Real Climate Science

Hansen says :

BAU scenarios result in global warming of the order of 3-6°C.  It is this scenario for which we assert that multi-meter sea level rise on the century time scale are not only possible,  but almost dead certain.

http://www.columbia.edu/

We know this because :

• Warm weather proves global warming
• Cold weather proves global warming
• Snow proves global warming
• Lack of snow proves global warming
• Increasing ice in Antarctica proves global warming
• Decreasing ice in the Arctic proves global warming
• Volcanic eruptions and earthquakes prove global warming
• Models that are either correct or incorrect prove global warming

This leads us to the inescapable conclusion that London  is doomed.

http://trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/64027823

They generally understand little or nothing about science, and get confused by data. Their beliefs seem to be shaped around the idea that the science is very difficult, and that only a select few in academia are capable of grasping these tricky concepts.

For example, until it is peer-reviewed, we can’t be certain that Manhattan is not underwater.

ssmi1_ice_ext.png (1667×1250)

 “the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions.”

http://news.nationalgeographic.com

Lazarus gets the PT Barnum Award for this comment.

Lazarus says:

May 30, 2012 at 12:05 am

According to the ice cores the climate is warmer now than it has been in the last 100,000 years.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Co2-temperature-plot.svg
Something that was unknown in 1986.

Reply

Let’s have a look at the graph Lazarus refers to.  (Correction the graph below is actually a different Wikipedia graph) The proxies show temperatures declining steadily over the last 8,000 years. Connelly or one of his clones recently threw in the fraudulent “Recent Proxies” inset at upper right, which is not proxies at all. It is Mann’s Hockey stick – which specifically threw out the proxy data after 1960.

File:Holocene Temperature Variations.png – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Even more ridiculous, satellites show no warming in Antarctica since the start of the satellite record. Perhaps Lazarus thinks Antarctic ice is teleconnected to Briffa’s tree?

Antarctic ice cores show nothing but noise for the last 10,000 years, and a lower peak than the previous four interglacials.

Proving once again that “you can fool some of the people all of the time.”

According to Hansen, 1907 was the coldest year ever. The following spring had a 100 MPH category 2 hurricane during Early March. A second hurricane formed on May 24 and hit the US. Only three hurricanes have hit the US during May, the most recent one being at the peak of the ice age scare in 1970.

Hurricane Two
Category 1 hurricane (SSHS)

Duration May 24 – May 31 1908
Intensity 75 mph (120 km/h) (1-min),  989 mbar (hPa)
This hurricane hit the U.S. in May, causing minor effects. It was one of only 3 May hurricanes during the 20th century in the Atlantic Basin; the others were Able in 1951 and Alma in 1970. It marked the earliest date for the season’s second hurricane to form in any Atlantic season on record, and it was the earliest hurricane to hit the U.S. in recorded history.

1908 Atlantic hurricane season – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

It is particularly disturbing that Romm is intentionally misrepresenting the data to try to prove global warming, when the correct information would more likely indicate the exact opposite of what he is trying to prove.

The team is getting more and more brazen with their lies.

Nutcase alarmists who think they are saving the planet.

A loose coalition of eco-anarchist groups is increasingly launching violent attacks on scientists.

A group calling itself the Olga Cell of the Informal Anarchist Federation International Revolutionary Front has claimed responsibility for the non-fatal shooting of a nuclear-engineering executive on 7 May in Genoa, Italy. The same group sent a letter bomb to a Swiss pro-nuclear lobby group in 2011; attempted to bomb IBM’s nanotechnology laboratory in Switzerland in 2010; and has ties with a group responsible for at least four bomb attacks on nanotechnology facilities in Mexico. Security authorities say that such eco-anarchist groups are forging stronger links.

Anarchists attack science : Nature News & Comment

h/t to Sundance

Complete bullshit. 1908 had already seen two hurricanes by this date, and was one of the ten coldest years on record according to GISS.

1908 Atlantic hurricane season

1908 Atlantic hurricane season – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

As far as drought goes, the US has less than normal. Romm and facts have nothing to do with each other.

Contiguous U.S., Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI), April 1895-2012

In case you had forgotten over the weekend that we are dealing with complete flaming morons.

The era of climate stability is coming to an end After 400 generations of stable weather, the world is on the brink of violent climate change.

For about 10,000 years, our climate on Earth has been stable. Remarkably stable, in fact. Since the end of the last ice age, we humans have spent 400 generations taking advantage of this stability to build our civilisation.  We have had warm periods and little ice ages; but the changes have been small. We have always known pretty much when it will rain, what the temperature will be each summer and winter, and how high the rivers will flow.

Copenhagen: The era of climate stability is coming to an end | Environment | The Guardian

We know that the climate was stable, because climate change was busy wiping out civilisations.

Climate change wiped out one of the world’s first, great civilisations more than 4,000 years ago Ancient ‘Indus’ civilisation was one of first great urban cultures Stretched for a million square kilometres

29 May 2012  Comments

The Indus River in Karakoram Range near Skardu, Pakistan, remains a lifeline even in the modern day  Climate change led to the collapse of the ancient Indus civilization more than 4,000 years ago, archaeologists believe.

Climate change wiped out one of the world’s first, great civilisations more than 4,000 years ago | Mail Online

h/t to Tom Nelson and Marc Morano

Long-forgotten aerial photographs of Greenland from the 1930s, rediscovered in a castle outside Copenhagen, have allowed researchers to construct a history of glacier retreat and advance in the area.

Most studies of Greenland’s glaciers have been done only since imaging satellites became available in the 1970s, so the data are relatively short-term. But using photographs from 1930s aerial surveys of the southeast coast of Greenland, together with US military aerial shots from the Second World War and recent satellite images, Bjørk and his colleagues have been able to observe changes at high spatial resolution from a period in which few glacier measurements were previously available.

Analysis of the images reveals that over the past decade, glacier retreat was as vigorous as in a similar period of warming in the 1930s

In other words, glacial cycles in Greenland have nothing to do with your SUV.

Left: 1972 image taken by Landsat 1; right, 2010 image taken by Landsat 7, the most recent Landsat satellite.

Rediscovered photos reveal Greenland’s glacier history : Nature News & Comment

h/t to Marc Morano

University of Illinois – Cryosphere Today

The normal ice area is represented by green and measures 10,201 pixels. The excess sea ice area is represented by blue, and measures 5,127 pixels. Bering Sea ice area has averaged 50% above normal this winter.

In October, The Christian Science Monitor warned us that missing Bering Sea ice threatens Alaska.

Bering Sea storm: Has global warming made Alaska more vulnerable? – CSMonitor.com