Real Climate Science

As bad as this year has been for Arctic alarmists, their pain is just beginning. Melt has been extremely slow in August, in fact area has not changed for about a week, and is now larger than 2006

The ice has been getting compacted close to the pole, where it is too cold to melt. (Compaction reduces extent, but has little effect on area.) The high pressure system which has been compacting the ice is breaking down, and in a week or so, the open water close to the pole in the Laptev Sea will begin to freeze, likely leading to an early minimum.

As I mentioned earlier, ice area is the highest in ten years, and may be higher than 1971.

Nobel Laureate Al Gore says there is a 75% chance the Arctic will be ice-free this summer.

June 11, 1986

Average global temperatures would rise by one-half a degree to one degree Fahrenheit from 1990 to 2000 if current trends are unchanged, according to Dr. Hansen’s findings. Dr. Hansen said the global temperature would rise by another 2 to 4 degrees in the following decade.

While the effect of small increases in global temperature is now unclear, Andrew Maguire, vice president of the World Resources Institute, a Washington research and policy group, said that the doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide that is foreseen would cause a rise of 3 to 8 degrees in temperature by the 2030’s. He said this would devastate agriculture in the United States and elsewhere, and would cause a rise in sea level of some 4.5 feet as polar ice melted.

SWIFTER WARMING OF GLOBE FORESEEN – NYTimes.com

SIGNIFIGANT RISE IN SEA LEVEL NOW SEEMS CERTAIN
By ERIK ECKHOLM
Published: February 18, 1986

MANY scientists are so sure that the sea level will rise visibly in the coming decades that they are advising planners to adopt new strategies now. A predicted rise in sea level of one foot within the next 30 to 40 years will drive much of the Atlantic and Gulf shoreline inward by a hundred feet and some of it by more than a thousand feet

SIGNIFIGANT RISE IN SEA LEVEL NOW SEEMS CERTAIN – NYTimes.com

Is there no way to end this denial of the one true CO2 religion?

Being a progressive means just making stuff up, in order to scare other equally stupid people.

Report: California should prepare for 3-foot sea level rise this century | Peninsula | San Francisco | San Francisco Examiner

Sea level in the San Francisco Bay is lower now than 70 years ago.

Data and Station Information for ALAMEDA (NAVAL AIR STATION)

Satellites show sea level falling along the California coast since the start of records in 1992

Map of Sea Level Trends | CU Sea Level Research Group

There is absolutely no basis for the San Francisco Examiner claim. Progressives live in a fantasy world of endless lies.

h/t to Andy Oz

100 degree temperatures used to be fairly common in the US, but they rarely happen any more outside of the desert southwest.

August 17 Arctic sea ice area is the highest since 2004.

But it is worse than it seems. Arctic data is cleverly cut off at the 1979 peak, but the 1990 IPCC report showed that there was much less ice in 1974 than in 1979.

So I overlaid the current data on the 1990 IPCC graph, and it turns out that ice coverage now is similar to 1974.

Reports from 1974 also indicate that there was 12% increase from 1971 to 1974.

Another Ice Age?
Monday, Jun 24, 1974

Climatologist George J. Kukla of Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Geological Observatory and his wife Helena analyzed satellite weather data for the Northern Hemisphere, they found that the area of the ice and snow cover had suddenly increased by 12% in 1971 and the increase has persisted ever since.

TIME Magazine Archive Article — Another Ice Age? — Jun. 24, 1974

So I drew another circle approximating 1971 conditions. It is possible that there is more ice coverage now than in 1971.

This is just a very rough comparison, as it is comparing extent vs. area. But it shows the cyclical nature of Arctic ice, as opposed to the mindless linear trends published by NSIDC.

Eighty years ago, about half of the US was in extreme drought. Now, less than 10%. The southwest is expecting a deluge of rain this week.

Make sure and read the whole thing. Palin explains exactly what is going on with the criminals known as the “Democratic Party”

This ridiculous politically motivated “indictment” of Governor Rick Perry stems from the ugly thug tactics of the “politics of personal destruction” that the left is known for. They draw blood and leave scars on conservatives who threaten their political power, hoping the threat retreats and hoping his or her base of support remains silent in fear of becoming collateral damage.

Gov. Perry indicted: Everything’s big in Texas, even this B.S. | Fox News

On July 6, 1936 maximum temperatures in the Dakotas averaged a mind boggling 110 degrees. A day earlier Gann Valley, SD had hit 120 degrees.