The area of sea ice on Earth on August 14 was 8th highest on record, and the highest in 14 years.
arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/timeseries.global.anom.1979-2008
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I think it can be shown statistically that the change in the past two years is great enough to confirm this change is not merely an aberration in a long term downtrend. But, Bastardi noted that the cold water configuration of the North Atlantic has briefly reversed course in the past before the AMO fully enters its cool phase. So, this new trend may not present itself each year, but I think the reversal has been clearly indicated.
I believe even the reversal of the AMO can be accelerated by the low intensity of the present cycle, but I don’t see the meteorologists taking this important factor into account in their analyses.
It’s seems clear IMO that ENSO is being directly altered by the declining intensity of the recent cycles,
(with grand max peak at 1985, according to Lockwood)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/posts/Real-risk-of-a-Maunder-minimum-Little-Ice-Age-says-leading-scientist
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ButUR9kIMAAQWKX.png
Not even the great Joe B. talks much about the Sun, which is one of the few slight mistakes he’s making IMO.
Look at what happened in 2008, 09 and 10, as well as last year and now.
It not only increased, but did it fast.
Without solar maximum we’d probably be already above all previous years.