NOAA is forecasting a 70 percent chance of 13 to 19 named storms, 6 to 9 of which would become hurricanes and 3 to 5 major hurricanes
NOAA UPDATE: ‘Very Active’ Hurricane Season Possible – weather.com
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I give it a 3.466878% chance that they’ll admit they were dead wrong.
But seriously: they’re just pulling these numbers out of their collective asses & assigning probilities to them using identical methodology.
They’ll be back.
There is a 97% consensus that there may or may not be very few or very many strong or weak hurricanes this season
But if there is a hurricane I have 95% confidence they will blame it on my father’s Oldsmobile
Their Ouija board was designed on a super computer.
Model driven drivel, all the way down.
Even if they’re wrong again… Confidence levels will continue to go up despite all past failures…. The Low information voters don’t know what NOAA said last year or the year before… Nor they hysterical predictions made by Hansen over the years… NONE of which have come true!!
Thanks for compiling this stuff for us Steven.
No super-storms then?