Real Climate Science

USHCN “raw” monthly data shows that July, 1901 was the hottest month in US history – ahead of 1936 and third place 2012.

July of 1901 was a very hot month. Look at all the USHCN stations which were over 110 degrees on July 22, 1901. That day was much hotter than any day in 2012.

       Missouri	  MARBLE HILL    	 7/22/1901	116
       Missouri	  JEFFERSON CITY 	 7/22/1901	113
       Missouri	  WARRENTON 1 N  	 7/22/1901	113
        Arizona	  PARKER         	 7/22/1901	112
       Illinois	  ANNA 2 NNE     	 7/22/1901	112
       Illinois	  MT VERNON 3 NE 	 7/22/1901	112
        Indiana	  SALEM          	 7/22/1901	112
       Missouri	  MEXICO         	 7/22/1901	112
       Missouri	  UNIONVILLE     	 7/22/1901	112
       Illinois	  CARLINVILLE    	 7/22/1901	111
       Illinois	  HARRISBURG     	 7/22/1901	111
       Illinois	  SPARTA 1 W     	 7/22/1901	111
        Indiana	  COLUMBUS       	 7/22/1901	111
        Indiana	  OOLITIC PURDUE 	 7/22/1901	111
        Indiana	  PAOLI          	 7/22/1901	111
        Indiana	  PRINCETON 1 W  	 7/22/1901	111
       Missouri	  LEXINGTON 3E   	 7/22/1901	111
       Illinois	  MCLEANSBORO    	 7/22/1901	110
           Iowa	  ALBIA 3 NNE    	 7/22/1901	110
         Kansas	  COLUMBUS       	 7/22/1901	110
       Missouri	  APPLETON CITY  	 7/22/1901	110
       Missouri	  STEFFENVILLE   	 7/22/1901	110
        Montana	  GLENDIVE       	 7/22/1901	110
      Tennessee	  DOVER 1 W      	 7/22/1901	110
      Wisconsin	  PRAIRIE DU CHIE	 7/22/1901	110

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http://trove.nla.gov.au/

Prairie du Chien, Wisconsin has had 191 days over one hundred degrees since 1900. None of them occurred between 2000 and 2011.

The hottest day was July 22, 1901, when the temperature reached 110F – during a streak of eight consecutive days over 100F.

The 1930s had fifty eight days over 100 degrees, compared to zero days between 2000 and 2011. (Weather Underground reports two days over 100 degrees in July, 2012, but they aren’t official temperatures.)

James Hansen says heatwaves are getting worse in the US due to CO2.

U.S. Historical Climatology Network

Rate of arctic summer sea ice loss is 50% higher than predicted | Environment | The Observer

That is amazing, because it was predicted to be ice free already.

http://www.canada.com/

http://soa.arcus.org/

NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: “At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions.”

http://news.nationalgeographic.com

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“Blind belief in authority is the greatest enemy of truth.”

– Albert Einstein

The current belief of liberals is slightly different

Anything the government says must be blindly accepted

Summer’s record heat, drought point to longer-term climate issues

“I’ve never seen anything quite like it,” said Justin Pedretti, who owns a farm near the boat ramp in Bonaparte, Iowa, and first reported the fish kill.

Under the most wide-reaching drought since 1956, and torched by the hottest July on record dating from 1895, the United States has been under the kind of weather stress that climatologists say will be more common if the long-standing trend toward higher U.S. temperatures continues. Most immediately affected are the nation’s water sources and the people and crops that rely on them.

The flow of the Mississippi River has slowed — at times rivaling 40-year lows — allowing saltwater from the Gulf of Mexico to seep far up the river channel, threatening community water supplies at the river mouth.

Summer’s record heat, drought point to longer-term climate issues – The Washington Post

The only reason July was listed as record heat was because NOAA cheated to produce the numbers. July of 1936 was hotter and it was followed by plummeting temperatures. July of 1950 was the coolest on record.

If people are going to get hysterical over cyclical weather, why not just panic that summer will continue to warm through December, or that the afternoon will continue to heat until midnight? It requires about as much brainpower.

Hansen wrote this in 1999, before he completely lost his integrity

Empirical evidence does not lend much support to the notion that climate is headed precipitately toward more extreme heat and drought. The drought of 1999 covered a smaller area than the 1988 drought, when the Mississippi almost dried up. And 1988 was a temporary inconvenience as compared with repeated droughts during the 1930s “Dust Bowl” that caused an exodus from the prairies, as chronicled in Steinbeck’s Grapes of Wrath.

NASA GISS: Science Briefs: Whither U.S. Climate?

h/t to Marc Morano

It was of course no match for Irene’s massive 50 MPH winds at landfall.

Eugene Register-Guard – Google News Archive Search

The graph above is the USHCN monthly data – final minus raw for all stations. The graph shows the usual cheating, adding 1.8 degrees on to 2011 relative to 1900.

Now look at 2012 – the relative adjustment is much smaller.

It makes no sense algorithmically to have a discontinuity like that between 2011 and 2012. The only thing I can think of is that the hot weather in July allowed them to cheat less than they normally do in order to declare a record maximum.

NOAA announced a couple of days ago that summer 2012 is the hottest ever due to CO2.

The forecast high for Prairie Du Chien, Wisconsin tomorrow is 72 degrees.  On August 12, 1936 the temperature was 101 degrees.

In order for 2012 extent to match 2007, essentially all of the ice inside the red circle has to disappear. It isn’t likely to melt, and the only thing which could cause this to happen would be very strong winds pushing the ice towards the North Pole, like in 2007. That is always a possibility, as obviously it has happened before.

There is a lot of multi-year ice inside that circle (see closeup below) and temperatures are pretty much stuck near or below 0C for the indefinite future.

//ARCTIC.IO/OBSERVATIONS/8/2012-08-11/8-N84.294028-E169.268762