Six years Since Andrew Dessler Said Texas Would Be Hot And Dry For The Rest Of The Century

Texas is vulnerable to warming climate – Houston Chronicle

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26 Responses to Six years Since Andrew Dessler Said Texas Would Be Hot And Dry For The Rest Of The Century

  1. Steve Case says:

    Dessler isn’t a cute little pixie so he has less going for him than Heyhoe.

  2. Adamant de-Nye-er says:

    In which Houston Chronicle, as usual, gave a quivering, simpering editorial summary of the Democrat party platform and the get Gore rich quick plan under the guise of a book review. Not surprisingly, they get most of it wrong.

  3. Dear Tony – You have done a wonderful job in exposing the way that the surface station temperature record has been changed over time. History has been changed. I have taken to looking at the satellite record, that has been running since 1979. Recently I have noticed that each time a new month is posted, the older data has changed. The figures for Jan, Feb, Mar, Apl and May 2017 have all been significantly increased since they were released, by 0.18 degC on average, without any explanation. I really hope you are already on the case here. Kind regards and please keep up the very good work. Ashley

  4. John Smith says:

    Does anyone here have any inside information about the mysterious new skeptic, Dr. Duane Thresher (see http://columbia-phd.org/RealClimatologists/AboutUs/index.html)? He claims to be the most qualified real climatologist to ever come out as global warming skeptic. Apparently he worked with the most prominent alarmists!

    • richard verney says:

      From their website.

      “I have a PhD in Earth & Environmental Sciences from Columbia University and NASA GISS, an MS in Atmospheric Science from the University of Arizona and NCAR (National Center for Atmospheric Research) and a BS in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science from MIT and NASA. I was at NASA GISS while James Hansen was its head and am a coauthor with him on several publications. My graduate and postdoc work was in climate modeling (on supercomputers) and climate proxies (records of past climate), which is unusual breadth for a climate scientist.

      They are co-cauthors of some NASA/GISS so i guess they know about matters from the inside and have a reasonable profile.

  5. oldbrew says:

    Get used to it. Climate alarmists will continue to make embarrassingly bad predictions about future weather patterns, with or without the help of their faulty climate models.

  6. CheshireRed says:

    There’s plenty of mileage in highlighting contradictory predictions like this which just makes them look stupid, opportunistic and factually incorrect, which of course they are.
    ‘Too dry, climate change and too wet, also climate change.’ LOL. If these people were honest they’d say ‘there’s zero trend or influence from CO2 on weather’. But that ruins their scam so they lie and lie but eventually truth outs them as the charlatans they are. Keep it up Tony.

  7. Griff says:

    Once again, drought followed by torrential and record downpours does not, by taking an average, show either Texas or California is not plagued by continued drought caused by climate change.

    It just means those states are unfortunately afflicted by 2 of the ill effects of climate change… drought AND extreme storms/rain

    • RAH says:

      What drought? There is no significant region of the US SW in drought and there hasn’t been for months. Note the date for the map is August 22nd and Harvey didn’t come ashore until the night of the 25th.

      • Griff says:

        right – there has been no drought in California and Texas… and there is no tropical storm over Houston.

        Would you like instead to address the whopping great soaking wet elephant in the room?

        • RAH says:

          The drought ended years ago for greater Texas and months ago for S. California. Harvey had nothing to do with ending either of them fool! You can’t even read a friggin MAP!

          • David A says:

            …failed to read the map even when you spelled out the dates.

            If Griff was a skeptic she would say…”Twas all the Texas windmills stealing the air currents in Texas that caused the storm to stall.”

            This inane statement is infinitely more logical then blaming SUVs for causing Harvey to hover.

        • arn says:

          Why do you think huge deserts exist in California
          and Texas?=
          Droughts are the normal there.

        • Latitude says:

          Griff, Texas was not in a drought before Harvey….
          It’s what you call extreme weather..that breaks droughts in
          Texas…and that is always averaged in anyway

    • AndyG55 says:

      OMG, your IGNORANCE of history is astounding.

      Those regions have ALWAYS been affect by droughts then severe rain storm.

      FFS, History did NOT start in your pitiful life time, you really are an attention deficit disorder twit.

  8. Griff says:

    “Harvey is the third 500-year flood to hit the Houston area in the past three years, but Harvey is in a class by itself. By the time the storm leaves the region on Wednesday, an estimated 40 to 60 inches of rain will have fallen on parts of Houston. So much rain has fallen already that the National Weather Service had to add additional colors to its maps to account for the extreme totals.

    Harvey is infusing new meaning into meteorologists’ favorite superlatives: There are simply no words to describe what has happened in the past few days. In just the first three days since landfall, Harvey has already doubled Houston’s previous record for the wettest month in city history, set during the previous benchmark flood, Tropical Storm Allison in June 2001. For most of the Houston area, in a stable climate, a rainstorm like Harvey is not expected to happen more than once in a millennium.”

    http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/08/28/climate-change-hurricane-harvey-215547

    • RAH says:

      Source: Politico. Nothing more needs said for thinking people.

    • AndyG55 says:

      politico.. a far-left PROPGANDA gibberish site.

      Right down your alley.

      Which is good, because they will have COPIOUS supply of nappies for you, you may even get one of those nice boys to change yours for you on an hourly basis.

      Only reason Houston is getting so much rain is because of the blocking WEATHER patterns.

      Otherwise it is just a normal large storm, maybe just hurricane status, after 11 years without a single hurricane. I suppose your mythical CO2 warming was the cause of that 11 year period WITHOUT a hurricane, as well.

      You really are a base-level AGW yapper and bed-wetter, aren’t you griff.

    • CheshireRed says:

      Oh look, a nice new propaganda toy for alarmists to play with. They’ve had their fun with ‘new normal’, ‘permanent drought’ and the snake-oil ‘consistent with model predictions’ but now it’s time to move onto ‘100 year floods’, ‘500 year floods’ and even ‘1 in a thousand years’ events.

      Meanwhile actual proof CO2 causes ANY of this…..tumbleweed.

    • sunsettommy says:

      A real Meteorologist destroys so called climatologist with his exposed of Mann’s ignorance of how weather works in storms:

      Bastardi: No Michael Mann — Climate change did not cause Hurricane Harvey

      “By Joe Bastardi
      August 29, 2017, Reprinted with the permission of Weatherbell.com

      Dr. Mann at PSU has outdone himself. Back when New England had their famed February with snow and cold, he made the claim a warm eddy some 350 miles ESE of New England was enhancing water vapor and leading to extra snow. But:

      If he plotted trajectories from the storms he would see that the air from that source could not get back over New England since the mean flow would lead to enhanced snows in the Canadian Maritimes.
      Convective feedback from such warm eddies would act to PULL STORMS OUT TO SEA.
      The mean water vapor surface to 700 mb was BELOW NORMAL in New England in Feb 2015. The extra snow was high ratio snow with great crystal growth soundings because of the cold!

      This is why climatologists should be forced to forecast for a year, so they can get an appreciation of what the weather does, not what they think it does based on their “research.”

      But he may have outdone himself here.

      I was emailed this quote, supposedly from him. It’s making the rounds in the skeptic community. It was in the Guardian

      The stalling is due to very weak prevailing winds, which are failing to steer the storm off to sea, allowing it to spin around and wobble back and forth. This pattern, in turn, is associated with a greatly expanded subtropical high pressure system over much of the US at the moment, with the jet stream pushed well to the north. This pattern of subtropical expansion is predicted in model simulations of human-caused climate change.

      He unwittingly describes THE EXACT OPPOSITE EFFECT to what is going on. He could not have even looked at the 5 day means! There was no expansive subtropical high. Quite the contrary there was a well forecast MJO phase 2, with a major cool trough in the 5 day means trapping the hurricane. Out to sea? In August? In Texas? When does anyone see that? They move northwest or west through the state. BECAUSE NORMALLY THERE IS NOT A MAJOR TROUGH THAT FAR SOUTH TO STOP THE STORM! When has anyone given the coast of Texas seen a storm move “out to sea” what does it turn around and head back southeast? Look at the 500 mb means and 5k temps, This is what is a ridge? There is a major ridge in the west like we see when there are a lot of storms. It’s warm in the west cool in the east, but there is no subtropical ridge trapping this storm. It’s caught in trough.”

      https://junkscience.com/2017/08/bastardi-no-michael-mann-climate-change-did-not-cause-hurricane-harvey/

      Read and see why Dr. Mann is not qualified to talk about Weather events.

    • David A says:

      ??? Harvey is the third 500-year flood to hit the Houston area in the past three years,”

      Wow, care to name them. I guess Texas by as had a dozen or more 500 year storms in the last 1pp years.

  9. Pathway says:

    Houston is built on a bayou. Another name for bayou is swamp. A swamp means lots of annual precipitation. See how that works.

  10. RAH says:

    BTW Harvey ranks well down the list of known CAT IV and V hurricanes that came ashore on the US mainland based on it’s minimum pressure.

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