1979 : NCAR Forecast 15-25 Feet Of Sea Level Rise By The Year 2000

 

The Palm Beach Post – Google News Archive Search

Since that forecast was made in 1979, tide gauges in California show 0.00 inches of sea level rise. Schneider was only off by a factor of infinity.

ScreenHunter_187 Jul. 25 10.19

About Tony Heller

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10 Responses to 1979 : NCAR Forecast 15-25 Feet Of Sea Level Rise By The Year 2000

  1. That didn’t happen….

  2. chris y says:

    Schneider was clever with the use of possiblisms. The article says “its initiation cannot be ruled out as a possibility before the end of this century.”

    Hedge, hedge, obfuscate, maybe, potentially, plausible, blah, blah, blah.

    It is remarkable that anyone paid attention to this sort of meaningless blather back then.

    Oh, wait. Ehrlich was on Carson numerous times…

  3. Adam Gallon says:

    [sarc]Look, it quite obviously says “If”.
    It’s not a prediction, it’s a scenario, just like all those IPCC reports.
    [/sarc]

  4. Sundance says:

    If only they had had the ability to prdict that Detroit would be under water today. 😉

  5. Eric Simpson says:

    “We have to offer up scary scenarios… each of us has to decide the right balance between being effective [lying] and being honest [ineffective].” -Stephen Schneider
    So there he was in 1979 following his own advise. Unfortunately, it’s not just Schneider. It’s all of them. Word got out that it’s ok to lie, and indeed commendable to do so. Virtually everything the fear mongering Prophets of Doom say is complete bullshit.

  6. Blade says:

    Steve,

    Do you still have the Trove link for this one. The text for this is a keeper!

    Schneider actually thought 15-25′ sea level rise if Arctic sea-ice melts? Even an idiot should realize nothing rises from sea-ice melt.

    So if he meant land-ice, which is even more unlikely to melt than sea-ice, then he must have actually believe that CO2 can somehow overpower continental drift. Greenland ain’t melting until it moves out of the Arctic circle.



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