Real Climate Science

Currently there are three four Polar Bears in the Himalayas and they will all be gone by 2350 2035. Sorry, these tricky numbers confuse me. The Arctic will be ice free by 2000 2008 2011 2013 2016 2020 or 2030. And sea level will rise by 1 3 5 or 25 metres.

Russia’s vast permafrost may shrink by a third by the middle of the century due to global warming, the government’s disaster monitoring department said Friday.

The report also described the risk of a massive gas release. Permafrost traps methane and the thawing soil would release methane into the atmosphere. The release has no reported serious health effects, though it is an asphyxiant at high levels. The gas does however pose combustion risks.

http://www.businessinsider.com/russian-permafrost-melting-2011-07

Yea, I had a fraternity brother who used to do that.

Barber and his colleagues explain in a recent paper in Geophysical Review Letters, the analysis of what the satellites were seeing was wrong. Some of what satellites identified as thick, melt-resistant multiyear ice turned out to be, in Barber’s words, “full of holes, like Swiss cheese. We haven’t seen this sort of thing before.”

In 2008 and 2009, scientists feared the record-thin Arctic ice cover might melt away.

Exactly when a catastrophic melt might occur, however, is unpredictable. The long-term rise in global temperature as a result of greenhouse-gas emissions is overlaid with natural, year-to-year variability in all sorts of interconnected oceanic and atmospheric cycles that slow down warming down or speed it up temporarily. But because these variations tend to be cyclical, the “perfect storm” of conditions that caused the record 2007 melting — a situation Stroeve calls “unusual, but not unprecedented” — will probably return at some point. If they do, the Arctic could be primed for major, even irreversible, changes.

http://www.time.com/

 

Top scientist says the Arctic is doomed!

Last month saw the second lowest Arctic ice cover since 1979, continuing the downward trend of summer ice cover, says the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Colorado.

Ice extent shrank in June at an average rate of 80,800 square kilometres per day, about 50 per cent faster than the average drop recorded from June 1979 to 2000.

At this rate, the Arctic Ocean may be ice free in summer by 2030, said Mark Serreze, director of the NSIDC, calling the decline of the extent of the sea ice and its loss of thickness “an overall downward spiral.”

http://www.vancouversun.com/

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php

GISS raw data shows Brenham, Texas cooling about a degree over the last hundred years. Through the magic of adjustment, GISS has been able to cool the past by two degrees, and turn a strong cooling trend into a strong warming trend.

Isn’t that what they invented Viagra for?

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3FnpaWQJO0]

http://www.arctic.io/observations/8/2011-07-31/5-N79.568501-W67.061524

The hottest summer (by far) in California was 1896. Three of the nine hottest years occurred during that decade, and a fourth in 1901.

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/cag3/ca.html

If they did, there would be no bears in Hudson Bay – which is always ice free in the summer. We also know that the Arctic was ice free in summer 5,000 years ago.

July 14, 2010

“Examination of several proxy records (e.g., sediment cores) of sea ice indicate ice-free or near ice-free summer conditions for at least some time during the period of 15,000 to 5,000 years ago”

http://wattsupwiththat.com/