Earliest Arctic Minimum On Record?

MASIE data currently shows the Arctic sea ice minimum on August 31, with a significant increase in ice extent since then.

Previous Arctic minimum dates.

2006 : September 24
2007 : September 18
2008 : September 22
2009 : September 12
2010 : September 25
2011 : September 21
2012 : September 24
2013 : September 17
2014 : September 19
2015 : September 17
2016 : September 11
2017 : September 10

Index of /DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/images/

Things are not looking promising for Democratic Party prophets.

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014

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26 Responses to Earliest Arctic Minimum On Record?

  1. John F. Hultquist says:

    The data dump isn’t of much interest to me.**
    I did find this:

    I wonder how Seth B. will spin this information?

    **I did just read in the Sept. Smithsonian an article titled “Code Name: Venona.”
    Quote: “On a piece of paper before her were ten sets of numbers, arranged in five-digit groups. The numbers represented a coded message.

    Nothing to do with snow and ice, but interesting reading.

  2. Don B says:

    Based on the list of minimum dates, the turning point for Arctic sea ice was in 2010. Eight years is not enough time for climate activists to be able to notice. :)

  3. Brian D says:

    The weather coming up this week has a strong low moving into the Laptev, and pretty cold temps in Canadian Archipelago.

  4. MrGrimNasty says:

    Not even God knows (although Griff would probably contradict him anyway). The final extent now depends largely on how the winds and currents randomly conspire in the next couple of weeks to distribute the remaining ice.

  5. frederik wisse says:

    If this is the new reality , whereof the proof will be given in a week , this could mean an extension of the arctic ice-season of at least THREE weeks , whereby the impact on the length of the summerseason in the northern hemisphere will be quite serious . Well let us hope this is just a canard and not the canary in thecoalmine.

  6. Norilsk says:

    I would wait till after September 15th to say.

  7. Snowleopard says:

    This may actually convince some of them that the AGW catastrophe hypothesis they have been pushing as fact for the last ~30yrs is BS. Getting them to admit it is another matter entirely.

    • Anon says:

      Well, actually, as Spring is arriving about 2 weeks early these days; so the fact that the Summer minimum is 2 weeks early, is just as expected. You can’t simply speed up the arrival of Spring and not have it have an effect on the rest of the seasonal climatic schedule. This is a no-brainer… you people need to use logic!!!

      • Robert Austin says:

        Two weeks early? Over my entire lifetime, the vernal equinox has occured on about March 20th. But hey, man made climate change is strong enough to change the planet’s motions, right.

        • Rah says:

          You do know there is a difference in dates between Astronomical and Meteorological spring? But Anon is talking about a third frame of reference. That being the perceived change of season. That is why some places during certain years claimed to have had a “Year without a summer”.
          1816 was a year that many places in the NH are said to have had no summer due to the conditions of the LIA being exacerbated by the eruption of Mt. Tambora in 1815.

        • Rah says:

          BTW, though the official dates of when Spring begins are good to know and understand, but I don’t consider spring at my place in central Indiana until the Robins arrive to nest.

          • Colorado Wellington says:

            I noticed that spring starts when the TV tells people it did.

          • Robert Austin says:

            I was just being facetious. But claims as to what signals the arrival of spring are rather questionable and subject to abuse, especially when linked to “climate change”. How about those cherry blossoms in Washington DC that Tony has posted about?

      • Colorado Wellington says:

        This is a no-brainer…

        Exactly. We know from scientists that global warming causes weather extremes:

        Drought and catastrophic rain storms, heatwaves and arctic blasts, end of snow and blizzards, etc.

        So now that the overheated Arctic is exhausted from screaming in a death spiral it has no choice but to freeze over early, good and hard.

      • Snowleopard says:

        It appears you are talking about perceived spring, rather than the fixed astronomical and meteorological “springs”. Do you live in the arctic? If so your perception could be relevant, otherwise, not so much.

        I have different perceptions. For example: Someone else mentioned robins. I keep a daily bird log. 10 years ago robins were year round residents here. 5 yrs ago they were showing up in April. Last year they started showing up in May. So my perception (which may have no relevance to the arctic) is very different from yours

        • cdquarles says:

          I guess this is why the USA uses the astronomical definition. The astronomical definition is fixed based on the conditional orbital mechanics for planet Earth.

          If the meteorological spring is defined as temperatures above 70F maximum and no minimum temperatures below 32F, then spring here begins in April, yet it is said that the meteorological spring begins March 1. That would be off by a month, so something’s wrong and I’d go with the meteorological definition. Let us invert that for autumn. Daily maximum temperatures fall below 70F and daily minimum temperatures below 32F. Locally, that month would be October at the earliest and December at the latest, again, locally.

          I guess that I need to do more research on those definitions. Maybe they mean northwestern European ‘average’ weather conditions as the definition. If that’s so, for a substantial fraction of the USA’s land mass, the definition would be highly confusing.

  8. Steven Fraser says:

    I watch both extent and volume. Cold makes for volume, wind , cold and currents make for extent. Every year is different.

    Lets all watch, together…..

  9. Steven Fraser says:

    Period needed after volume.

  10. AndyDC says:

    According to the fake news networks, the roughest, toughest, meanest ice in the Arctic has already melted this summer, leaving only wimpy, thin and rotten ice in its place!

  11. Andy says:

    Very good point Tony

    There seems to be some late melt but so weak now that winds have a major factor in matters. So it may go down or it may go up as there are always swings at this time.

    However, whatever happens now cannot sway that 2018 was an average year in the Arctic from 2010 extent wise. No death spiral. Again. Interestingly the winter maximum was low but that does not seem to have helped the summer lowest value so there is still no correlation between winter low extent in the Arctic and summer. A point worth noting. So come a low extent this Feb/Mar you can sharpen your keyboards for all the other websites :)

    Talking of which, whilst bored of beating up XXXX55 on this forum for always mentioning the Holocene, even in polite company, I came across this classics from somebody called Wayne on Neven blog


    His comments, for your amusement

    His claim to be a scientist

    “Isn’t PIOMAS experimental? There is a fundamental difference between my work and PIOMAS, I acquire rock solid data , not subject to errors, PIOMAS is a presentation from data sets, in other words , I interpret from one set of rock solid data, PIOMAS is an interpretation from a mish mash of data bases, which probably needs more work….”

    Neven seems star struck by his scientific pedigree posting on his blog

    “The data that Wayne has, is the work he has done on Extremely High Horizon Refraction (which is the name of his blog). The problem for me, as someone who tries to make things more understandable for a general lay audience, is that it’s difficult to explain, partially because I’m somewhat limited scientifically.”

    Brown nose.

    Then a question

    “Wayne, what do you still expect for this melting season? Do you see it getting close to 2012, come September?”


    “I usually don’t do revisions of my projections, because it is a bad habit, is better studying why a forecast was wrong than to change it. But it looks very much like my April projection was wrong, 2018 is poised to surpass 2012, despite the great cyclone event this date 6 years ago:”

    Doh. You have to laugh….

    I have posted and wonder what he will post explaining why he was so far wrong.

    Will keep you posted

    • spike55 says:

      “whilst bored of beating up XXXX55 ”


      You did notice the temperature chart date axis was in reverse before you made your idiotic comment, didn’t you little-andy ????

      You poor thing, you just faceplanted into your own BS.

    • spike55 says:

      Sorry that you HAVE to live in DENIAL of the Holocene Optimum, and DENIAL of the FACT that the world is currently only a small step up from the coldest period in 10,000 years, to keep your fantasies alive, little-andy.

      You do know that the current Arctic sea ice level is still in the top 10% of Holocene extents, don’t you ?

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