Yesterday I forecast that the Arctic would be ice-free on November 10, with temperatures at -15C. The slow melt this summer has forced me to make a more conservative forecast that the Arctic won’t be ice-free until Christmas, with temperatures at -30C.
This brings my forecast in line with NASA’s top climate prophet, James Hansen, who says the Arctic will definitely be ice-free before 2018.
Note that my forecast is quite a bit more conservative than Nobel Laureate Al Gore, who won the Nobel Peace Prize for his outstanding climate research. He says that the Arctic has been ice-free for three years.
National Geographic, which made their reputation by publishing photographs of topless adolescents in the South Pacific, says that the North Pole has been ice-free for a decade.
President Obama’s science advisor, John Holdren, agrees with my forecast of an ice-free Arctic at -30C.
…if you lose the summer sea ice, there are phenomena that could lead you not so very long thereafter to lose the winter sea ice as well. And if you lose that sea ice year round, it’s going to mean drastic climatic change all over the hemisphere.
Note that my forecast is completely consistent with a North Pole that has had below average temperatures every day this summer, and only has a few weeks left above freezing.
Only 1,300 miles of 2-3 meter thick ice needs to melt in the next six weeks, at temperatures below 1C. This seems quite plausible based on ™Michael Mann ®Gavin Schmidt climate math.
One more note. Only a complete moron would believe anything which government funded climate scientists say. They are some of the most dishonest and corrupt people in America.