Real Climate Science

It isn’t that our liberal friends are ignorant. It is just that they know so much that isn’t so.

– Ronald Reagan

I posted a video earlier documenting that the US was coolest and wettest on record since October. Then someone named Dave Carlson steps in and explains that the record cold is proof of record heat. Followed by Brian Johnson who claims that India just set their all time record of 123.8F.

Sounds bad … we really messed the climate up.  Except that it was just as hot or hotter in India in 1935, and 1953, and 1966 ….

08 Jun 1935 – HEAT WAVE – Trove

12 Jun 1953, 1 – The Daily Oklahoman at Newspapers.com

Same temperature as 1935.

27 May 1935 – TRAGIC HEAT WAVE

And similar to 1966.

p4 – 15 Jun 1966 – The Canberra Times (ACT : 1926 – 1995) 

Climate alarmism is based largely on fake statistics, and always has been.

10 Jan 1871 – IMAGINARY CHANGES OF CLIMATE

06 Oct 1939, Page 6 – The Des Moines Register at Newspapers.com

Prior to 60 years ago, June 11 was often a very hot day in the US, but hot weather on this date is unusual now outside of the desert southwest.  

The trend is not just for June 11, but for the entire month of June, and for the entire year.

The US has been record cool over the past nine months, and the green area should expand with the cool weather forecast for the eastern US.

Map 

10-Day Temperature Outlook for the Conterminous U.S.

We now associate 100 degree weather with the desert southwest, but it used to be quite common across much of the country.

The hottest June in Phoenix was 1974, when they averaged 109 degrees for their afternoon temperatures, and were over 110 degrees for eighteen consecutive days from June 12-29. I played on the soccer team at ASU that year, and we practiced at 3PM every day.

That was also the peak year of the 1970s ice age scare.

29 Jan 1974, 5 – The Guardian at Newspapers.com

As atmospheric CO2 has increased, the frequency of hot days in the US has plummeted. The peak year occurring  below 310 PPM.

Meanwhile, the useful idiots in the press continue their usual mindless hysteria about things they understand nothing about. They simultaneously forecast heat, drought, fire and floods – i.e. the same weather we have always had. And they tell their readers that the same weather which has been occurring for hundreds of millions of years can be prevented by climate action.

October 1 – June 10 daily maximum temperatures in the US are at a record low this year, and have been declining for 90 years.

Spreadsheet

Map

Precipitation has been at a record high.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

Almost the entire country is wet.

Map

Not surprisingly, the number of fires and burn acreage is at a record low.

National Interagency Fire Center

Forest fire burn acreage is down 80% over the past 90 years.

Spreadsheet

TimesMachine: October 9, 1938 – NYTimes.com

Meanwhile, the usual climate snake oil salesmen are pimping wildfires and heatwaves, and saying they can fix them.

The Union of Concerned Scientists have a new report out warning that the Midwest is getting hot, and a lot of people are going to die in the heat unless we reduce CO2 emissions. The report is titled “60 Years of Warming in the Midwest.”

Heat-in-the-Heartland-Full-Report.pdf

Urgent Action on Climate Change Will Prevent Heat-Related Deaths in Major US Cities | Union of Concerned Scientists

It is based largely on this 2009 report, which claims a large increase in 90 and 100 degree days in illinois and the Midwest – based on models of future climate, and some sort of analysis of the past 60 years.

climate-change-illinois.pdf

UCSUSA claims there will be a huge increase in the number of 90 and 100 degree days in Chicago as CO2 increases – yet the historical data shows the exact opposite.  As CO2 has increased, the number of 90 and 100 degree temperatures have plummeted in Chicago.  Aurora, IL is the closest USHCN station to Chicago.

Same story across all of Illinois.

Spreadsheet

Same story across all of the Midwest.

It isn’t clear why they claim that hot weather has increased over the past 60 years, but it is clear why they cherry-picked a time interval of sixty years. Prior to 1960, the Midwest was much hotter. The data they hid wrecks their story.

As CO2 has increased, the frequency of hot days has plummeted in the Midwest.  The exact opposite of what the UCSUSA models are based on.

The Midwest and most of the US used to be much hotter, with some incredibly hot months during the 1930s.

And deaths from natural disasters has plummeted as CO2 has increased.

Natural Disasters – Our World in Data

Deaths from heat are rare now, but during the 1930s they were very common.

17 Jul 1936, Page 1 – Carroll Daily Herald at Newspapers.com

07 Jun 1933, 4 – The Times at Newspapers.com

13 Jul 1936, Page 3 – Lansing State Journal 

The Bulletin – Google News Archive Search

It was so hot in Illinois in 1936, that highways exploded.

TimesMachine: July 7, 1936 – NYTimes.com

TimesMachine: July 10, 1936 – NYTimes.com

Nothing in the UCSUSA report has any bearing on reality. They use models which bear no resemblance to the real world, hide critical data which proves them wrong, make unsupportable forecasts of the future, and claim solutions to imaginary problems based on superstition. Desperate lies from desperate liars with an agenda.

The National Park Service has a new team member this summer in Yellowstone National Park, keeping an eye out for wildfires.

Mount Washburn – Southern View Webcam (U.S. National Park Service)

Meanwhile, my research assistants study the permanent drought in Boulder – where we have had rain or snow on 56 days so far this year, including 16 of the last 22 days.