Real Climate Science

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/statements/scs33.pdf

h/t to reader Greg

https://realclimatescience.com/2011/06/19/my-arctic-ice-forecast/

I am not going to make a prediction of September ice extent this year. It is a crap shoot, based on 15% ice concentration – which is highly dependent on the winds in August and early September.

More meaningful measures are ice thickness and ice age. PIPS is dead, so I can’t make any more comparisons of thickness, PIPS is back from the dead and NSIDC provides ice age data.

http://nsidc.org/images/arcticseaicenews/20110405_Figure5.png

My forecast is that come the end of September, the amount of multi-year ice will again  increase relative to last year, as it has done every year since 2008. In 2013 there should be an increase in the amount of five year old ice, because that is when the 2008 ice will have aged five years.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/jul/07/energy-bill-shelved

Huhne wanted to make the UK green, but all he got was white.

http://news.google.com/newspapers

http://news.google.com/newspapers?

http://geology.about.com/od/geoprocesses/ig/sedstrucs/mudcracks.htm

Alarmists love to use pictures of mud cracks as a sign that the world is coming to an end – due to evil human behavior. However, we find mud cracks all through the fossil record, indicating that mud actually dried in the past.

Alarmists apparently would prefer a world where mud never dries out, and just gets deeper and deeper until new glaciers come and cover it over. A constantly cold, wet world is the goal all alarmists want to see achieved.

http://www.summitcamp.org/status/weather/index?period=month

Could someone do a calculation of how many melt days the interior of the Greenland ice sheet has had so far this year? I don’t have time to do this highly complex calculation, but basically it is the number of days above 0C.

In the grand tradition of sea level experts, I added 0.3 feet to the rise rate of Lake Powell. This is justified because the lake gets wider as the elevation increases, so the true elevation doesn’t accurately reflect the increase in volume. The adjustment increases the elevation of the lake by more than two feet.

Does this adjustment sound like bullshit? It sounds that way because it is bullshit – and nearly identical logic to the GIA used by sea level experts.

Real Climate’s Gavin declared global warming poster child Lake Powell dead as of 2004.

Since then, it has gained almost 70 feet in elevation – with year over year increases during every year except 2010..

http://lakepowell.water-data.com/index2.php?as_of=2011-07-06

Here is what it looks like this morning. Notice the clean coal-fired power plant in the background.

http://webcams.water-data.com/powell/

Red shows ice loss during the last week

Red shows ice loss during the last 24 hours

Red shows ice loss since May 1