If You Like Your Ice-Free Arctic, You Can Keep Your Ice-Free Arctic

Arctic sea ice moving up into new territory.ScreenHunter_151 Nov. 30 05.17

COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

the Arctic will be ice-free in the summer of 2013

– John Kerry, US Secretary of State

John Kerry: We Can’t Ignore the Security Threat from Climate Change

ScreenHunter_409 Jan. 18 21.32

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013?

James Hansen : ‘This is the last chance’

6/23/2008

“We see a tipping point occurring right before our eyes,” Hansen told the AP before the luncheon. “The Arctic is the first tipping point and it’s occurring exactly the way we said it would.”

Hansen, echoing work by other scientists, said that in five to 10 years, the Arctic will be free of sea ice in the summer.

NASA warming scientist: ‘This is the last chance’ – USATODAY.com

June 26, 2013

The alarming loss of sea ice which has grown worse each summer over the past several decades, has taken a sharp turn for the worse: this year the loss is right in the middle, the most resilient part of the ice cover. This could lead to a completely ice-free Arctic Ocean by September.

Unprecedented hole is growing in Arctic sea ice – Fairfax Climate Watch

ScreenHunter_165 Jul. 17 11.51

Why Arctic sea ice will vanish in 2013 | Sierra Club Canada

About Tony Heller

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16 Responses to If You Like Your Ice-Free Arctic, You Can Keep Your Ice-Free Arctic

  1. TomC says:

    Another 150.000sq.km added yesterday.
    At this rate, it will be way above all the recent years in that graph in just two more days.

    • X says:

      The DMI graph doesn’t show the years before 2005, but according IARC-JAXA-IS, 2008 was the greatest ice extent since 2002, *at some point of the beginning of December*, tied with 2002, 03 and 04.
      https://twitter.com/dhm4444/status/384890556196716544/photo/1
      Then, *if* DMI shows the extent *above 2008 in the next ~ 2 weeks* we know that it’s also the highest since 2002, inclusive.
      The DMI graph shows 2008 clearly above the other years for a short period, probably the first week, of December.
      2001 was relatively large too, but 2000 was below 2001 (Cryosphere Today: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/), then if we get above 2008 in early December the Arctic ice extent will be at 2nd or 1st place *for the entire century*! (last 13 years)
      After the record lows of the recent years, this is not bad at all for a recovery.

    • X says:

      The aspect that is impressing me most is the rate of growth.
      It is clearly greater, for this time of the year, than any of the other years depicted in the graph. I only hope that it’ll continue.
      I’m learning so much with what is happening in the climate since 2008, a new lesson every other week.

  2. Fred from Canuckistan says:

    The clueless, being lied to by the Eco morons so the nutter politicians can make ludicrous statements.

    You have to admire modern environmentalism.

  3. sunsettommy says:

    Where are the polar ice criers of doom hiding these days?

    Snicker…………..

    • g hoppah says:

      They are sidestepping these facts and instead talking about how the poor polar bears are rotting away due to radiation from Fukushima.

  4. Bob Johnston says:

    The Sierra Club guy is particularly funny, he reaffirmed his terrible prediction in July of this year. If these guys can’t make a solid prediction a mere three months in the future then why does anyone expect they can be right in the year 2100?

  5. Hugh K says:

    This has to be a GOP dirty trick.
    So is the heat hiding in the Koch brothers basement or did Dick Cheney finally resolve that nasty hurricane-producing side effect of his industrial scale ice-making machine?

  6. darrylb says:

    Sierra Club–Clueless and completely ignorant. 11,000 years of stable climate???
    11,000 years ago (according to all generally accepted paleo-records) we were coming out of the last major ice age. Lake Agassi was forming from the melt. The lake was much larger than the combined area of he five great lakes. The last ice age formed the 10,000 lakes here in MN.
    (actually, there are about 15,000)
    Most studies reveal that much of the N. American continent was uninhabitable 4,000 years ago.
    From this scientific wannabe about a dozen tried to navigate the Northern Passage this summer.
    Talk about the blind leading the blind.

  7. Aurora Svant says:

    Wow, lucky I had the good fortune of finding cheap winter gear to prepare for snow and ice back in august. Looks like it’s going to be needed quite soon, this year also.

  8. tom0mason says:

    Mr Hansen I have a question –
    Have all the points tipped yet?

  9. Larry Fields says:

    About Kerry’s prediction: Missed it by that much!

  10. norilsk says:

    AGW is failed science. God save the Queen!

  11. alan says:

    Warming back up to temperatures before the Little Ice Age would be great. Farms and vine yards in Greenland would be wonderful. All that land that is locked up in ice in Siberia and northern Canada, tens of millions of acres, would be available for farming and expansion. An ice free northwest passage will spur trillions in trade and resource development. Warmer temperatures in the Arctic and Antarctica would reduce the severity of storms by reducing the temperature difference.

    • rw says:

      Apparently that’s what Arrhenius thought too. It wasn’t until AGW was added to modern environmentalism that warmth was considered the bane of human existence, as well as the planet’s. (read this in Duvall’s The Age of Global Warming, which I highly recommend)

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