Ninety-five percent of Arctic Ice forecasts were too low, increasing their confidence in their prediction skill to 95%.
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95.7%, rounded up to 96%, underestimated the nadir ice coverage.
The actual result was within the Naval Research Lab & Barthelemy error ranges.
MET Office’s predictions, as always, are the polar (pun intended) opposite of what happens in real life… They are probably the comic relief of this whole charade…
Technique used: Modeling
But the models were all over the map! Guess the Met just used a really stupid one.
O/T Atlantic Hurricane Season – it’s dead, Jim.
Without another hurricane in the next 28 days, 2013 will tie third since 1850 for the lowest number of hurricanes; 1907 and 1914 had no hurricanes, 1895 and 1925 had 2 hurricanes, 1905 had one hurricane and one major hurricane.
This year’s fake fish hurricanes would not have been detected or called hurricanes before 1930. 2013 is likely the quietest year on record.
Major skeptic website kicks MET Office’s ass all over town on sea ice prediction. Where are the headlines?