Real Climate Science

CNN has never showed any interest in soccer, until the day it was disclosed that the IRS had targeted a Republican Senator. Then soccer became their lead story.

The Washington Post has weighed in on this matter with their usual complete  failure of logic.

The World Cup happens every four years, and the US press has never had any interest in it. Soccer fans like myself don’t go to CNN to get soccer news. The problem isn’t the World Cup distracting people – rather  the problem is slimy left-wing journalists using the World Cup to avoid reporting on Obama scandals.

The match yesterday was incredibly dull. It was raining, Germany didn’t care and the US was tired from Sunday’s match. Had the match gone on for six more hours I doubt the US team would have found the back of the net.

The standard left-wing journalism approach has become to try to marginalize people through completely fake straw man arguments.

Thousands of people died unnecessarily from the heat during July, 1936 – simply because NCDC didn’t have the opportunity to apply a TOBS adjustment to the thermometers yet, and cool them down.

http://news.google.com/newspapers

Imagine you are operating a temperature station in July, 1936 – the hottest month in US history. Your time of observation is 5 pm. The temperature is 109 degrees, and you reset your thermometer.

At 6 pm, a cold front comes through and the temperature drops to 60 degrees.  The next day is 40 degrees cooler, but your min/max thermometer reads a maximum of 109 degrees, from when you reset it a day earlier. Are you actually going to enter 109 degrees for the high that day?

Of course not. Any responsible person will reset their thermometer at night, regardless of the time of observation. TOBS is not a subtle problem. It is a very much in your face problem as the station operator, and I have a very hard time believing that many people would be irresponsible enough to reset their thermometer at 5:00PM, and then not reset it again until the next afternoon. It doesn’t pass the sniff test of human psychology.

Why is it that people like Zeke can’t understand what they are doing wrong?

Using anomalies, infilling and gridding might be OK if you were happy with your network of stations and were just trying to generate a spatially averaged temperature anomaly across the US.

But that isn’t what I am doing. I am trying to see how much adjusting is being done, and the only sensible way to do that is to average the final station temperature and subtract the average of the raw station temperatures. That gives you a precise measure of the average adjustment for a particular year.

In a network with a systematically changing composition (rural station loss etc.) the very last thing you want to do is smear the data together and generate infilled data for the missing stations. That is 100% guaranteed to give you incorrect results. Besides a multitude of other sins, they are turning rural stations into urban stations and making UHI worse.

Zeke says that they are done adjusting data, but nothing could be further from the truth – the adjustments are increasing exponentially.

The temperature record needs to be turned over to responsible adults in the private sector.

This comment is re-posted from the “Who Is Steven Goddard” thread. I don’t have the ability to move comments around, so closest I could do to meet Leon’s request is make a new post. Leon has been extremely generous, and in fact I would not have made it to Maryland without his donations.

Leon says:

June 27, 2014 at 6:07 pm

Progressives say there are no government conspiracies, which explains why Edward Snowden rocked the world with his disclosures.

People who say that droughts are getting worse, have absolutely no clue what they are talking about.

http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/

My name is Tony Heller. I am a whistle blower. I am an independent thinker who is considered a heretic by the orthodoxy on both sides of the climate debate.

I live in Columbia, Maryland – an amazing city where I can ride my bicycle everywhere through the forest, and never need to get in a car.

I am a lifelong environmentalist. I testified at my first Congressional subcommittee hearing at age 15 in Kanab, Utah, in support of  a wilderness area – very close to the one which President Obama recently set aside. I worked to get the Clean Air Act passed. I worked as a volunteer wilderness ranger for two summers in the Cibola and Santa Fe National Forests in New Mexico. I worked on the Safety Analysis Report for DOE’s nuclear waste disposal site in New Mexico. I probably have the smallest electricity bill in Columbia, Maryland because I am very careful not to waste. I have never turned on my heat or air conditioning.

I have degrees in Geology and Electrical Engineering, and worked on the design team of many of the world’s most complex designs, including some which likely power your PC or Mac. I have worked as a contract software developer on climate and weather models for the US government.

Continue reading →

Here is a simple example of how NOAA manufactures station data. The station at MORRISVILLE 6 SW in New York stopped reporting data in February 2013.  The raw data file is shown below (click for a larger image.) Missing monthly data is marked by -9999.

USH00305512.raw.tavg

The manufactured data (shown below) continues through the present and is marked with an “E”

USH00305512.FLs.52i.tavg

We know that temperatures can vary several degrees within 50 yards, but they are pulling data in from stations tens of miles away, and reporting it to a precision of 0.01 degrees.

NCDC then releases temperature graphs to the public showing warming, with no mention that about 40% of the current station data is manufactured, without any underlying measured station data.