Arctic Ice (Still) Refuses To Melt As Ordered

I started writing about climate nine years ago with this article in The Register. I pointed out that Arctic experts are wildly incompetent hacks, and came under attack by Walt Meier at NSIDC for doing so.

Arctic ice refuses to melt as ordered • The Register

Here are the expert predictions I was making fun of – Arctic to be ice-free in 2008.

Expert: Arctic polar cap may disappear this summer_English_Xinhua

North Pole to be ice-free in 2008.

North Pole May Be Ice-Free for First Time This Summer

North Pole could be ice free in 2008 | New Scientist

Based on the advice of these experts, Lewis Pugh tried to kayak to the North Pole.

BBC NEWS | UK | Swimmer aims to kayak to N Pole

Pugh didn’t get very far, and the fake news press quite predictably declared victory in defeat.

Explorer kayaks to 1,000 km from N.Pole


The Reuters story read :

In normal years, there would be no open water north of Spitzbergen.

As with almost everything else reported by the press, this was fake news which the author simply made up. Here is some actual news from 95 years ago.

last winter, the ocean did not freeze over even on the north coast of Spitzbergen.

US Consul Norway, 1922


Arctic ice didn’t disappear in 2008, and there was more ice near Spitzbergen than normal.

N_200809_extn_v2.1.png (420×500)

The leading experts from Norway, Canada and the US had no clue what they were talking about, and the press lied and never retracted their fake stories – but nothing unusual about that.

Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts
– Richard Feynman

That isn’t the prediction I am making fun of in this post however. Ten years ago, America’s top experts predicted the Arctic would be ice-free by 2012. They said “The Arctic is screaming.

Star-News – Google News Archive Search

Their forecast was based on the commonly held superstition that 0.0004 mole fraction atmospheric CO2 controls ice behavior, and the forecast of course failed – because they had no clue what they were talking about. There has been no change in Arctic sea ice extent since those forecasts were made a decade ago..


The 2007 article said Greenland was melting down and was the canary in the coal mine. Ten years later Greenland had their fifth largest mass gain on record.

Guest post: How the Greenland ice sheet fared in 2017 | Carbon Brief

In that 2007 article, scientists announced that a weakened jet stream caused drought in the Southeast.

This week they claimed the exact opposite, saying a weakened jet stream causes floods.

CO2 is changing the jet stream in ways that will create more Harveys – ThinkProgress

Climate scientists have no clue what they are talking about. Global warming theory is junk science, and there appear to be no limitations on how these crooked snake oil salesmen will change their story to keep the scam alive.

About Tony Heller

Just having fun
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