Real Climate Science

Settled science requires constant changes, and I have again updated my ice-free Arctic forecast. It now uprears the Arctic won’t be ice-free until springtime.

Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph | Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis

Climate alarmists were placing their hopes that winter-like storms in August would break up the ice this year like they did the previous two years – thus saving them from total embarrassment. But as I have been pointing out that approach is not only deceptive – but bad science.

The last two summers, Arctic alarmists got very lucky when late summer winter-like storms broke up the ice in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. But the longer term impact of those storms is that they cooled the deeper waters of those two seas, making it harder to melt the ice this summer.

I frequently write about NOAA erasing the heat of the 1930s, but even more impressive is their data tampering from 1901. Prior to data tampering, July 1901 was the second hottest July on record in the US.

In order to hide the decline in July temperatures, NOAA cools July 1901 by 1.5 degrees, and warms July, 2017 by 0.6 degrees.

July 23, 1901 was one of the hottest days on record in the US – averaging 94 degrees across the country.

More than one third of the country was over 100F that day.

A large portion of the Midwest was over 110F on July 23, 1901

The New York Times headlines from the 1901 heatwave were quite remarkable.

Later in July 1901, the heatwave expanded to Europe

THE HEAT WAVE IN EUROPE.; Numerous Deaths in London — Effects of Drought Serious — No Signs of a Change in England.

And continued into August.

UNPRECEDENTED HEAT IN ITALY.; Vineyards Shriveled Up — People Forced to Sleep in the Open Air.

If climate scientists were actual scientists, they would want to understand what caused the heat of 1901 – rather than trying to erase it. But they aren’t scientists, they are crooks.

Before the days of climate scientists, geologists were in charge of climate studies – and they did actual science.

TimesMachine: July 23, 1933 – NYTimes.com

Draining the swamp requires cutting off every penny of funding from fake climate science.

I’m now forecasting an ice-free Arctic on New Years Day, with temperatures at -35C.

Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph | Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis

Maximum temperatures from August 1 to August 15 averaged seventh coolest on record in the US, down eight degrees since 1936. Note that 2004 and 2013 were also in the bottom seven. All of the ten hottest years were below 350 PPM CO2.

Last year, experts announced that the Arctic would be ice-free in 2017.

During the winter, they announced that the ice was melting at -30C, and had shrunk to a record low.

Cold air has set in over the Arctic, and there isn’t going to be much more melting this year. It looks like the area of ice in the Arctic will end up about the size of Texas, like it has been in all recent years.

Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph | Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis

Whatever climate scientists tell the press, it is safe to assume the exact opposite is happening.

Expert: Arctic polar cap may disappear this summer_English_Xinhua

North Pole May Be Ice-Free for First Time This Summer

Star-News – Google News Archive Search

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013’

Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

New release with a ton of new stuff,

This release requires new versions of ghcn.py (Linux/Mac) or ghcn.exe,(Windows) and new files US_final.tmax.txt and US_raw.tmax.txt . You will need all of the files in this directory on Google Drive. I’ve updated US.txt in file US.zip in that directory, to the latest GHCN data. US.txt needs to be unzipped and placed in the same directory on your computer as the other files.

The most obvious change is the addition of USHCN monthly data – the original version only had daily. What the new release gives you is the ability to see how NOAA tampers with the monthly data.

You can see how they “hide the 1940 blip.”  The plot below was generated with the command line :
(Linux/Mac) :   python3 ghcn.py US.txt month=08 state=MO
(Windows) :     ghcn.exe US.txt month=08 state=MO

For serious users, UNHIDING also dumps out a .csv file in the same directory which gives you access to lots more stats.

The summer of 2011 was one of the hottest summers on record in Texas and Oklahoma. The average maximum temperature was 100F, compared to 99.3F in 1934. It was an outlier, as Texas/Oklahoma summer temperatures have dropped sharply over the past 100 years.

2011 beat out 1934 for the largest percentage of 100 degree days.

However, 1934 easily beat out 2011 for the number of 110 degree days.

The decline in Texas summer heat doesn’t suit NOAA’s global warming agenda, so they altered the data in a spectacular hockey stick to cool the past by one degree and heat the present by almost that much.

Global warming is the biggest scam in science history, and my new software UNHIDING THE DECLINE makes it easy for everyone to reproduce what I am saying. Even someone of low skills like Mosher can do it.  Grab the latest software from here and type :

Linux/Mac terminal : python3 ghcn.py US.txt states=TXOK date_range=06011907:08312017

Windows command prompt : ghcn.exe US.txt states=TXOK date_range=06011907:08312017

23 Aug 1883, Page 1 – Star Tribune

Documenting other people’s hate speech is now considered hate speech.

August 21 used to be a hot day in the US, but maximum temperatures have declined since the 19th century.

On August 21, 1936 twenty one percent of US stations were over 100F, compared to two percent last year (NASA’s hottest year ever™)

About half of the Eastern US was over 100F on August 21, 1936

August 21, 1983 was the hottest day on record in North Carolina. Fayetteville was 110 degrees.

NOAA doesn’t like the fact that August afternoon temperatures in the US are declining, so they simply alter the data in a hockey stick to hide the decline.