There has been a lot of discussion on the various threads about whether or not PIPS thickness calculations include concentration. It is pretty clear from the blink comparator above that PIPS does consider concentration. Areas of lower concentration correspond to areas of lower thickness. You can also see there is indeed a region of thick, high concentration ice north of Svalbard, which does not abut the coast.
My buddy Joe Romm wrote up a nice piece about me today, but for some reason doesn’t seem to want to print my responses.
Below is the PIOMAS forecast vs. actual. Red represents areas where they over-predicted melt. Green is the opposite. Their forecast error is 20%, compared to my 7%.
http://psc.apl.washington.edu/zhang/IDAO/seasonal_outlook.html
My friend Joe is claiming today that Arctic ice volume is at a record low. I challenge him to contact Julienne Stroeve at NSIDC, and get her opinion. Is 2010 Arctic ice volume really lower than 2008?
I just posted this on his site.
I have been a Whole Foods Market shopper for almost their entire existence, going back to one of their first stores in Austin, Texas. A few years ago they stopped packing groceries in plastic bags, because of a theory that sea mammals choke on them.
http://www.weatherstreet.com/hurricane/2010/hurricane-climatology.gif
On August 5, NOAA reiterated their belief that this would be an active hurricane season
They make money by selling their brand of prejudice to people of like mind. Their cover story this week could have been written in Germany during the 1930s.
The Wrong Way to Do Science is to start with a conclusion, and then look for evidence to back it up.
My June forecast of 5.5 million km² (JAXA) is currently off by 7%.
[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r0dsENsufPo]
News is that “an unknown number of homes have been destroyed.” Below are more pictures from The Boulder Daily Camera.
Afternoon update :
Fourmile Fire: Dozens of structures, 7,120 acres burned, says Boulder County sheriff.
