studies that refute or at least create gaps in the impact of people to the climate, etc. I am actually deep in my cursory knowledge on the subject, but really want to dump the most reputable strong material on him….I want to get a “believer” to convert or at least create an open mind… Get me or is this too scrambled? Any suggestions help.

   Reply
   • Steve Case says:

     January 30, 2017 at 9:43 am

     Have your acquaintance do some simple research here are some links with regard to sea level:

     http://www.psmsl.org/data/obtaining/
     http://sealevel.colorado.edu/
     https://web.archive.org/web/*/http://sealevel.colorado.edu/
     And an excellent Excel help page:
     https://www.mrexcel.com/forum/index.php

     Reply
   • gator69 says:

     January 30, 2017 at 10:28 am

     I always start by explaining that there is nothing unusual or unprecedented about our current climate or weather. Everything we are seeing now has been seen before, and it is all easily explained by natural variability. These charts should help…

     http://notrickszone.com/2016/09/27/hide-the-decline-unveiled-50-non-hockey-stick-graphs-quash-modern-global-warming-claims/#sthash.TSeIS8qr.rvKY6B9P.dpbs

     4,500,000,000 years of set precedence cannot be ignored or dismissed.

     Reply
     • nick smith says:

       January 30, 2017 at 1:46 pm

       Thank you very much guys. Great resources. Hopefully when the government funding dries up for this epic scam/brainwash the sea levels will begin to fall and the planet heal.

       Reply
       • gator69 says:

         January 30, 2017 at 2:00 pm

         The planet is doing fine. But there are 21,000 people who will starve to death today, and virtually every one of them could be saved if we would simply stop throwing trillions of dollars at a natural cycle, and allocate those funds correctly. Have your friend defend climate spending after watching this…

         https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtbn9zBfJSs

         Reply
       • Gail Combs says:

         January 30, 2017 at 2:11 pm

         Sea levels began to fall during the Little Ice Age. That is why Roman ports are a mile inland. I would worry more about the glaciers growing if I were you.

         Notice the area where Roman sea ports are inland is tectonically stable according to NASA.
         List of Roman Sea Ports found inland
         (Has great pictures and maps.)

         For the areas occupied by the Romans it was pretty close to zero or actually sinking! “..the pivot point is rather abrupt; Scotland is still rising due to the rebound effect which is correspondingly sinking England 2 millimetres into the North Sea each year.”

         https://i0.wp.com/basementgeographer.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/PGR_Paulson07_big.jpg

         TEN PEER-REVIEWED PAPERS PROVING SEA LEVEL IS NOT RISING

         STUDY #1
         Mid to late Holocene sea-level reconstruction of Southeast Vietnam using beachrock and beach-ridge deposits

         ….backshore deposits along the tectonically stable south-eastern Vietnamese coast document Holocene sea level changes…..reconstructed for the last 8000 years….The rates of sea-level rise decreased sharply after the rapid early Holocene rise and stabilized at a rate of 4.5 mm/year between 8.0 and 6.9 ka. Southeast Vietnam beachrocks reveal that the mid-Holocene sea-level highstand slightly above + 1.4 m was reached between 6.7 and 5.0 ka, with a peak value close to + 1.5 m around 6.0 ka….

         Translation the sea level was up to 1.5 meters higher than today in a tectonically stable area ~5000 years ago to 2000 years ago. Tectonically stable area refers to areas devoid of deformation such as all processes which modify the external form of the crust. For example unidirectional vertical movements, plate tectonics and also the rise and fall of the solid earth surface, especially in coastal areas, caused by external factors such as climate change (gio-isotasy, hydro-isotasy)

         STUDY #2
         Sea-level highstand recorded in Holocene shoreline deposits on Oahu, Hawaii

         Unconsolidated carbonate sands and cobbles on Kapapa Island, windward Oahu, are 1.4-2.8 (+ or – 0.25) m above present mean sea level (msl)…we interpret the deposit to be a fossil beach or shoreline representing a highstand of relative sea level during middle to late Holocene time. Calibrated radiocarbon dates of coral and mollusc samples, and a consideration of the effect of wave energy setup, indicate that paleo-msl was at least 1.6 (+ or – 0.45) m above present msl prior to 3889-3665 cal. yr B.P, possibly as early as 5532-5294 cal. yr B.P., and lasted until at least 2239-1940 cal. yr B.P
         jsedres(DOT)geoscienceworld.org/content/66/3/632.abstract

         This study shows a sea level highstand ~1.6 meter above the present level from ~5500 years ago to 2000 years ago.

         STUDY #3
         Late Quaternary highstand deposits of the southern Arabian Gulf: a record of sea-level and climate change

         Abstract
         …..It has therefore been necessary to infer the ages of these sediments by a comparison of their stratigraphy and elevation with deposits known from other parts of the world. We regard this approach as valid because the southern Gulf coastline lacks evidence for significant widespread neotectonic uplift,…….
         …..Widespread evidence exists for a Holocene sea level higher than at present in the southern Arabian Gulf, indicating that it peaked at 1–2 m above present level, c. 5.5 ka bp……. sp(DOT)lyellcollection.org/content/195/1/371.refs

         This study shows a sea level highstand ~1 to 2 meters above the present level about ~5500 years ago.

         STUDY #4
         The Quaternary Geological History of the Santa Catarina Southeastern Region (Brazil) 1999

         The first part discusses drilling in several locations and analyzing samples. They mention dating prior to that was guesses. “…. A drilling campaign done in the domain permitted the sampling of material for 14C datings, and the obtained data confirmed some previously assumed ages. The sequence of events, that originated the Holocene deposits, has been also reconstructed through drilling and 14C dating of the collected peat and shell samples…”

         In the body of the text is this:

         THE HOLOCENE DEPOSITIONAL SYSTEM
         Partially abutted against the Pleistocene barrier island/lagoonal system III, there is the Holocene depositional system. This unit is attributable to the Santos Transgression of Suguio & Martin (1978), along the State of São Paulo coastline, or to the Last Transgression of Bittencourt et al. (1979) along the State of Bahia coastline, being similar to the barrier island/lagoonal system IV of Villwock et al. (1986), along the State of Rio Grande do Sul coastline.

         This system is related to the post-glacial transgressive episode whose culmination stage was attained about 5.1 ky BP, when a barrier island alignment was formed parallel to the shoreline, while drainage net was drowned. The subsequent regressive episode promoted the barrier island progradation following the lagoonal basin silting.

         The paleoshorelines limited by ancient cliffs carved within Pleistocene terraces, presently representing the inner limit of the Holocene terrace, shows that this sea-level reached about 4m above the present one. Several terraces situated in different altitudes, and truncation of past morphological features nowadays observed on Holocene deposits, as well as along present lagoonal margins suggest that small scale sea-level oscillations occurred during the last 5 ky….
         (wwwDOT)scielo.br/scielo.php?pid=S0001-37652000000200011&script=sci_arttext

         This study shows a sea level highstand ~ 4 meters above the present level about ~5000 years ago. With sea level oscillating since then. Not only has the sea levels have dropped since the Holocene Optimum the evidence shows that “warmer paleotemperatures were favourable for great proliferation of mollusks in the area”
         Santa Catarina Brazil is at latitude 27.2500°S and is tectonically stable.

         STUDY #5
         Holocene sea-level change and ice-sheet history in the Vestfold Hills, East Antarctica

         A new Holocene sea-level record from the Vestfold Hills, Antarctica, has been obtained by dating the lacustrine–marine and marine–lacustrine transitions that occur in sediment cores from lakes which were formerly connected to the sea. From an elevation of ∼7.5 m 8000 yr ago, relative sea-level rose to a maximum ∼9 m above present sea-level 6200 yr ago. Since then, sea-level has fallen monotonically until the present….
         (wwwDOT)sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012821X97002045

         The above is a RELATIVE sea level. The area is not tectonically stable because the area has isostatic uplift in response to deglaciation from the Wisconsin Ice Age. The same applies to the following study.

         STUDY #6
         A new Holocene relative sea level curve for the South Shetland Islands, Antarctica

         The curve shows a mid-Holocene RSL highstand on Fildes Peninsula at 15.5 m above mean sea level between 8000 and 7000 cal a BP. Subsequently RSL gradually fell as a consequence of isostatic uplift in response to regional deglaciation….
         nora(DOT)nerc.ac.uk/15786/

         Reply
       • Gail Combs says:

         January 30, 2017 at 2:12 pm

         VALIDATION BY ALTERNATE STUDIES
         GLACIAL ADVANCE
         STUDY #7
         Ice free Arctic Ocean, an Early Holocene analogue

         Abstract
         Extensive systems of wave generated beach ridges along the North Greenland coasts show that these areas once saw seasonally open water. In addition to beach ridges, large amounts of striated boulders in and on the marine sediments from the same period also indicate that the ocean was open enough for ice bergs to drift along the shore and drop their loads. Presently the North Greenland coastline is permanently beleaguered by pack ice, and ice bergs are very rare and locked up in the sea ice. Predictions of the rapidly decreasing sea ice in the Arctic Ocean generally point to this area as the last to become ice free in summer. We therefore suggest that the occurrence of wave generated shores and abundant ice berg dropped boulders indicate that the Arctic Ocean was nearly free of sea ice in the summer at the time when they were formed. The beach ridges occur as isostatically raised “staircases”, and C14-dated curves for relative sea level change show that they were formed in the Early Holocene. A large set of samples of molluscs from beach ridges and marine sediments were collected in the summer of 2007, and are presently being dated to give a precise dating of the ice free interval. Preliminary results indicate that it fell within the interval from c. 8.5 to c. 6 ka – being progressively shorter from south to north. We therefore conclude that for a period in the Early Holocene, probably for a millenium or more, the Arctic Ocean was free of sea ice at least for shorter periods in the summer….

         STUDY #8
         Temperature and precipitation history of the Arctic

         …. Solar energy reached a summer maximum (9% higher than at present) ~11 ka ago and has been decreasing since then, primarily in response to the precession of the equinoxes. The extra energy elevated early Holocene summer temperatures throughout the Arctic 1-3°C above 20th century averages, enough to completely melt many small glaciers throughout the Arctic, although the Greenland Ice Sheet was only slightly smaller than at present. Early Holocene summer sea ice limits were substantially smaller than their 20th century average, and the flow of Atlantic water into the Arctic Ocean was substantially greater. As summer solar energy decreased in the second half of the Holocene, glaciers re-established or advanced, sea ice expanded…

         STUDY #9
         A new approach for reconstructing glacier variability based on lake sediments recording input from more than one glacier January 2012

         …. A multi-proxy numerical analysis demonstrates that it is possible to distinguish a glacier component in the ~ 8000-yr-long record, based on distinct changes in grain size, geochemistry, and magnetic composition…. This signal is …independently tested through a mineral magnetic provenance analysis of catchment samples. Minimum glacier input is indicated between 6700–5700 cal yr BP, probably reflecting a situation when most glaciers in the catchment had melted away, whereas the highest glacier activity [growth] is observed around 600 and 200 cal yr BP. During the local Neoglacial interval (~ 4200 cal yr BP until present), five individual periods of significantly reduced glacier extent are identified at ~ 3400, 3000–2700, 2100–2000, 1700–1500, and ~ 900 cal yr BP….
         (wwwDOT)sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0033589411001256

         The highest glacier growth started 600 years ago prior to that most glaciers had melted away.

         THIRD METHOD OF VALIDATION
         STUDY #10
         Sea Level Changes Past Records and Future Expectations

         For the last 40-50 years strong observational facts indicate virtually stable sea level conditions. The Earth’s rate of rotation records an [average] acceleration from 1972 to 2012, contradicting all claims of a rapid global sea level rise, and instead suggests stable, to slightly falling, sea levels.

         Have they corrected for the 18.6-yearly Luna Nodal cycle? Linear trend lines on sinusoidal curves are very time dependent.
         The Dutch who are the most concerned about actual sea level rise have found the cycle.

         Local Relative Sea Level
         To determine the relevance of the nodal cycle at the Dutch coast, a spectral analysis was carried out on the yearly means of six main tidal gauges for the period 1890–2008. The data were corrected for atmospheric pressure variation using an inverse barometer correction. The spectral density shows a clear peak at the 18.6 -year period (Figure 1). The multiple linear regression yields a sea-level rise (b1) of 0.19 +/- 0.015 cm y-1 (95%), an amplitude (A) of 1.2 +/- 0.92 cm, and a phase (w) of -1.16 (with 1970 as 0), resulting in a peak in February 2005 (Figure 2). No significant acceleration (inclusion of b2) was found.
         CONCLUSIONS
         Coastal management requires estimates of the rate of sealevel rise. The trends found locally for the Dutch coast are the same as have been found in the past 50 years (Deltacommissie, 1960; Dillingh et
         al., 1993). Even though including the nodal cycle made it more likely that the high-level scenarios would become apparent in the observations, no acceleration in the rate of sea-level rise was found. The higher, recent rise (van den Hurk et al., 2007) coincides with the up phase of the nodal cycle. For the period 2005 through 2011, the Dutch mean sea-level is expected to drop because the lunar cycle is in the down phase. This shows the importance of including the 18.6-year cycle in regional sea-level estimates. Not doing so on a regional or local scale for decadal length projections leads to inaccuracies.
         (wwwDOT)bioone.org/doi/pdf/10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-11-00169.1

         The Effect of the 18.6-Year Lunar Nodal Cycle on Regional Sea-Level Rise Estimates
         Fedor Baart†,‡, Pieter H. A. J. M. van Gelder†, John de Ronde†,‡, Mark van Koningsveld†,§, and Bert Wouters†
         (wwwDOT)bioone.org/doi/abs/10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-11-00169.1

         Reply
2. Andy DC says:

   January 30, 2017 at 4:03 am

   The evil instustrial revolution and vulture capitalism, along with persecution of women, the LGBT community, Islamists, blacks and Jews was causing the planet to overheat and have a fever, even back in the early 20th century.

   Reply
3. 4TimesAYear says:

   January 31, 2017 at 8:23 pm

   I think they’re called January thaws. A much needed break from winter. We’ll be back in the deep freeze before you know it. It would be nice if it would stick around, but alas, that’s not usually how these things work.

   Reply

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