Global Cooling in 1998

The lower troposphere is still warm from the El Nino.

ch_tlt_2016_04_anom_v03_3

But not as warm as it was in April 1998, when CO2 was much lower.

ch_tlt_1998_04_anom_v03_3

From April to November 1998, troposphere temperatures plummeted, as seen in this animation.

RSS1998

It appears we may be doing a repeat of 1998. But I am not a forecaster, and climate experts say that CO2 is the thermostat control knob. So temperatures can only go up.

2016-05-14-16-02-34

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12 Responses to Global Cooling in 1998

  1. David McMahon says:

    It will be interesting to see it average temperatures step up the way they did in the decade after 1998. Of course that doesn’t really mean anything but there will be a parade of headlines “hottest year ever”. Then again maybe temperatures will start dropping.

    • David A says:

      The step up is a mystery, but it may have to do with the AMO still ascending and near a peak at that time.

      With La Nina coming, plus the AMO turning negative, plus the blob dissipating, I am expecting there will not be a step up in weather balloons, or satellite readings. A step down may be possible after the coming La Nina. The surface data is FUBAR.

  2. David McMahon says:

    Newsflash from Team Hillary – Donald Trump hires climate denier as energy advisor!

    https://www.hillaryclinton.com/briefing/factsheets/2016/05/14/trump-picks-climate-denier-to-develop-energy-platform/

  3. AndyG55 says:

    El Ninos are a transient response, like a hit on a drum. A release of ocean energy.

    What level the temperature drops back down to will depend on the recharge energy for the oceans.

    Solar cycle 24 is dropping, solar cycle 25 may be very low.
    The AMO is heading downwards as well.

    We will see the satellite temperature drop back down to pre-El Nino temps well before the end of the year.

    What happens after then, will be interesting to watch.

  4. Robbie Depp says:

    Of course the temps will go down throughout 2016, but the real question is will the 2016 temps rise again in 2017 only to cool even more in 2018? We live in a strange parallel universe where past temperatures constantly fluctuate.

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