95% Confidence In Arctic Ice Forecasting

6 Responses to 95% Confidence In Arctic Ice Forecasting

1. John B., M.D. says:

   November 1, 2013 at 11:45 pm

   95.7%, rounded up to 96%, underestimated the nadir ice coverage.

   The actual result was within the Naval Research Lab & Barthelemy error ranges.

   Reply
2. Aurora Svant says:

   November 2, 2013 at 12:11 am

   MET Office’s predictions, as always, are the polar (pun intended) opposite of what happens in real life… They are probably the comic relief of this whole charade…

   Reply
   • gregole says:

     November 2, 2013 at 12:32 am

     Technique used: Modeling

     But the models were all over the map! Guess the Met just used a really stupid one.

     Reply
3. Billy Liar says:

   November 2, 2013 at 2:19 am

   O/T Atlantic Hurricane Season – it’s dead, Jim.

   Without another hurricane in the next 28 days, 2013 will tie third since 1850 for the lowest number of hurricanes; 1907 and 1914 had no hurricanes, 1895 and 1925 had 2 hurricanes, 1905 had one hurricane and one major hurricane.

   Reply
   • stevengoddard says:

     November 2, 2013 at 2:24 am

     This year’s fake fish hurricanes would not have been detected or called hurricanes before 1930. 2013 is likely the quietest year on record.

     Reply
4. Robert Austin says:

   November 2, 2013 at 4:52 am

   Major skeptic website kicks MET Office’s ass all over town on sea ice prediction. Where are the headlines?

   Reply