Real Climate Science

You would think that two billion nuclear bombs would have warmed things up a little bit. That is ten nuclear bombs exploding per square mile across the Earth’s surface. Shouldn’t someone have noticed?

By Eric Holthaus

The cold air pushing toward America’s heartland is of a duration and magnitude rarely seen since record-keeping began in the 1870s. In Minneapolis, forecasters warned that all-time wind chill records could be broken, with a stunning -65ºF predicted for Monday morning.

As the record-setting cold spreads across the US, brace yourself for this conversation:

In fact, despite the trolling of Donald Trump and other climate change deniers, global warming is probably contributing to the record cold, as counter-intuitive as that may seem. The key factor is a feedback mechanism of climate change known as Arctic amplification. Here’s how to explain the nuts and bolts of it to your under-informed family and friends:

Snow and ice are disappearing from the Arctic region at unprecedented rates, leaving behind relatively warmer open water, which is much less reflective to incoming sunlight than ice. That, among other factors, is causing the northern polar region of our planet to warm at a faster rate than the rest of the northern hemisphere. (And, just to state the obvious, global warming describes a global trend toward warmer temperatures, which doesn’t preclude occasional cold-weather extremes.)

How global warming can make cold snaps even worse – Quartz

How can anyone claim that a rapidly warming Arctic would produce record cold air? How can -65F Arctic air be melting ice? The assertions are ludicrous beyond comprehension.

Arctic ice extent is normal. Northern Hemisphere snow has been near record highs.

N_daily_extent.png (420×500)

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
1000 AM CST SUN JAN 5 2014 /1100 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014/

...TECHNICALITY EXPECTED TO PREVENT ALL TIME RECORD COLD HIGHS
FROM BEING BROKEN MONDAY...

WHILE MONDAYS DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
BRUTALLY COLD AND PROBABLY COLDER THAN THE DAILY ALL-TIME RECORD
COLD HIGHS...IT LOOKS UNLIKELY THAT THE ALL-TIME DAILY RECORD COLD
HIGHS WILL BE BROKEN. THE TECHNICALITY THAT LOOKS LIKELY TO
PREVENT MONDAY FROM BREAKING THE COLDEST DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE
EVER IS THE MIDNIGHT TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. THE MIDNIGHT TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO BE THE DAILY
HIGHS MONDAY AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE BELOW THE ALL-TIME DAILY
COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS. DESPITE LIKELY FALLING SHORT OF THE
ALL-TIME DAILY RECORD COLD HIGHS...MONDAY WILL GO DOWN AS ONE OF
THE COLDEST DAYS ON RECORD. HERE IS A RANKING OF THE COLDEST NOON
TEMPERATURES ON RECORD DATING BACK TO THE 1929-30 WINTERS IN
CHICAGO AND ROCKFORD.

All-time Record Cold Highs Monday Likely To Be Missed

http://wxug.us/1bs76

Climate xperts say that UHI has no effect, which is why Denver is 6-15 degrees warmer than outlying areas at the same elevation this morning.

http://wxug.us/1bs4q

Obviously snow removal, pavement, concrete and heating several million homes has no impact on temperature, but tiny amounts of CO2 does,

Leading climate stupidity experts predicted an ice-free Arctic in 2013, and it did the exact opposite.

COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

the Arctic will be ice-free in the summer of 2013

– John Kerry, US Secretary of State

John Kerry: We Can’t Ignore the Security Threat from Climate Change

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013?

James Hansen : ‘This is the last chance’

6/23/2008

“We see a tipping point occurring right before our eyes,” Hansen told the AP before the luncheon. “The Arctic is the first tipping point and it’s occurring exactly the way we said it would.”

Hansen, echoing work by other scientists, said that in five to 10 years, the Arctic will be free of sea ice in the summer.

NASA warming scientist: ‘This is the last chance’ – USATODAY.com

June 26, 2013

The alarming loss of sea ice which has grown worse each summer over the past several decades, has taken a sharp turn for the worse: this year the loss is right in the middle, the most resilient part of the ice cover. This could lead to a completely ice-free Arctic Ocean by September.

Unprecedented hole is growing in Arctic sea ice – Fairfax Climate Watch

Why Arctic sea ice will vanish in 2013 | Sierra Club Canada

The mainstream media almost never report on research that challenges the approved narrative, which explains why a comprehensive study by Quinnipiac University economist Mark Gius has hardly seen the light of day since being released Nov. 26.

“The purpose of the present study is to determine the effects of state-level assault weapons bans and concealed weapons laws on state-level murder rates. Using data for the period 1980 to 2009 and controlling for state and year fixed effects, the results of the present study suggest that states with restrictions on the carrying of concealed weapons had higher gun-related murder rates than other states.”

“It was also found that assault weapons bans did not significantly affect murder rates at the state level,” Mr. Gius noted.

EDITORIAL: Truth about guns concealed | Las Vegas Review-Journal

h/t to Dave G

SMH claims that west Antarctic Ice is seeing a big decrease in sea ice, and East Antarctica a small increase.

This is a flagrant lie on all counts. Antarctic sea ice is at a record high anomaly of 1.5 million km², and West Antarctic sea ice currently extends hundreds of miles further from the pole than normal.

Chilly warning from scientists on impact of Antarctica changes | smh.com.au

S_daily_extent.png (420×500)

Even if their Western Antarctic disinformation were correct, how would a small increase combine with a big decrease to produce a record maximum? They are incompetent at math and science, and shouldn’t be reporting on it. No comment section, of course.

h/t to Andy Oz

I was driving past Colorado Springs in sub-zero (F) weather this evening, and saw a huge array of solar collectors covered with snow and completely useless.

On a more positive note, this was the view in the San Luis Valley today, near the birthplace of the Manassa Mauler.

In 1997, GISS showed that the earth was rapidly warming from 1866 to 1900. But by 1999, they showed the exact opposite for the same time period.

The 1997 version was destroyed on the Web Archive sometime this week, and is now empty. It was located here. I captured it on December 23.

http://web.archive.org/web/19970301012952/http://www.giss.nasa.gov/Data/GISTEMP/GLB.Ts.txt

The 1999 version has not been destroyed yet, and can still be found here :

http://web.archive.org/web/19990220235952/http://www.giss.nasa.gov/data/gistemp/GLB.Ts.txt

They claim to know temperatures within 0.01 degrees, but didn’t even know the polarity of the trend.