Real Climate Science

Gavin has a new paper out explaining the cause of the hiatus (which he also just erased.) He says that burning fossil fuels is generating aerosols which are suppressing global warming.

“TCR is characteristic of short-term predictions, up to a century out, while ECS looks centuries further into the future, when the entire climate system has reached equilibrium and temperatures have stabilised.”

Climate change shock: Burning fossil fuels COOLS planet, says NASA | UK | News | Daily Express

This is the identical argument which climate scientists used in their last ice age scare of the 1970’s – during Watergate.

14 Jul 1974, Page 1 – at Newspapers.com

NASA’s top climatologists reported the same thing in 1971, and made it clear that the effects of CO2 are not dangerous, and never will be dangerous.

http://vademecum.brandenberger.eu/pdf/klima/rasool_schneider_1971.pdf

Obama’s science adviser John Holdren reported the same thing in 1971, and predicted a new ice age in a joint paper with Paul Ehrlich.

John Holdren in 1971: “New ice age” likely · zomblog

Ehrlich also reported that the US would have food and water rationing by 1980.

6 Oct 1970, Page 3 – at Newspapers.com

NOAA shot this theory down by the year 1977, so it is pretty remarkable that Gavin is trying to resurrect it in 2015.

27 Feb 1977, Page 1 – at Newspapers.com

This endless cycle of mindless climate insanity and lies is what President Obama calls “settled science” – and wants to silence anyone who disagrees.

The New York Times is claiming that the COP 21 farce is depressing oil prices.

Oil Prices Slump to 11-Year Lows in Asia and Europe – The New York Times

COP 21 has had no impact on gas prices, which started plummeting two years ago due to the fracking the New York Times wanted banned.

Gas Price Charts – GasBuddy.com – GasBuddy.com

Gov. Cuomo Makes Sense on Fracking – The New York Times

The New York Times did everything they could to keep gas prices up, and now are taking credit for low gas prices. Typical leftist slimeballs.

Twenty-five years ago, the French Prime Minister was racing to save the planet from climate disaster.

7 Nov 1990, Page 13 – at Newspapers.com

And twenty-five years later, the French President is racing to save the planet from climate disaster.

Future of planet at stake, says Hollande at climate … | Etalia

The planet hasn’t actually warmed since 1990, but politicians should never let facts get in the way of a good tax and control scam.

Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

Your guilt can’t possibly be more clear.

Mind-blowing incompetence or fraud from the 2007 IPCC report.

www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-chapter5.pdf

The IPCC switched measurement systems in 1993 from tide gauges to satellites, declared a huge increase in sea level rise rates, and didn’t consider the possibility that the increase in rate was due to their changing measurement systems – rather than the climate.

Any third grader trained in science would have cross-checked vs. their earlier measurement system to see if there actually was an increase in 1993, rather than just an instrumentation issue. There wasn’t – the authors and reviewers are completely incompetent.

But the fraud is worse than it seems. The 1990 IPCC report showed around 1.2 mm/year and said there was no convincing evidence of acceleration during the 20th century.

https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_chapter_09.pdf

How did they go from 1.2 mm/yr to 3.1 mm/yr between 1990 and 2007? But the fraud is even worse than it seems. In 2004 the  official rate of satellite sea level rise was only 2.8 mm/year.

web.archive.org/web/20040613002139/http://sealevel.colorado.edu/2004_rel1.2/sl_cu2004_rel1.2.pdf

And now they have further bumped it up to 3.3 mm/year.

CU Sea Level Research Group | University of Colorado

Using tide gauges, NOAA reports just over half that much sea level rise.

the absolute global sea level rise is believed to be 1.7-1.8 millimeters/year.

Sea Level Trends – Global Regional Trends

Tide gauges show that sea level rise rates peaked in the 1950’s. East coast tide gauges report high rates due to land subsidence, but they have slowed down over the past 60 years – not accelerated.

Sea Level Trends – Variation of 50-year Mean Sea Level Trends

Sea Level Trends – Variation of 50-year Mean Sea Level Trends

Climate scientists have no training in signal processing, and have a clear conflict of interest. They are not qualified in any way to do this sort of analysis, and keep bumping the numbers up to keep their funding coming in.

Government climate fraudsters claim that they know Southern Hemisphere temperatures back to 1880, and that they basically match northern hemisphere temperatures.

What Gavin forgot to mention is that the southern hemisphere graph is fake. In 1978, scientists agreed data south of 30S was too meager to be reliable.

TimesMachine: January 5, 1978 – NYTimes.com

The 1990 IPCC report showed that there was insufficient temperature data for analysis in much of the Arctic, most of the southern oceans, and all of the Antarctic.

In Climategate E-Mails, Phil Jones admitted that much of his southern hemisphere ocean temperatures were made up, because there is no actual data.

2729.txt

(h/t Gail Combs)

In 1997, NASA showed that three fourths of southern hemisphere land warming occurred before 1940.

web.archive.org/web/19970714134657/http://www.giss.nasa.gov/Data/GISTEMP/ZonAnn.Ts.txt

Now let’s look at what the criminals at NASA have done since 1997. They now show almost no southern hemisphere warming before 1940, and 80% of warming occurring after 1940.

Fig.A3.gif (625×474)

They accomplished this fraud largely by throwing in lots of non-existent ocean temperature data.

The Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia used to show the “hiatus” very clearly. Then they talked it over with their fellow fraudsters at NOAA and NASA – and made the hiatus disappear by switching to a new version of their data.

Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

If you remove their recent 0.1 degree data tampering, then 1998 becomes the hottest year – which agrees with satellites.

Previously, CRU had excellent agreement with satellites about the hiatus. Satellites are supposed to show larger swings than surface data, but the trend was the same. Also note how satellite data shows much larger spikes during El Nino events, like 1998 and 2010.

The new CRU data creates a warming trend where there is none. But the real smoking gun of fraud is the divergence with satellites during the current El Nino. They should be converging, not diverging.

Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

One year ago, scientists announced the demise of Utah skiing. This year they are getting buried in snow, and expecting several feet of snow this week in the mountains.

70s around Christmas? It’s looking likely — and it would crush records – The Washington Post

The DC area has had temperatures 70 or above on Christmas Day in 1893, 1932, 1933, 1955,  1964 and 1982. It was 80 degrees at Farmville, VA on Christmas Day 1955.

The article isn’t quite as awful as the headline, but fails to mention that 70 degree weather on Christmas was much more common around DC when CO2 was below 350 PPM.