Real Climate Science

All large data sets contain measurement or calculation errors. Unless there is some specific reason to believe the data is skewed due to an external trend (like UHI) people normally assume the errors are random and expect them to cancel out. Many fields of science and engineering depend on this principle, including nuclear weapons design.

For example, there is just as likely to be missing temperature data in January as July, so making up fake temperatures for missing dates serves no purpose and only corrupts the data.

When climate scientists start making adjustments, confirmation bias sets in. They look for problems which cause mismatches vs. their theory, and ignore problems which would work against their theory if corrected.

Suppose there are 20 things wrong with a data set, and scientists correct only the 10 problems which reduce warming. Even on the odd chance that the 10 corrections were done legitimately, they have completely corrupted the data set. And you end up with a mess like this.

NSIDC continues their hysterics, hinting that theArctic is crashing and doomed, due to record heat.

Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis

Scary stuff – except that the area of ice in the Arctic hasn’t changed for a decade. Decadal trend is ice-free in 2,250 years.

timeseries.anom.1979-2008

The record Arctic heat is actually about -25C.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Arctic ice extent is essentially at the 30 year mean, except for the Barents Sea – where winds have been pushing the ice edge towards the pole. This is hardly cause for alarm.

N_daily_extent.png (420×500)

Nothing significant is changing with the Arctic climate, yet NSIDC finds a way to spin it into a disaster. And to enhance their fantasy, they ignore all pre-1979 data and start their graphs right at the 1979 peak. The graph below is from the 1990 IPCC report, and shows that ice extent was much lower earlier in the 1970’s.

1990 IPCC : Chapter 7

NOAA created a fake hottest winter ever through an impressive hockey stick of data tampering, but nowhere more so than North Dakota.

global warming blamed for temperatures 4.6 degree above normal 

This past winter was tenth warmest in North Dakota, nearly 2C cooler than 1931. Two years ago was one of their coldest winters on record.

NOAA created the hottest winter ever, by adding more than two degrees F on to 2016 temperatures, and subtracting  -0.4F from 1931.

Threatened by funding loss after the next election, NOAA is massively ramping up their hockey game.  More updates on this soon.

Scientists predict 2C warming by 2030, sooner than expected!

Dangerous global warming will happen sooner than thought 

This is very good news – because they previously thought that much warming would occur by 2010, and nearly 5C by 2030.

SWIFTER WARMING OF GLOBE FORESEEN – NYTimes.com

For climate scientists, 2030 is sooner than 2010.

NOAA claims that the past winter was warmest on record in the US

global warming blamed for temperatures 4.6 degree above normal 

As always, their claims are based on massively tampered data. The thermometers which they use show that this winter was ninth warmest, with the warmest winter being 1932. There has been no trend over the past century.

They create their record temperatures by massively cooling the past. They cool 1932 by a full degree, and then make fake press releases and maps to push the fake global warming agenda.

I remember March, 1980 very well. The GOP hated Reagan. They said he didn’t have a chance to defeat Carter. He was going to start WWIII. He was going to destroy the environment. The GOP was desperate to dump him, and tried to draft Gerald Ford.

10 Mar 1980, Page 5 – at Newspapers.com

14 Mar 1980, Page 70 – at Newspapers.com

The EPA graph below is based on NOAA adjusted data, and shows that the area of the US affected by hot summer temperatures has increased to record levels.

 High and Low Temperatures | Climate Change | US EPA

Actual thermometer data shows the exact opposite. The percentage of US stations to reach 100F has plummeted since the 1930’s.  This metric should not be affected by any of the published USHCN adjustments.

The frequency of 100 degree days has also plummeted.

The EPA’s own data shows that heatwaves were much worse in the 1930’s.

High and Low Temperatures | Climate Change | US EPA

The bogus top graph is the result of people tampering with data, and then actually believing the bogus data they generated. The NOAA Climate Extremes Index is junk science.

Nothing about climate science reeks more of confirmation bias, than the changes scientists make to their own data sets over time. They all show exactly the same pattern of monotonically cooling the past and warming the present, regardless of the instrumentation.

2001 version : FigA.txt       2016 version : Fig.A.txt

2016 version : RATPAC-A-annual-levels.txt     2011 version : global.dat

RSS_Monthly_MSU_AMSU_Channel_TMT_Anomalies_Land_and_Ocean_v04_0.txt

RSS_Monthly_MSU_AMSU_Channel_TMT_Anomalies_Land_and_Ocean_v03_3.txt

In the case of US temperature adjustments, they are made to exactly match the increase in CO2. Junk science doesn’t get any worse than that.

In 1988, NASA’s top climate expert told Congress that the Midwest will face frequent episodes of very high temperatures and drought in the coming decades.

June 24, 1988 – ‘Greenhouse effect’ called reality | Chicago Tribune Archive

In fact, the exact opposite has occurred. The frequency of hot days has plummeted since 1988 in the midwest, and is down 80% since the 1930’s.

The Midwest has been getting progressively wetter, with almost no drought since Hansen made his forecast.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

James Hansen is considered the world’s top climate scientist, and has no idea what he is talking about. It only gets worse as you go down the ladder.

Satellites show very little net warming since 1990, but the current El Nino spike is being touted as proof that we need global communism to stop climate change.

There was a very similar spike in February 1998. Compare the February, 1998 and 2016 images below.

By December, 1998 the planet had gone cold. If that happens again this year, weather will become weather once again, and not climate..