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Looks remarkably like a life spiral to me..More multi year ice will accrue for next year.
What if it doesn’t stop accumulating year on year?
We’ll have snowball Earth in 3 decades.
NOAA-CFSv2 predicted a good Arctic ice extent for August,
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/06/10/sea-ice-news-volume-5-3-the-2014-sea-ice-forecast-contest/
A few more days and we’ll see if it reaches the levels that they predicted, but so far it’s remarkably close IMO.
This proves that they can do a good job *if they want*.
The forecast level has fallen significantly since then. http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/sieMon.gif
Thanks for the update.
The drunken state of climate scientists is the best indicator of society’s fate.
Well you could always try a prediction, or place a bets on the September outcome, or as the Alaska Dispatch News says “Predictions of Arctic summer ice melt come with lots of uncertainty”
http://www.adn.com/article/20140801/predictions-arctic-summer-ice-melt-come-lots-uncertainty
I actually like watching the ice melt through the eyes of polar cameras, as an escape from my worldly routine.
This summer has been a bad summer for watching the formation of melt-water pools. They keep refreezing. Then a polar bear knocked over one of my favorite cameras, and a building pressure ridge buried another. There are only two left, that I know of. (O-buoy 9, near the pole, and O-buoy 10, down at latitude 77 north of Alaska.) The southern one was attempting to show some thaw, but a blasted fall of snow this morning and temperatures dipping below freezing has put that on hold. The northern one is experiencing a cold wave this morning, with temperatures dipping down below minus five. We are running out of time, if we are to see any decent melt-water pools.
You can see this morning’s pictures down at the bottom of my post at: http://sunriseswansong.wordpress.com/2014/07/27/arctic-sea-ice-melt-the-death-spirals-debunking/
Most of the melting comes from under the ice, and that has been especially true this past summer.
It is interesting to contemplate the fact that the minus-five temperatures at the Pole this morning were home-grown, and were created despite 24-hour-a-day sunshine. I have read little about the Pole creating cold (or losing heat) during the melt-season. The way some talk, nothing occurs up there except warming, during the endless sunshine of the summer. (Not that it has been all that sunny this summer, up there. There has been a lot of gray weather.)
For Arctic ice followers/students, Caleb’s link (above) is most interesting and informative.
+1
I expect that climate McScientists will publish several diverse papers proving the increase in Arctic sea ice due to AGW any day now.
My hope is that they’ll be talking to themselves this time…
The Arctic added ice so far in August.