Real Climate Science

Harry Reid is an idiot

Of course, if those skeptics had taken a stroll along the Potomac River on a 70-degree day this February, they would have seen cherry trees blossoming earlier than at any time since they were planted 100 years ago. Washington experienced its warmest spring since record keeping began in 1895.

Reid: Time To Stop Acting Like Climate Change Deniers Have A Valid Point Of View – They Don’t

The first blooms appeared on March 15. There was only one day in February which reached 70 degrees, and that was the first day of the month. Apparently Harry believes that he saw cherry blossoms on February 1.

Bloom Watch | National Cherry Blossom Festival

In 1946, the blooms appeared a day or two earlier.

Ludington Daily News 

Weather Forecast Chicago, IL | Chicago Weather | Wunderground

Compare vs. August 18, 1936

  ALEDO          	106
  ANNA 2 NNE     	107
  AURORA         	100
  CARLINVILLE    	109
  CHARLESTON     	105
  DANVILLE       	104
  DECATUR WTP    	105
  DIXON 1 NW     	103
  DU QUOIN 4 SE  	109
  GALVA          	105
  HARRISBURG     	110
  HILLSBORO      	106
  HOOPESTON 1 NE 	104
  JACKSONVILLE 2E	108
  LA HARPE       	105
  LINCOLN        	105
  MARENGO        	100
  MCLEANSBORO    	110
  MINONK         	105
  MONMOUTH       	105
  MORRISON       	105
  MT CARROLL     	103
  MT VERNON 3 NE 	110
  OLNEY 2S       	109
  OTTAWA 5SW     	105
  PALESTINE      	106
  PANA 3E        	107
  PARIS WTR WKS  	106
  PONTIAC        	103
  RUSHVILLE      	108
  SPARTA 1 W     	109
  URBANA         	101
  WALNUT         	105
  WHITE HALL 1 E 	107
  WINDSOR        	105

Much of the ice pack is already covered with fresh snow.

//ARCTIC.IO/OBSERVATIONS/8/2012-08-08/7-N81.213551-W176.222925

A significant amount of ice is surviving the summer near the Bering Strait. This is the first time that has happened in several years.

//ARCTIC.IO/OBSERVATIONS/8/2012-08-08/7-N71.739847-W170.728681

On average Alaska has warmed by about 4 degrees Fahrenheit over the last 150 years. There are widespread consequences such as melting glaciers and insect-devastated forest in response to this temerature change. Scientists say Alaska is like a canary in a coal mine, foreshadowing the types of changes we can expect for the rest of the world.

Scientific American Frontiers . Hot Times in Alaska. Canary in a Coal Mine | PBS

This is very troubling news, because people are freezing their asses off in Alaska

Cold weather in Southcentral Alaska isn’t just affecting people’s moods. It’s seriously hurting vegetable crops in the Matanuska Susitna Valley, one of the state’s major farming regions.

Most crops are several weeks behind schedule, according to farmers, the result of a chilly spring and a summer that’s nearly breaking cold-temperature records.

Alaska Farmers See Fewer Crops With Summer’s Cold Weather | Alaska Dispatch

The North Pole is freezing up for the winter.

9.jpg (1024×576)

A big storm broke up the ice in the Chukchi Sea and got our friends all excited this week, but their fun is about to come to a crashing halt.

Hurricanes used to hit Florida about once a year. Now they average about one every other year.

The current stretch of seven hurricane free years is the longest on record.

www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/ushurrlist18512009.txt

USHCN is increasing their upwards adjustments exponentially every year. They have no checks and balances, and will continue to cheat at a faster and faster rate for as long as they can get away with it.

There is not even any theoretical basis for what they are doing since 1990. They do it because they know they can.

USHCN says that they tamper with data this much

ts.ushcn_anom25_diffs_urb-raw_pg.gif (650×502)

In reality, they do vastly more data tampering than they admit. The graph below overlays the graph above on the current final monthly minus raw.

It gets worse though, the final minus daily raw will be even larger than the monthly data. But most disturbing is the TOBS adjustment. According to Menne et al 2009, the TOBS adjustment hasn’t changed from USHCN 1, which showed no increase after 1990. yet now we see continuing TOBS adjustments (blue below)  from 1990 to the present.

The 1990s station data hasn’t changed. The algorithm hasn’t changed. Why has the adjustment changed?

None of this makes any sense. They are adding to their adjustments for political reasons, not scientific ones.

Warrenton, Missouri is located right at the hottest of the hot in July, 2012

Average temperatures in Warrenton during July were six degrees cooler than 1901, 1934 and 1936, and almost one degree cooler than 1954.

July 2012 wasn’t anywhere near as hot as July 1936.

USHCN has released their end of July temperatures data again, this time without 2008-2012 missing.

The graph below shows the difference between their reported and measured annual data. They are now upwards adjusting 2012 by a world and olympic record 3.13 degrees. This is similar to beating the four minute mile for the first time.

And to make it even more exciting, they have been upwards adjusting later dates relative to earlier dates for 1404 months in  a row. The odds against that happening through legitimate science are an astonishing 2^1404 to one.

Anyone who believes that the adjustments shown above are honest objective science, should go purchase the Brooklyn Bridge immediately.