Real Climate Science

NOAA says that there has been no increase in heatwaves east of the Rockies, which covers more than two-thirds of the US.

But while the Midwest joins the overall warming trend, it has not been hit frequently by summer heat waves, according to Ken Kunkel of NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information

“The Midwest has not experienced any substantial summer warming and this spills over into heat waves,” he said. “The period of most heatwaves for the Midwest remains the 1930s Dust Bowl era.” In North America, there has been an increase in heatwaves west of the Rocky Mountains, but to the east, generally not, he said

Sizzling Midwest Previews a Hotter Future Climate

This directly contradicts NOAA’s CEI (Climate Extremes Index) which shows a very large increase since 1970 in the area of the US affected by unusual summer heat.

High and Low Temperatures | Climate Change | US EPA

The NOAA CEI graph above is baseless. The area of the US affected by hot summer temperatures has plummeted since the 1930’s. This is confirmed by the EPA graph below, which is also derived from NOAA (non-CEI) data.

High and Low Temperatures | Climate Change | US EPA

I’ve detailed this below.

Splitting it up geographically, the area east of the Rockies (about 70% of the US) has seen a decrease of more than 50% in the area covered by 100 degree weather.

West of the Rockies has also seen no increase, and is currently near record lows.

Let’s focus specifically on 2012. NOAA CEI shows 2012 almost as hot as 1936, but it wasn’t even close in either the west or the east. The NOAA CEI graph is completely fake data.

The maps below show visually just how much hotter 1936 was than 2012.

NOAA CEI is just one more example of blatant government climate fraud.

Tornado activity has been near record lows, so Bloomberg wants you to forget about them and focus on The Empire State Building being struck by lightning as evidence of “climate change.”

It’s largely our own fault.

The Empire State Building actually gets struck by lightning an average of once every four days.

Serious Scientific Answers to Absurd Hypothetical Questions

Every short term rainfall record in the US occurred before 1980. In 1956, Maryland received over an inch of rain in one minute.

Extreme Weather: A Guide & Record Book – Christopher C. Burt – Google Books

Then the geniuses at Bloomberg claim that 8-10 inches of rain in 12 hours in West Virginia is a “1,000 years rain.”

Forget Tornadoes. Rain Bombs Are Coming for Your Town – Bloomberg

In 1943, West Virginia had almost 14 inches of rain in one hour. Apparently that must have been more than 1,000 years ago. Pennsylvania had 34 inches of rain in 12 hours in 1942.

Climate alarmists are no different from 16th century Europeans who burned 15,000 witches for “cooking the weather.” They observe ordinary events, and convince themselves that it is unprecedented and somebody’s fault.

Our intrepid climate clowns are nearing 500 miles of impenetrable ice, and blogging under the influence of Vodka. Do they expect the ice to melt when the water is 0.4 degrees?

Home – The Polar Ocean Challenge

The DNC is working very hard to keep Hillary dry.

I’ve seen this movie twice, and am going back for #3 tomorrow. It is a must-see for every American. The history of the Democratic Party will send shivers up your spine.

DMI shows Arctic sea ice extent well below last year, and near a record low.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

In fact, there is more ice than last year, and it likely that 2016 will end considerably higher than last year. This is because the big red spot (below) in the Beaufort Sea disappeared in a storm during the second week of August last year.

The forecast is for very cold air over the Beaufort Sea the next two weeks, so it is unlikely that a lot of melting is going to occur there. This is shaping up to be a disastrous year for Arctic alarmists, and it will be interesting to see how the graphs progress, and if and when they catch up with reality.

There is science, logic, reason; there is thought verified by experience. And then there is California.

Edward Abbey

Last night California Governor Jerry Brown angrily blamed the California drought on Donald Trump, which seems just about as rational as believing that a witch turned him into a newt.

During the 1977 global cooling drought, which Brown called “the worst in recorded history” – he called for desalinization of seawater.

21 Feb 1977, Page 1 – The Bakersfield Californian at Newspapers.com

Three years later, California was flooding and he forgot about desalinization.

16 Feb 1980, Page 1 – Poughkeepsie Journal at Newspapers.com

Governor Brown never built the desalinization plants, but he did spend $70 billion building a train which he thought would prevent droughts. And last night he bragged about how successful his carbon tax is.

Humans don’t get much stupider than California Governor Jerry Brown.

I was on the Charles Butler show this morning (starts at around 28:00) and Charles said he would forward some key climate talking points over to the Trump campaign. Democrats are very organized with their climate talking points, and have the media trained as attack dogs. Their  propaganda is easily countered by a few simple points.

Almost all of our heat, light, cooling, communication and transportation is done using fossil fuels. All of our food and medicine is transported using fossil fuels. Without fossil fuels, every tree would get cut down by people needing to burn wood for warmth. The air would be thick with smoke like China. People would be starving to death and freezing in the winter. There would be no Internet, mass transit or communications. If we “keep it in the ground” or “make electricity prices skyrocket” like Democrats want to do,  it would be an immediate catastrophe like nothing mankind has ever faced.

1. There is no 97% consensus of scientists. In a 2013 survey of the professional members of the American Meteorological Society, only 52% believed that global warming was primarily man-made – much less dangerous. No group in the survey came anywhere close to reaching 97%.

http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00091.1

In 1975, the National Academy of Sciences said “The climates of the earth have always been changing.” Blaming every weather event on humans is not science, it is superstition.

2. Heatwaves are not getting worse. According to the EPA, the worst heatwaves in the US (by far) occurred during the 1930’s – when the Midwest commonly saw temperatures over 110 degrees, and as high as 120 degrees.

High and Low Temperatures | Climate Change | US EPA

Almost half of US states set their all-time maximum record temperature record during the 1930’s. Only one state has set their all-time record since the year 2000.

UNITED STATES EXTREME RECORD TEMPERATURES & RANGES

3. Droughts are not getting worse. According to NOAA, the US has been getting steadily wetter over the past century.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

In the 1930’s, drought covered 80% of the US, as poignantly described by John Steinbeck in “The Grapes of Wrath”

193407.gif (690×488)

4. Scientists say that California has had much more severe droughts in the past, lasting as long as 200 years. The past 100 years was the wettest century on record in California.

California drought: Past dry periods have lasted more than 200 years, scientists say – Mercury News

5. Hurricanes are not getting worse. The US is experiencing a record quiet period for hurricanes.

Jul 27 2016

No hurricanes have entered or developed in the Gulf of Mexico since September 2013, a stretch of well over 1,000 days. By the end of this week, the streak will be the longest on record, dating to the 1800s.

Gulf of Mexico Hurricane Drought Likely to Become Longest in 130 Years | The Weather Channel

U.S. in longest “hurricane drought” in recorded history – CBS News

6. According to the Danish Meteorological Institute, the Arctic Ocean is full of thick ice. There is more ice on the Russian side than there has been in years, and a group of global warming sailors are currently blocked by impenetrable ice in the Northeast Passage.

DMI Modelled ice thickness

Home – The Polar Ocean Challenge

Scientists predictions have consistently failed.

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013’

Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014

The Argus-Press – Jun 24, 2008

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

7. Polar Bear populations are not decreasing.

Global population of polar bears has increased by 2,650-5,700 since 2001 | polarbearscience

8. Sea level has been rising for 20,000 years, since the end of the last ice age. Most of that time much faster than now. It has nothing to do with humans.

File:Post-Glacial Sea Level.png – Wikimedia Commons

9. According to NOAA, sea level is only rising 1.7 to 1.8 mm/year. At that rate, it will take thousands of years for Manhattan to drown.

the absolute global sea level rise is believed to be 1.7-1.8 millimeters/year.

Sea Level Trends – Global Regional Trends

10. According to NOAA, sea level at Manhattan has been rising at about the same rate (2.8 mm/year) since the 1850’s. There is no indication that humans are affecting the rate of sea level rise.

Sea Level Trends – State Selection

11. Glaciers have been melting for a very long time. In 1879, John Muir (founder of the Sierra Club) found that Alaska’s largest glacier had retreated 48 miles since 1794. Twenty thousand years ago, Chicago was buried under a mile of glacial ice.

Glaciers and Icebergs of Glacier Bay National Park in Southeast Alaska

The glaciers of Greenland were reported by scientists to be “nearing catastrophe” – even before Bernie Sanders was born.

06 May 1940 – Greenland’s Climate Becoming Milder – Trove

12. Forest fires are not getting worse over the long term. According to USDA, the US had five times as much burn acreage in the 1930’s as we  do now. The New York Times confirmed this.

Indicator 3.16: Area and percent of forest affected by abiotic agents

October 9, 1938 – NYTimes

13. Climate models have failed, and greatly over-predict warming.

Climate Analysis | Remote Sensing Systems

14. Our most accurate systems for measuring global temperature, satellites, show that this year is no warmer than 1998.

Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

15. NASA shows that global surface temperatures have fallen 0.54 degrees C over the last four months. The largest drop on record in such a short time.

www.woodfortrees.org/data/gistemp

These points are unassailable, and backed by government data. If Trump memorizes them, it will help Make America Great Again.

“Doublethink means the power of holding two contradictory beliefs in one’s mind simultaneously, and accepting both of them.”

– George Orwell

The Polar Ocean crew are determined to prove something which they can see with their own eyes is not happening.

Home – The Polar Ocean Challenge

They aren’t going anywhere.