New Ice-Free Arctic Date

Based on current volume ice loss trends, I predict with 97% confidence the Arctic will be ice-free on July 29, 2021 at 11:42 AM.

Spreadsheet    Data

Ice loss this year was fourth lowest on record, with all of the lowest four years occurring since 2013.

This shouldn’t surprise anyone, because summers have been running cold in the Arctic in recent years.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

The ice edge is not quite as extensive as it was in 1971, when the New York Times was worried about expanding ice and a new ice age.

1971                 2018

U.S. and Soviet Press Studies of a Colder Arctic – The New York Times

The climate prophets aren’t doing very well, which is why the fake news press quotes them every day, and refuses to talk to anyone who states factual information about climate.

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

Ice-free Arctic in two years heralds methane catastrophe – scientist | Environment | The Guardian

Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014

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13 Responses to New Ice-Free Arctic Date

  1. Lasse says:

    The story is-less ice cover will warm the water and give us an accelerating heating and ice loss.
    This is due to less albedo in the ice free waters.

    One of the tipping points mentioned.

    Can we say this is proven to be wrong?

    • dave1billion says:

      So where is the acceleration mentioned?

      The point of this post is that the ice cover is not trending downward over the last 15 years or so.

      “Can we say this is proven to be wrong?” – I’d say the standard for asserting a ‘tipping point’ would be to prove that it is correct, not to throw it out there and assert that someone must prove it incorrect.

      “The composition of the moon’s core is green cheese. There is, however, a dense shell of compressed matter surrounding that core that gives a misleading overall density.”

      Can that be proven wrong?

  2. Norilsk says:

    Yet another instance of the boy who called wolf.

  3. Jim says:

    Mr. Heller,

    On occasions you have provided a website which shows sea level rise and fall on the margins of North America. Can you please post the link for that website? It would much appreciated.

  4. arn says:

    Thanks god
    that co2 developed in the meantime some very impressive climate gas skills
    (perfectly right in time after being a very lousy climate gas for billions of years)
    to save us from the ice age.
    Sadly the skills were so strong that we all gonna burn now if we do not pay the co2 jiyza.

  5. Psalmon says:

    Is this 97% confidence the same as “for the record”?

  6. AndyDC says:

    I love that moronic pose of Gore staring at his hands. We should all give thanks every day for those hanging chads in Florida.

  7. Steven Fraser says:

    A little OT, but we had 4″ of ‘Permanent Drought’ at my house today in Metro DFW, from 5-6:20 pm, as measured in my garden rain gauge.

    Still raining, and more expected by Sunday morning.

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