Real Climate Science

Why the Drought Won’t Be Getting Better Anytime Soon — and Why This One Won’t Be the Last

The droughts gets broader and deeper, covering more than three-fifths of the continental U.S. And scientific studies show that this sort of drought could only be the beginning
By BRYAN WALSH | @bryanrwalsh | August 6, 2012

U.S. Drought: No Respite Soon and Why It Won’t Be the Last | Science and Space | TIME.com

That is brilliant. Droughts happen every few years. Fortunately we haven’t had a repeat of the 1930s or 1950s recently.

Contiguous U.S., Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI), July-June 1896-2012

The graph below shows last month’s version of USHCN final minus TOBS.

TOBS itself is completely out of control, but what is this additional steadily increasing two degree adjustment about?

It is not documented by USHCN, which only admits another 0.2F above TOBS. Whatever this adjustment is, it is 1000% above what they are documenting.

ts.ushcn_anom25_diffs_pg.gif (650×502)

The converted skeptic who said last year that he never was a skeptic, now controls your mind.

Climate change study forces sceptical scientists to change minds | Environment | The Guardian

In Menne at al 2009, they claim that the TOBS adjustments in USHCN2 are the same as in USHCN1.

Nice story but it isn’t true.

ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ushcn/v2/monthly/menne-etal2009.pdf

Note in the graph above that the TOBS adjustment continues to rise from 1990 to the present. In the USHCN1 version, TOBS flattened after 1990

ts.ushcn_anom25_diffs_pg.gif (650×502)

The next graph overlays the most recent TOBS adjustments (blue) on the USHCN 1 graph

As you can see, they have added an extra 0.2 F (60%) on to the TOBS adjustment since USHCN 1.  The claims in Menne et al are incorrect.

The USHCN station history file shows almost no changes to temperature observation times after 1990, so it seems quite likely that the USHCN2 post 1990 TOBS upwards adjustments are complete garbage – added on to bring the numbers up.

Barry was fresh out of school and looking to make some money from writing. He was noticed by Jane Dystel who offered to take him under her wing.

Barry became her client, and Miriam Goderich put together the promotional booklet below, stating that Barry was born in Kenya. It is inconceivable that the bio was not written by Barry, because that is how these things are always done. Where else could Miriam have possibly gotten his personal information from?

Even more implausible is that he was unaware of the booklet. It would have been a very big deal for him at that stage of his life.

Born in Kenya and raised in Indonesia and Hawaii’

You can’t make this stuff up. USHCN2 bumped all Oklahoma temperatures up by 0.8 degrees between 1996 and 1998 due to claimed TOBS adjustments.

This is incredible to begin with, but particularly spectacular because they report no changes in temperature observation time, for any station in Oklahoma after 1994. The adjustment appears to be 100% fraudulent.

ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ushcn/station.history.Z

To help visualize what a mess we are dealing with, check out these graphs. In last month’s version, they were adjusting 2012 upwards by more than 2.5 degrees relative to 1902.

Now look at the August version. All data from June 2008 to the present has disappeared.

Looks like they are trying to cover their tracks. Last month’s data has of course been deleted from the web site.

Index of /pub/data/ushcn/v2/monthly/

The referee in the US/Canada women’s soccer semifinal cheated for the US and gave them the win. It was pathetic.

Look for the Obama photo op with the US gold medal winners, if they get past Japan.

Contiguous U.S., Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI), July-June 1896-2012

Hansen claims that severe droughts are much more likely now due to global warming. There is no factual basis behind his claim. The worst droughts (by far) were during the 1930s and the 1950s.

I predict that there will be heat, cold, hurricanes, floods, tornadoes and other kinds of bad weather in the future.

While we can’t tie any specific weather event to the drop in the average IQ, we can say that attributing normal weather events to superstitious beliefs is exactly what we expect to see in a rapidly dumbing down populace.