Ellensburg Daily Record – Google News Archive Search
After the longest spell on record without a US major hurricane strike, and decades of failed hurricane forecasts, the pathetic New York Times is reduced to blaming sea level rise and heavy rain on “climate change – and demonstrate once again that top climate liar Katharine Hayhoe comprises 97% of scientists.
Hurricane Harvey: Storm Roars Ashore Near Corpus Christi, Tex. – The New York Times
Sea level has been rising for 20,000 years – but the last few inches are due to climate change.
Katharine Hayhoe used to make her living warning Texas government about permanent drought. Now she blames heavy rain in Texas on climate change. During tropical storm Claudette in 1979, Alvin, Texas got 43 inches of rain in 24 hours.
Yea, that “relationship” between climate change and tropical cyclones got a lot more “complex” after a 11 year 10 month hiatus from majors striking the shores of the lower 48.
I suspect though it will get simpler again soon. All it will take is couple more big storms to hit US shores this year and the “relationship” will once again be as simple as it was immediately after Katrina.
RAH, you don’t give yourself enough credit. Past empirical observations suggest that you should develop your suspicion into a full scientific hypothesis. Let me take a first stab *) at it in this foray into climate science:
———-
*) full credit goes to you.
There is not a shred of scientific evidence that warming causes an increase in the intensity or number of tropical cyclones but that won’t stop them from saying it is happening. The so called “hurricane drought” was a matter of luck but a hurricane flood has to be climate change/AGW.
Is there any real warming in USA?
Here is how you create run away warming without any record heats.
Enjoy, MrZ
??????????
Whoops. Maybe confusing because I used center grades (Did not appear very varm to you). Here is a variant in Fahrenheit.
Top rows represents monthly means, compare GISSTEMP base period
The rows below are then a period BEFORE the base period and the last rows AFTER the base period
The figures are obviously fabricated but I wanted to illustrate how a total lack of heat records or even plummeting heat can still be presented as run away warming. The trick spells Anomaly.
The Anomaly is calculated as deviation from the base period (here I have one average per region but there could be more, does not matter)
Look at the temperature graph. Maxtemps are plummeting for both regions. The average temperature is however increasing but 1.1 F is hardly noticeable. Compare the anomaly, also 1.1F but far more dramatic.
Hope it helps.
I duplicated what you did in Excel and it’s complicated. No wonder they can hide it.
Would have have helped if the order was TS123 instead of TS213.
I can send you the Excel ;-)
I have yet to see any data from a surface station or near shore buoy that shows Harvey had 1 minute sustained wind speed of 130 mph or more. Yet everyone is saying it was a Cat IV at landfall.
They picked up in the Hurricane Hunters statement but those measurements are taken at the altitude the aircraft is flying and then the estimated sustained wind speeds at lower altitudes are calculated. The sensors they drop can’t give sustained (1 minute) wind speeds at any altitude because they descend too quickly.
Based on what I’m seeing it looks like Harvey was actually a strong Cat III at landfall and not a Cat IV. Not that it makes much practical difference for those in it’s path. But this science after all and I see temperatures and sea level measurements defined to 10th and 100ths or even 1,000ths all the time so I want to know. Exactly what was the sustained maximum wind speed taken by direct measurement for Harvey at land fall.
I’m following that same thing RAH….haven’t seen anyone post that they found more than 90mph yet…and that was a gust, not sustained
They claim that Port Aransas had 111 mph sustained with gusts to 131. That would barely qualify as a major hurricane. But that reading is fishy because I could not find anyone else with a sustained wind over 75 mph and gusts slightly over 100.
Carla had reported gusts up to 175 mph
RAH, I have also been searching for some objective data on wind-speed at landfall
But, it’s “Facts? We don’t need no steenkin’ facts!” with this bunch
The Hurricane got the desired “Cat 4” headline and the alarmist megaphone is off and running with stories of calamity and mayhem (which have likely been written and re-written over the last 12 years and shelved, just waiting for the right occasion)
The next memes will be “Communities of color take the biggest hit” and “Enclaves of white privilege spared”
Time for Dan Rather to dust off the old trench coat and take a camera crew to the beach
GeologyJim says:
“….The next memes will be “Communities of color take the biggest hit” and “Enclaves of white privilege spared”……….”
You nailed it:
“Hurricane Harvey poised to disproportionately impact blacks in Texas, but no one is talking about it ”
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/1693142
That Daily KOS tripe was also written long ago and put in safe keeping
“Never let a good crisis go to waste”
True, communities of color displaced the customary widows and orphans as the preferred rhetorical device in contemporary journalism.
Isn’t white a color? It’s not clear….(double meaning)
From what I have been reapeatedly told by the current array of experts, is that white is both a privlege and a disease. These experts call white just about everything but a color. And how can you argue with their carefully constructed emotional diatribe?
I’ve been told for 30 years or more that just about EVERYTHING “disproportionately impacts” blacks to their detriment. The law and those that enforce it, the educations system, testing within the educations system, even the English language and the list goes on and on.