Cook’s Hokey Stick

Update from John Cook :

Sorry it’s taken me so long to get to this discussion where earlier clarification would’ve been helpful.

Steve is correct that the caption of my Figure 1 is mislabelled – I should’ve said “NH land temperature”, not “NH temperature”. I’ve corrected the caption and indicated the update at the bottom of the blog post. Using instrumental land temperature is the appropriate metric as Moberg’s proxy is also a measure of NH land temperature. To use the full NH temperature would be comparing apples to oranges.

Steve is incorrect when he claims “he goes on and does climate sensitivity calculations based on bogus data from a cherry-picked hemisphere”. I don’t do any climate sensitivity calculations in this post. I’ve cited Hegerl 2000 which uses proxy data (not instrumental data) over the last 750 years to calculate a best guess climate sensitivity of around 3 degrees C. I’ve also compared this to the IPCC climate sensitivity range of 2°C to 4.5°C which is based on the full body of evidence (eg – proxy data over the last millennium, global instrumental data going back to 1850, global climate responses to volcanic eruptions, global satellite measurements of outgoing radiation, etc).

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John Cook has taken the hockey stick to a new level of BS with the graph above. It shows northern hemisphere temperatures rising more than 1ºC since the mid-1970s, supposedly based on HadCrut.

The actual HadCrut northern hemisphere graph shows a much smaller rise of about 0.7ºC since the mid-1970s, and little warming over the last decade.

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More Bad News : Global Warming Will Drown Us All

Earlier this evening I was devastated to learn that we are doomed to die of thirst. And now, just a few hours later, I find out that heavy rains are simultaneously going to drown us.

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Statistic Lesson For Rommulan Students

That canna be true, captain

Suppose you have three thousand reporting stations and each one has a ninety-nine year record. How many daily record highs would you expect to see in the 100th year?

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NCAR : Giant Drought Brings Doom In 20 Years!

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Flashback To 2008 : Candidates Views On Global Warming

Of the four candidates, only one gave an intelligent answer. No wonder the press hated her.

OBAMA : (Clueless. Arrogant. Straw man argument)

we’re not going to be able to deal with the climate crisis if our only solution is to use more fossil fuels that create global warming.

MCCAIN : (Clueless : Bragging about failure)

And I introduced the first legislation, and we forced votes on it. That’s the good news, my friends. The bad news is we lost. But we kept the debate going, and we kept this issue to — to posing to Americans the danger that climate change opposes.

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Experts Agree : (Hot) Weather Is Climate

h/t to reader “intrepid_wanders”

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Bitter Cold Election?

Looks like La Niña is about to unload on the US. Just in time for the election!

Hopefully the idiots incumbents will be running a lot of global warming ads around that time.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/temp1.html

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Ice Free Arctic : Extent Now 37% Higher Than 2007

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php

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Fastest Warming Place On The Planet – Is Cooling

The Antarctic Peninsula is one of many places described as the “fastest warming place on the planet”

This for me is much more urgent, because the Antarctic Peninsula is the fastest-warming place on the planet.”

Interesting that GISS shows it cooling over the last decade.

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Why GISS Temperatures Are Too High

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2010july/figure2.pdf

GISS is the only temperature index which shows significant warming since the year 2000. The animation below highlights the primary thing they are doing wrong.

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Posted in Arctic, Hansen | 29 Comments