Mark Serreze says I am breathtakingly ignorant. He also predicts the North Pole will be ice-free in 2008
Fri June 27, 2008 North Pole could be ice-free this summer, scientists say
The North Pole may be briefly ice-free by September as global warming melts away Arctic sea ice, according to scientists from the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colorado.
“We kind of have an informal betting pool going around in our center and that betting pool is ‘does the North Pole melt out this summer?’ and it may well,” said the center’s senior research scientist, Mark Serreze.
North Pole could be ice-free this summer, scientists say – CNN.com
Looks like ‘Death Spiral Serreze’ just put his Death Spiral on hold…for about four decades:
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“He and colleague Erick Rogers from the Naval Research Laboratory at Stennis Space Center in Mississippi write in their paper published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters that even further reduction of sea ice cover in the future should “result in larger waves, which in turn provide a mechanism to break up sea ice and accelerate ice retreat.”
Several climate models suggest that the Arctic Ocean will be seasonally ice free by the middle of this century. The breakup of the sea ice from the waves, Serreze said, “should accelerate the timeframe.”
http://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/giant-waves-pose-new-risk-ships-ice-diminished-arctic-n174481
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It’s amazing how he can extrapolate the future based on summer storms in the Arctic two years ago. He’s truly a savant. /sarc
Aren’t you missing a word in front of savant?
Looks like ‘Death Spiral Serreze’ just put his Death Spiral on hold…for about four decades:
In any other field that would be taken as ‘capitulation’ (as in: “An admission of a failed forecast by Serreze”). From this point forward ANY ‘forecast’ or ‘extrapolation’ by Serreze should be treated as worthless; even plain dirt would have more value.
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Could be ice free any year, then again it could not be.
Mr. Serrez is describing a system where he is allowed to extrapolate polar ice coverage based on readings taken 1200 kilometers away.
Reblogged this on wwlee4411 and commented:
Where’s Al Gore when you need him?
I wonder who picked “never” in the pool?
what are these climate models that predicted arctic ice loss as a first sign of cagw he speaks of ?
i think the time may have arrived for the modelers to reconsider what they are doing,as currently all the mdels prove is climate science is in its infancy,and there are a lot of people willing to cast personal integrity aside for a slice of the tax payer funding pie.
Even if he got an ice-free north pole it wouldn’t be new or alarming. Last century and this century the north pole has been ice free. ‘Northing’ to see here, move along.
Maybe he was mis-heard and actually said “icy pole”?
That Man-made CO2 blowtorch just fizzled out… No problem for Climate Science, just push that death-spiral out till sometime past retirement; and keep up the fake forecasts. I think it is kind of weird though that these people are actually getting paid to study the Arctic and you know, be like experts and stuff. They sure don’t seem to have any idea what they are talking about. Now who was paying them? Oh, you and me.
What the idiot unwittingly gave away is that there’s a bunch of other like-minded idiots there at NSIDC. I wonder how many there in the pool bet on the North Pole being ice-free?