Understanding 95% Certainty

7 Responses to Understanding 95% Certainty

1. philjourdan says:

   October 23, 2013 at 2:04 am

   95% is the closest number divisible by 5 to 97% that is the psychological maximum of credulity.

   Reply
2. Andy Oz says:

   October 23, 2013 at 3:00 am

   They need to find another 0.4 degrees of cooling of the past to push current “departure from average” into the mid range of the models. I’d be on the lookout for a recut of historic (1983 – 1998) temperatures once again. Excuse will be “old data was incorrectly tabulated”.

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3. Climatism says:

   October 23, 2013 at 4:00 am

   Reblogged this on CACA.

   Reply
4. David A says:

   October 23, 2013 at 5:02 am

   I am guessing they have not revealed the forcing assumptions of the three models that are on track.

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5. squid2112 says:

   October 23, 2013 at 10:16 am

   Must be working, we’re not warming… ROFL…

   WORLD IS SPENDING $1 BILLION PER DAY TO TACKLE GLOBAL WARMING
   http://www.thegwpf.org/world-spending-1-billion-day-tackle-global-warming/

   Just think of the “constructive” things that money could do….

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6. Latitude says:

   October 23, 2013 at 12:28 pm

   The only place there’s a “fit”….is where they hindcast

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7. gator69 says:

   October 23, 2013 at 2:55 pm

   Learning from their mistakes? Or something….

   Reply