Real Climate Science

The defense for Hansen’s 1988 failed predictions seems to be “global warming is much less than forecast”

The same people also tell us that global warming is much worse than forecast.

A bunch of total nutcases.

The deluded minions of Hansen convince themselves that his forecasts were correct. Classic case of the Emperor’s New Clothes.

Methane is unstable and breaks down quickly in the atmosphere, and even if it doubled would have essentially no impact on the greenhouse effect. In the tropics, the effect would be an increase in downwelling longwave radiation of about 0.04%.

If everyone in Kansas City was an atmospheric molecule, only one of them would be methane. Anyone working on climate models and doesn’t know this, is driving under the influence of AGW stupidity.

Bill Illis posted a table from RealFakeClimate showing Hansen’s scenario A/B/C assumptions. What was inside was just about what I should have expected from Homer.

He is off by three orders of magnitude in his CFC numbers

www.realclimate.org/data/H88_scenarios.dat

The table is parts per million, but the CFC numbers are at least three orders of magnitude too high. CFC11 should be 0.00025 PPM, not 0.52

File:AYool CFC-11 history.png – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

If everyone on the planet was a molecule of air, less than two people would be CFC11 molecules. CFC’s play essentially no role in the greenhouse effect, as radiative transfer models show. A 1 ppm change in CO2 is 4,000 times more molecules than a doubling of CFC11.

Hansen is completely incompetent, and apparently has been for his entire career.

09 Jul 1988 – SATURDAY MAGAZINE The big heat is on

h/t to Andy Oz

web.archive.org/web/19991105161224/http://www.giss.nasa.gov/data/update/gistemp/ZonAnn.Ts.txt

James Hansen’s research shows that a mini-runaway, pushing global temperatures to 10-12 degrees C above the Holocene, is all but certain under continuous, business as usual, fossil fuel burning through 2100.

James Hansen and the Three Categories of the Runaway Greenhouse: Earth Uninhabitable for Humans at ~5,000 Gigatons Fossil Fuel Burned | robertscribbler

Alarmists and lukewarmers like Will Nitschke tell us that we are not on Hansen’s BAU track, yet Hansen keeps saying that we are on BAU. Why are they arguing with the world’s greatest climatologist?

sea level rise of many meters should be anticipated with the global warming of at least several degrees Celsius that is expected under business-as-usual (BAU) climate scenarios 

www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2011/20110118_MilankovicPaper.pdf

Jan 22-feb  5  could be one of coldest periods plains east in last  50 years, if not longer

Superbowl is February 2, outdoors at Chris Christie’s  “I Shouldn’t Have Listened To Al Gore” Stadium