Real Climate Science

Our sea level friends tripled the rate of historical sea level rise over the last twenty years, without any data indicating that anything had changed.

The 1990 IPCC report reported a range of 1.0 to 1.7 mm per year and no evidence of acceleration during the 20th century.

Their graph showed 8-10 cm of rise from 1900 to 1980

www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf

That wasn’t very alarming, so a few years later they bumped the numbers up to 15 cm of sea level rise between 1900 and 1980

That wasn’t alarming enough either, so they bumped the numbers up to 3.1 mm per year, almost triple the 1990 number – without any evidence that sea level rise had accelerated.

CU Sea Level Research Group | University of Colorado

This is typical of the fraudulent activity going on in the climate community.

The 1990 IPCC report included the graph below, which showed that Greenland warmed 2C from 1920 to 1935, and then cooled for the next fifty years back to the level of the 1920s.

CO2 rose much faster during the fifty year cooling period than it did during the fifteen year warming period.

www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf

Temperatures in Greenland are cooler now than they were during the 1930s.

Data.GISS: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis

In 1988, Hansen forecast that parts of Manhattan would be underwater by now, and that crime would greatly increase due to global warming.

He got the second part right. Fraud, data tampering and forgery are the new normal in global warming research.

Field: “As the US copes with the aftermath of last year’s record-breaking series of 14 billion-dollar climate-related disasters and this year’s massive wildfires and storms, it is critical to understand that the link between climate change and the kinds of extremes that lead to disasters is clear.”

What the IPCC actually said: “There is medium evidence and high agreement that long-term trends in normalized losses have not been attributed to natural or anthropogenic climate change”

Roger Pielke Jr.’s Blog: IPCC Lead Author Misleads US Congress

Dems are busy today on Capitol Hill claiming that forest fires in Colorado prove climate change. Just a couple minor problems with that theory.

There are no fires of any significance burning in Colorado, and nationally there has only been one year with fewer fires since 2003.

Fort Collins is greener today than I have ever seen it at the start of August, after several weeks of steady rain.

National Interagency Fire Center

A number of key climate related satellites went into service in 1979, which coincidentally was the coldest year since the 1920s in the US (according to USHCN raw data)  and also the year of peak Arctic ice. This has caused satellite temperature and Arctic  ice trends to be unrepresentative of the long term patterns, and allowed them to be used as propaganda. It also occurred shortly before the eruptions of El Chichon and Mt. Pinatubo, which further dragged temperatures down.

Further aggravating the problem is that NSIDC chooses to not report satellite data prior to 1979, which inconveniently shows that there was a lot less Arctic ice in 1974 than there was in 1979.

NSIDC shows this :

n_plot.png (420×240)

but they don’t show what happened during the five years prior to 1979.

www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf

Satellites are a useful tool, but it would be nice to have an honest discussion about the severe limitations of the data set.

The best historical analog is a relatively recent one, said Michael Brewer, a physical scientist at NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center.

“This year actually looks a lot like 1988,” he said. “A summer-onset drought that hit in the Corn Belt, with conditions that came on and deteriorated rapidly, with big impacts to the agricultural community.”

That drought caused an estimated $40 billion in agriculture losses — $78 billion in today’s dollars. But it lasted only a year.

“That’s very different than the droughts of the ’30s and ’50s,” Brewer said. “The drought in the ’30s was almost 10 years long. In the ’50s, depending on where you were, it was anywhere from a few years to six to eight.

Though scientists have not fully analyzed the causes of the current drought, Brewer said it is “consistent with what we’d expect under climate change.”

“You’re going to see more extremes,” he said. “When it rains, it rains harder. But it means there is potential to go with longer periods of time between rain.”

Science: Dust Bowl, 1988 both eclipse 2012 drought, scientists say — 07/30/2012 — www.eenews.net

Brilliant thinking. He is saying the drought is less extreme than past ones, and that is consistent with more extreme weather due to climate change.

Heavy rain is forecast this week for much of the corn belt.

10-Day Precipitation Outlook for the Conterminous U.S.

Did Muller obtain money from the Koch Brothers by intentionally misrepresenting his position?

Why does Muller feel compelled to shake up the world of climate change? “We are doing this because it is the most important project in the world today. Nothing else comes close,” he says.

Can a group of scientists in California end the war on climate change? | Science | The Guardian

Muller has been telling us for years that global warming is the most serious problem the world has ever faced, and now is being portrayed as a converted denier

Climate Change Denier Concludes Global Warming Is Real, Caused By Humans

July 31, 2012 6:06 AM EDT

A study released from the University of California, Berkeley, on Monday confirms what mainstream climate scientists have been saying for years: that global warming exists, and that human activity has contributed to its acceleration.

Climate Change Denier Concludes Global Warming Is Real, Caused By Humans – International Business Times

I prefer the term blatant fraudster

Huffington post declares : “Put that wall back up”

Should Accountability for Global Warming Be Linked to Crimes Against Humanity?

We define as having criminal intent any person who calculates that there is a definite possibility their actions will result in harm to others. Equally, we define as criminally negligent anyone who is aware that an individual is likely to harm others but who ignores the situation. In the not-too-distant future will politicians who intentionally ignore global climate change, or who obstruct action to implement conscientious policies to prevent deterioration of climate conditions, be deemed criminally negligent? The scale of death and destruction resulting from global warming may potentially exceed losses due to genocides and world wars. We need discussion of legal and moral accountability for gross negligence when it comes to destruction at this level.

James O’Dea: Should Accountability for Global Warming Be Linked to Crimes Against Humanity?

While they are at it, they should throw everyone in Washington in jail for ignoring the threat of running multi-trillion dollar deficits.